Brentford vs West Ham
Match recap
Brentford beat West Ham 3–0 in their Premier League fixture. Mavropanos, Thiago, and Damsgaard scored for Brentford. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.06 for Brentford versus 0.72 for West Ham. Brentford sit 9th in the Premier League table while West Ham are 18th.
Analysis
Brentford welcome West Ham for a Premier League encounter that promises goals and tactical battles. With Brentford's solid home record and West Ham's struggles on the road, this match is poised to be a tight contest with the home side edging it.
Brentford currently sit 9th in the league with 48 points, comfortably ahead of West Ham who are 17th with 36 points. Historically, Brentford have the upper hand, winning 7 of their 13 meetings. West Ham's away form has been patchy, winning just 26% of their matches on the road this season.
Thiago leads Brentford's attack with 21 goals this season, including a strong recent home scoring run. Defensively, Brentford concede just 1.1 goals per home game, better than West Ham's 1.7 goals conceded away. Key defenders Nathan Collins and Michael Kayode provide leadership and defensive solidity, while West Ham's midfield creativity is hampered by injuries. These factors combine to give Brentford the edge.
Prediction
We predict Brentford to take a 1-0 lead by halftime and hold on to win 2-1 by fulltime. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this outcome stands at 68%, supported by statistical trends and player form.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Thiago's home scoring form vs West Ham's defense
Thiago scores 1 goal per home game recently; West Ham concedes 1.7 goals away, indicating vulnerability.
Brentford's defensive solidity at home
Brentford concedes only 1.1 goals per home game, better than West Ham's 1.7 away average.
Key Brentford midfielders injured
Injuries to Schade and Damsgaard reduce midfield creativity and assist potential.
West Ham's inconsistent away form
West Ham has low win percentage away (26%), with recent draws and losses, reducing threat level.
Defensive leadership from Collins and Kayode
Their high tackle and interception rates can disrupt West Ham's attack and support counterattacks.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Brentford's home advantage, superior form, and Thiago's goal threat make them favourites to overcome West Ham. Expect a closely fought game with Brentford edging it 2-1, much to the delight of their fans.
- Brentford have won 7 of 13 meetings against West Ham.
- Brentford are 9th in the league with 48 points; West Ham are 17th with 36 points.
- Thiago is Brentford's top scorer with 21 goals this season.
- Brentford concede 1.1 goals per home game; West Ham concede 1.7 goals away.
- West Ham have a 26% win rate in away matches this season.
- Nathan Collins has 83% passing accuracy and provides defensive leadership.
- Michael Kayode averages 1.875 tackles per game with a 59% duel win rate.
- Total cards expected in the match are 4, indicating a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Brentford
Away — West Ham
No standout top scorers flagged for West Ham
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mavropanos (OG)
Goal Disallowed - offside
Thiago
Penalty
Castellanos
Yellow Card
Summerville
Yellow Card
Walker-Peters
Castellanos
Kayode
Yellow Card
Diouf
Schade
Damsgaard
Assist: Lewis-Potter
Bowen
Summerville
Damsgaard
Lewis-Potter
Scarles
Yellow Card
Ouattara
Match Statistics
Brentford
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1C. KelleherG
- 4S. van den BergD
- 7K. SchadeM
- 8M. JensenM
- 9ThiagoF
- 18Y. YarmolyukM
- 19D. OuattaraM
- 22N. CollinsD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 33M. KayodeD
Substitutes
- 2A. HickeyD
- 5E. PinnockD
- 10J. DasilvaM
- 11R. NelsonF
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 20K. AjerD
- 27V. JaneltM
- 45R. DonovanM
- 47Kaye Iyowuna FuroF
West Ham
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1M. HermansenG
- 2K. Walker-PetersD
- 4A. DisasiD
- 7C. SummervilleM
- 11V. CastellanosF
- 12E. DioufD
- 15K. MavropanosD
- 18Mateus FernandesM
- 19PabloF
- 20J. BowenM
- 28T. SoučekM
Substitutes
- 9C. WilsonF
- 17Adama TraoréF
- 21K. LamadridM
- 23A. AreolaG
- 25J. TodiboD
- 27S. MagassaM
- 29A. Wan-BissakaD
- 30O. ScarlesD
- 55M. KantéM
Brentford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikkel Damsgaard | M | 91 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Mathias Jensen | M | 99 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | M | 99 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Dango Ouattara | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| Michael Kayode | D | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Igor Thiago | F | 99 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Sepp van den Berg | D | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Nathan Collins(C) | D | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Schade | M | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/5 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Reiss Nelson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Pinnock | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitaly Janelt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romelle Donovan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Hickey | D | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Dasilva | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kaye Furo | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
West Ham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mads Hermansen | G | 99 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateus Fernandes | M | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Valentín Castellanos | F | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Pablo Felipe | F | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Tomáš Souček | M | 99 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jarrod Bowen(C) | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/2 |
| Crysencio Summerville | M | 88 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Axel Disasi | D | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | D | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| El Hadji Malick Diouf | D | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Konstantinos Mavropanos | D | 99 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jean-Clair Todibo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alphonse Aréola | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Keiber Lamadrid | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamadou Kanté | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Wan-Bissaka | D | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Soungoutou Magassa | M | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Scarles | D | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Callum Wilson | F | 34 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Adama Traoré | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |