Brentford vs Nottingham Forest
Brentford secure solid win over Forest
A composed performance sees Brentford claim a 2-0 victory at home.
Brentford took the lead through an own goal by Nottingham Forest's N. Milenković just before the half-hour mark, setting the tone for the match. Thiago sealed the win with a second goal after the break, ensuring a comfortable 2-0 result. While Fipster predicted a 3-1 home win with high confidence, the actual scoreline was a bit more restrained but the call for a Brentford victory was spot on.
Outcome probability
Brentford and Nottingham Forest face off in the ninth round of the regular season, with Brentford currently enjoying a stronger league position and goal difference. This match promises attacking football, with Brentford's recent home scoring streak and Nottingham Forest's key players looking to make an impact.
Match factors
Brentford missing key midfielders due to suspensions
Vitaly Janelt and Yehor Yarmolyuk are confirmed out due to red cards, weakening Brentford's midfield control
Nottingham Forest's top scorer Dan Ndoye in good away form
Ndoye has scored 2 goals this season with 1 in last 3 away games, posing a threat despite team's struggles
Brentford's attacking defenders provide goal threat
Keane Lewis-Potter and Kevin Schade contribute goals from defense and midfield, adding attacking options
Brentford's recent scoring streak at home
Brentford have scored in their last 4 home games, supporting the predicted 3 goals in this match
Morgan Gibbs-White's creativity key for Nottingham Forest
Top assister with 2 assists and consistent starter, Gibbs-White is crucial for creating chances
The context
Brentford sit comfortably in 7th place with 10 points from 7 games, boasting a goal difference of +9. Nottingham Forest, meanwhile, find themselves 18th with 6 points from 8 games and a less favourable goal difference. Historically, Brentford have edged these encounters, winning half of their 20 head-to-head matches, with an average of nearly 3 goals per game.
Key insights
Dan Ndoye
Nottingham Forest
Ndoye has scored 2 goals this season with 1 in the last 3 away games, making him a key threat despite Forest's struggles.
Premier League 26/272 goals in 8 apps, 0.25 goals/game
Morgan Gibbs-White
Nottingham Forest
As Forest's top assister with 2 assists, Gibbs-White's creativity is vital for their attacking chances.
Premier League 26/272 assists in 7 apps, 0.29 assists/game
- K
Keane Lewis-Potter
Brentford
Lewis-Potter is a consistent starter with 2 goals this season and strong passing accuracy, adding attacking options from defence.
Premier League 26/272 goals this season
- K
Kevin Schade
Brentford
Schade has scored 3 goals recently including a brace, providing an above-average goal contribution for a midfielder.
Premier League 26/273 goals recently
- V
Vitaly Janelt
Brentford
Janelt is suspended due to a red card, weakening Brentford's midfield control for this match.
Premier League 26/275 yellows and 1 red card this season
Analysis
Brentford's attacking threat is bolstered by their defenders Keane Lewis-Potter and Kevin Schade, who contribute goals and creativity from deeper positions. Despite missing key midfielders Vitaly Janelt and Yehor Yarmolyuk due to suspensions, Brentford's recent scoring form at home remains impressive. Nottingham Forest's Dan Ndoye, their top scorer with 2 goals this season, poses a threat, especially with his decent away form. Morgan Gibbs-White's creativity as the top assister is crucial for Forest's chances, but Brentford's overall form and goal difference suggest they will dominate.
Key facts
- 1.Brentford are 7th with 10 points from 7 games, Nottingham Forest 18th with 6 points from 8 games.
- 2.Brentford have a goal difference of +9, significantly better than Nottingham Forest.
- 3.Brentford have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against Nottingham Forest.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals per game.
- 5.Brentford have scored in their last 4 home games.
- 6.Dan Ndoye is Nottingham Forest's top scorer with 2 goals this season.
- 7.Morgan Gibbs-White leads Nottingham Forest with 2 assists this season.
- 8.Brentford's predicted fulltime score of 3-1 is the most probable outcome.
Prediction
We expect Brentford to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime score, before extending their advantage to a 3-1 fulltime victory. The match should feature moderate discipline with around four cards shown. Brentford's superior points-per-game and goal difference underpin this predicted home win.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Brentford
No standout top scorers flagged for Brentford
Away — Nottingham Forest
The verdict
Brentford's blend of attacking defenders and solid recent home performances should see them comfortably overcome Nottingham Forest. While Forest have some individual threats, Brentford's overall form and squad depth make them the clear favourites to secure all three points.
Prediction generated 25 Oct 2026, 15:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Milenković (OG)
Milenković
Yellow Card
Schlager
Aina
Sangaré
Jensen
Muñoz
Yellow Card
Ndoye
Delap
Kayode
Yellow Card
Ouattara
Thiago
Assist: Anthony
McAtee
Yellow Card
Schade
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 9 | 8 | 0 | 1 | +9 | 24 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |  Brentford | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 7 |  Bournemouth | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 18 |  Crystal Palace | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -12 | 7 |
| 19 |  Nottingham Forest | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6 | 6 |
| 20 |  Sunderland | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Brentford
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1C. KelleherG
- 4S. van den BergD
- 7K. SchadeF
- 8M. JensenM
- 9ThiagoF
- 11D. OuattaraF
- 18M. SangaréM
- 20K. AjerD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 27V. JaneltM
- 33M. KayodeD
Substitutes
- 2A. HickeyD
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 13C. WilsonF
- 19J. AnthonyF
- 22N. CollinsD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 25E. DioufD
- 39Gustavo GomesF
- 44Jannik SchusterD
Nottingham Forest
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 3N. WilliamsM
- 5MurilloD
- 10M. Gibbs-WhiteM
- 14D. NdoyeM
- 19L. DelapF
- 21X. SchlagerM
- 23JairD
- 24J. McAteeM
- 26M. SelsG
- 31N. MilenkovićD
- 34O. AinaM
Substitutes
- 2O. DiomandeD
- 6I. SangaréM
- 7C. Hudson-OdoiF
- 9C. WoodF
- 12JohnG
- 15A. KalimuendoF
- 22R. YatesM
- 25L. NetzD
- 27D. MuñozD
Brentford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thiago | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| S. van den Berg | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hickey | D | 28 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Anthony | F | 18 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| K. Ajer | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Wilson | F | 6 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Damsgaard | M | 28 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Jensen | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Sangaré | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| V. Janelt | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Kelleher | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Lewis-Potter | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| D. Ouattara | F | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| M. Kayode | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Schade | F | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Gomes | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Collins | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Diouf | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Valdimarsson | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jannik Schuster | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nottingham Forest
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jair | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Murillo | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Muñoz | D | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| M. Gibbs-White | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| C. Wood | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kalimuendo | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. McAtee | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| L. Delap | F | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Ndoye | M | 65 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| O. Aina | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| N. Williams | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| R. Yates | M | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Sels | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Milenković | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| X. Schlager | M | 46 | 5.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Hudson-Odoi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Sangaré | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Netz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Diomande | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Brentford to win against Nottingham Forest.
- What score did Fipster predict for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Brentford 3–1 Nottingham Forest.
- What were the win probabilities for Brentford vs Nottingham Forest?
- Fipster's model gave Brentford a 95% chance of winning, Nottingham Forest a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.