Brentford vs Fulham
Match recap
Brentford and Fulham drew 0–0 in their Premier League fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.43 for Brentford versus 0.77 for Fulham. Brentford sit 9th in the Premier League table while Fulham are 11th.
Analysis
Brentford host Fulham in what promises to be a tightly contested Premier League fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, but Brentford's home form and attacking prowess give them the edge.
This match is crucial as Brentford sit 8th with a better goal difference, while Fulham are 12th. Historically, their head-to-head record is balanced, but Brentford's recent home performances and goal-scoring stats suggest they can edge this one.
Brentford's striker Igor Thiago is in fine form, netting 21 goals this season with a strong home record. Fulham's attack relies heavily on Raúl Jiménez and Harry Wilson, both carrying injury doubts. Brentford's superior goal difference and home scoring rate further tilt the scales in their favour.
Prediction
Expect Brentford to take the lead by halftime, likely 1-0, and maintain their advantage to win 2-1. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but fair game. Confidence in this outcome stands at 85%.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Brentford's potent striker advantage
Igor Thiago's prolific scoring and home form give Brentford a clear attacking edge.
Key Brentford attackers missing or doubtful
Injuries to Schade, Ouattara, and Damsgaard may limit attacking options and creativity.
Brentford's superior home scoring rate
Brentford averages 1.6 goals at home vs Fulham's 0.9 away, favoring Brentford's attack.
Fulham's reliance on Jiménez and Wilson
Fulham's attack depends heavily on Jiménez and Wilson, both with injury doubts, reducing threat.
Brentford's recent positive form at home
Brentford has multiple recent wins and goal contributions at home, supporting predicted win.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Brentford's home advantage and key player form make them favourites to claim all three points. Fulham will fight hard, but Brentford's attacking edge should prove decisive in this London derby.
- Brentford have won 8 of 20 head-to-head matches against Fulham, who have 7 wins and 5 draws.
- Brentford rank 8th with 48 points from 33 games; Fulham are 12th with 45 points.
- Brentford's goal difference is +4, better than Fulham's -3 this season.
- Brentford average 1.6 goals per home game; Fulham average 0.9 goals away.
- Igor Thiago has scored 21 goals this season, including 3 in the last 3 home games.
- Fulham's key attackers Jiménez and Wilson have injury doubts.
- The predicted fulltime score is 2-1 in favour of Brentford with 85% confidence.
- The match is expected to have around 4 total cards.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Brentford
Away — Fulham
No standout top scorers flagged for Fulham
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lukić
Yellow Card
Iwobi
Smith Rowe
Muniz
Cairney
Sessegnon
Sessegnon
Cairney
Match Statistics
Brentford
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1C. KelleherG
- 4S. van den BergD
- 7K. SchadeM
- 8M. JensenM
- 9ThiagoF
- 18Y. YarmolyukM
- 19D. OuattaraM
- 22N. CollinsD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 33M. KayodeD
Substitutes
- 2A. HickeyD
- 5E. PinnockD
- 11R. NelsonF
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 20K. AjerD
- 45R. DonovanM
- 48Luka BenttM
- 49O. ShieldD
- 50J. StephensonD
Fulham
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1B. LenoG
- 3C. BasseyD
- 5J. AndersenD
- 8H. WilsonM
- 9Rodrigo MunizF
- 10T. CairneyM
- 17A. IwobiM
- 20S. LukićM
- 21T. CastagneD
- 30R. SessegnonD
- 32E. Smith RoweM
Substitutes
- 6H. ReedM
- 7R. JiménezF
- 14Oscar BobbM
- 16S. BergeM
- 19S. ChukwuezeF
- 23B. LecomteG
- 24Joshua KingM
- 31I. DiopD
- 33A. RobinsonD
Brentford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathias Jensen | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Sepp van den Berg | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Kayode | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Kevin Schade | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/3 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| Yehor Yarmolyuk | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Dango Ouattara | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Igor Thiago | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nathan Collins(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Luka Bentt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Stephenson | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reiss Nelson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Hickey | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Romelle Donovan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Pinnock | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ollie Shield | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Fulham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernd Leno | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Timothy Castagne | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Cairney(C) | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Joachim Andersen | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Bassey | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alex Iwobi | M | 43 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sasa Lukic | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Harry Wilson | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ryan Sessegnon | D | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Rodrigo Muniz | F | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emile Smith Rowe | M | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Harrison Reed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Lecomte | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sander Berge | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Issa Diop | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Bobb | M | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Antonee Robinson | D | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Joshua King | M | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul Jimenez | F | 23 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Chukwueze | F | 47 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |