Brentford vs Crystal Palace
Match recap
Brentford and Crystal Palace drew 2–2 in their Premier League fixture. Ouattara and Ouattara scored for Brentford; Sarr and Wharton replied for Crystal Palace. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.05 for Brentford versus 1.67 for Crystal Palace. Brentford sit 9th in the Premier League table while Crystal Palace are 15th.
Analysis
Brentford host Crystal Palace in what promises to be a competitive Premier League fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, setting the stage for a closely contested match.
Brentford currently sit 8th in the league with a positive goal difference, while Crystal Palace are 15th, struggling with a negative goal difference. Their head-to-head record is evenly matched, with 2 wins each and 5 draws in 9 meetings, highlighting the balanced nature of this fixture.
Thiago leads Brentford's attack with 22 goals this season, boasting strong recent home form. However, injuries to key midfielders like Vitaly Janelt and Mikkel Damsgaard may limit Brentford's creativity. Defensively, Michael Kayode and Yehor Yarmolyuk provide solidity. Crystal Palace face challenges with top scorers Mateta and Sarr sidelined, weakening their offensive threat. The statistical edge and player form suggest a tight game likely to end in a draw.
Prediction
The highest probability outcome is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0. The match is expected to be competitive but balanced, with both teams managing to find the net once. A total of four cards is predicted, reflecting a moderately physical encounter.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Thiago's Scoring Threat at Home
Thiago's prolific home scoring (1 goal/game last 3 home matches) gives Brentford a clear attacking edge.
Key Midfielders Missing for Brentford
Injuries to Janelt and Damsgaard reduce creative midfield options, potentially limiting chance creation.
Defensive Solidity from Kayode and Yarmolyuk
Their above-average tackling and interception rates bolster Brentford's defense against Palace's attackers.
Thiago's Consistent Goal Form
Thiago has scored in multiple recent matches, indicating strong form and confidence.
Crystal Palace Missing Top Scorers
Mateta and Sarr are injured, weakening Palace's attacking threat and reducing goal-scoring options.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Brentford and Crystal Palace are evenly matched this season, and the data supports a shared point scenario. Fans should anticipate a tactical battle with moments of quality from key players like Thiago, but ultimately a draw seems the fairest result.
- Brentford and Crystal Palace have an even head-to-head record: 2 wins each and 5 draws in 9 matches.
- Their matches average 2.0 total goals, supporting a moderate scoring draw prediction.
- Brentford rank 8th with 51 points from 36 games (14W, 9D, 13L).
- Crystal Palace rank 15th with 44 points from 35 games (11W, 11D, 13L).
- Thiago is Brentford's top scorer with 22 goals, including strong recent home form.
- Injuries to Brentford's Vitaly Janelt and Mikkel Damsgaard reduce creative midfield options.
- Crystal Palace's top scorers Mateta and Sarr are injured, weakening their attack.
- Defenders Michael Kayode and Yehor Yarmolyuk bolster Brentford's defensive solidity.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Brentford
Away — Crystal Palace
No standout top scorers flagged for Crystal Palace
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Sarr
Penalty
Ouattara
Yeremy Pino
Wharton
Assist: Muñoz
Strand Larsen
Lacroix
Janelt
Jensen
Riad
Ajer
Richards
Yellow Card
Ouattara
Assist: van den Berg
Yarmolyuk
Lerma
Yellow Card
Sarr
Henderson
Yellow Card
Kayode
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 8 |  Brighton | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +6 | 53 |
| 9 |  Brentford | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | +3 | 53 |
| 10 |  Chelsea | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | +6 | 52 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
| 16 |  Nottingham Forest | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | -3 | 44 |
Match Statistics
Brentford
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1C. KelleherG
- 8M. JensenM
- 9ThiagoF
- 18Y. YarmolyukM
- 19D. OuattaraM
- 20K. AjerD
- 22N. CollinsD
- 23K. Lewis-PotterD
- 24M. DamsgaardM
- 27V. JaneltM
- 33M. KayodeD
Substitutes
- 2A. HickeyD
- 4S. van den BergD
- 5E. PinnockD
- 6J. HendersonM
- 7K. SchadeM
- 10J. DasilvaM
- 11R. NelsonF
- 12H. ValdimarssonG
- 47Kaye Iyowuna FuroF
Crystal Palace
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1D. HendersonG
- 2D. MuñozM
- 3T. MitchellM
- 5M. LacroixD
- 7I. SarrF
- 10Yeremy PinoF
- 18D. KamadaM
- 20A. WhartonM
- 22J. Strand LarsenF
- 23J. CanvotD
- 34C. RiadD
Substitutes
- 8J. LermaM
- 11B. JohnsonF
- 14J. MatetaF
- 17N. ClyneD
- 19W. HughesM
- 26C. RichardsD
- 29E. GuessandF
- 44W. BenítezG
- 55J. DevennyM
Brentford
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dango Ouattara | M | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mikkel Damsgaard | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Yehor Yarmoliuk | M | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nathan Collins(C) | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Vitaly Janelt | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Keane Lewis-Potter | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Michael Kayode | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Igor Thiago | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Kristoffer Ajer | D | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathias Jensen | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Caoimhin Kelleher | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aaron Hickey | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ethan Pinnock | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reiss Nelson | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaye Furo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sepp van den Berg | D | 8 | 8.0 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jordan Henderson | M | 27 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kevin Schade | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Josh Dasilva | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Crystal Palace
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Wharton | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | — |
| Tyrick Mitchell | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Muñoz | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Yéremy Pino | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ismaïla Sarr | F | 89 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Maxence Lacroix | D | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daichi Kamada | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jaydee Canvot | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dean Henderson(C) | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jørgen Strand Larsen | F | 61 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Chadi Riad | D | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Walter Benítez | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Will Hughes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathaniel Clyne | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Devenny | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jefferson Lerma | M | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evann Guessand | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Philippe Mateta | F | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Johnson | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chris Richards | D | 29 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |