Brann vs PAOK
Brann edge PAOK in five-goal thriller
A late penalty seals a narrow win for Brann after a spirited fightback from PAOK.
Brann secured a 3-2 victory over PAOK in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with N. Holm opening the scoring in stoppage time of the first half and K. Ingason doubling the lead early in the second. PAOK responded with goals from C. Ndiaye and C. Zafeiris to level the match, but N. Castro's penalty in the 86th minute proved decisive. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the actual scoreline was more dramatic than forecast.
Outcome probability
Brann and PAOK face off in a playoff round fixture that promises a tight contest. Both sides have shown resilience in their recent encounters, setting the stage for a competitive match.
Match factors
Brann's Defensive Leaders Show Form
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen and Mathias Dyngeland have strong recent performances, bolstering Brann's defense against PAOK's attack.
PAOK's Attack Led by Form Players
Kristian Eriksen and Anestis Mythou showed good recent form and ratings, posing a threat to Brann's defense.
Brann's Away Scoring Streak
Brann has scored in their last 3 away games, indicating offensive momentum despite conceding in all matches.
Brann's Mixed Recent Form
Brann's recent form includes draws and losses but also scoring in 4 of 5 games, showing potential but defensive vulnerability.
The context
In this competition, Brann have played five matches with a record of two wins, two draws, and one loss, scoring eight goals and conceding six. Their most recent knockout result was a 1-1 draw away against PAOK. PAOK have played only one match in this competition so far, which ended in a 1-1 draw at home against Brann. The two teams have met twice before in this competition, both matches ending in draws.
Key insights
- F
Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen
Brann
Strong recent performances with a high average rating and key defensive contributions bolster Brann's backline.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27High average rating (7.2) in recent match vs PAOK; 2 tackles in last game; team captain
- M
Mathias Dyngeland
Brann
Excellent shot-stopping and recent high rating provide vital defensive resilience for Brann.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Rating of 7.5 in away draw vs PAOK; key saves under pressure
- K
Kristian Eriksen
PAOK
Active in attack with shots and passes, posing a significant threat to Brann's defence.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Scored in recent away draw vs Brann; involved in multiple attacking plays
- A
Anestis Mythou
PAOK
Important attacking presence with a high rating and contributions on both ends of the pitch.
UEFA Europa Conference League 26/27Rating of 7.5 in recent home game vs Brann; shots and defensive work
Analysis
Brann's defensive leaders, Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen and goalkeeper Mathias Dyngeland, have delivered strong performances recently, providing a solid foundation against PAOK's attacking threats. Kristian Eriksen and Anestis Mythou have been key figures for PAOK, showing good form and posing a real challenge. Brann's ability to score in their last three away games indicates offensive momentum, although their defensive vulnerabilities remain a concern. The balance of probabilities leans slightly towards a home win, with a 2-1 scoreline being the most likely outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Brann have played 5 matches in this competition (W2 D2 L1, GF 8 / GA 6).
- 2.PAOK have played 1 match in this competition (D1, GF 1 / GA 1).
- 3.The most recent knockout result was a 1-1 draw between these teams.
- 4.Brann have scored in their last 3 away games in this competition.
- 5.Fredrik Pallesen Knudsen and Mathias Dyngeland have strong recent defensive performances for Brann.
- 6.Kristian Eriksen and Anestis Mythou are key attacking players for PAOK.
- 7.In 2 head-to-head meetings, both matches ended in draws.
Prediction
Given the available data and recent form, Brann are tipped to clinch a narrow 2-1 victory over PAOK. While the match is expected to be closely fought, Brann's defensive resilience combined with their attacking potential should see them edge this playoff round encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Brann
Away — PAOK
No standout best passers flagged for PAOK
The verdict
This playoff round match is set to be a tight affair, with both teams having shown competitive spirit in their previous meetings. Brann's slight edge in form and home advantage could prove decisive in securing the win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Head to Head
Yellow Card
Goal
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Unknown
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Goal
Unknown
Unknown
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Unknown
Yellow Card
Goal
Penalty
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Match Statistics
Brann
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1M. DyngelandG
- 3F. KnudsenD
- 9N. CastroF
- 10K. IngasonM
- 16K. EriksenM
- 17J. SoltvedtD
- 18J. SørensenM
- 19E. GuðmundssonM
- 21D. De RoeveD
- 23T. PedersenD
- 29N. HolmF
Substitutes
- 6D. MbackeD
- 7K. KjartanssonM
- 11B. FinneF
- 12S. NilsenG
- 14U. MathisenF
- 20V. DragsnesD
- 25N. Jensen WassbergM
- 36H. M. HellesoyG
- 39J. LægreidF
- 41L. RemmemM
- 43B. HaugenM
PAOK
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. PavlenkaG
- 3J. KennyD
- 4P. HatzidiakosD
- 5G. MichailidisD
- 7B. SantamaríaM
- 13D. GiannoulisM
- 20C. ZafeirisM
- 23T. LouchetM
- 27C. NdiayeF
- 47S. ShoretireF
- 52D. ChatsidisM
Substitutes
- 6ElustondoD
- 10D. PelkasM
- 11TaisonM
- 18J. GómezD
- 21A. BabaD
- 22T. AliM
- 25K. ThymianisD
- 32G. TaylorD
- 41D. MonastirlisG
- 56A. MythouF
- 97D. BataoulasD
- 99A. TsiftsisG





