Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz
Bournemouth cruise to comfortable Europa League win
Three well-taken goals secure a confident home victory over Sturm Graz.
Bournemouth delivered a commanding performance in the UEFA Europa League, shutting out Sturm Graz 3-0. Evanilson opened the scoring just before half-time, setting the tone for the hosts. Rayan doubled the lead after the break, and Á. Rodríguez sealed the win with a penalty deep into stoppage time. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the margin was more emphatic than expected.
Outcome probability
As the group stage unfolds, Bournemouth and Sturm Graz prepare to face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams enter with full squads, setting the stage for a tactical battle.
Match factors
No key player absences expected
Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads likely available, maintaining tactical stability.
Limited recent form data reduces prediction confidence
Insufficient match history and missing team form data limit ability to identify in-form players, reflected in low prediction confidence.
Home advantage favors Bournemouth in predicted 2-1 win
Despite limited player data, home side Bournemouth is favored to score 2 goals, indicating slight attacking edge at home.
The context
This fixture is part of the group stage where every point counts. Bournemouth, with the slight edge of playing at home, will look to capitalize on their attacking opportunities. Sturm Graz, meanwhile, will aim to disrupt and counter, hoping to snatch a result on the road.
Key facts
- 1.Bournemouth are predicted to win 2-1 against Sturm Graz.
- 2.Both teams have no confirmed injuries, so full squads are expected.
- 3.Home advantage gives Bournemouth a slight attacking edge.
- 4.Limited recent form data reduces prediction confidence.
- 5.The match is part of the group stage of the competition.
Analysis
Limited recent form data and missing detailed team statistics make this a tricky one to call with certainty. However, Bournemouth's home advantage and predicted attacking edge suggest they are more likely to come out on top. Both sides have full squads available, so tactical discipline and execution will be key. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects a competitive match with Bournemouth just shading it.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bournemouth
Away — Sturm Graz
Prediction
The forecast leans towards a Bournemouth win by 2-1. While the margin is narrow, the home side's slight attacking edge and the probability of scoring two goals tip the scales in their favour. Expect a tight game with both teams finding the net, but ultimately Bournemouth prevailing.
The verdict
In summary, Bournemouth are favoured to claim the three points in this group stage fixture, though the contest is expected to be close. With full squads and tactical nous on display, fans can anticipate an engaging match that could hinge on fine margins.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Evanilson
Yellow Card
Beganović
Yellow Card
Evanilson
Assist: Smith
Diakité
Yellow Card
Beganović
Smith
Soler
Yellow Card
Adams
Tavernier
Evanilson
Seidl
Petrović
Jacob Peter Hödl
Rayan
Balbo
Doak
Halwachs
Yellow Card
Vallci
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 |  Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Bournemouth
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 4L. CookM
- 6J. SolerD
- 9EvanilsonF
- 11B. DoakM
- 12T. AdamsM
- 14António SilvaD
- 15A. SmithD
- 16M. TavernierM
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 30Á. RodríguezF
Substitutes
- 3A. TruffertD
- 5J. HillD
- 7D. BrooksM
- 10R. ChristieM
- 19J. KluivertF
- 20M. Di GregorioG
- 21A. AdliF
- 27A. TóthM
- 37RayanF
- 55M. AllanG
Sturm Graz
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2J. QuarshieD
- 4J. Gorenc StankovičM
- 19S. SeidlF
- 21P. PetrovićD
- 23A. MalicD
- 26B. BeganovićF
- 27L. BalboD
- 28J. HeilD
- 43Jacob Peter HödlM
- 53D. KhudyakovG
- 78V. MatoshiM
Substitutes
- 5A. VallciD
- 11A. KayomboF
- 14O. DiakitéF
- 22A. HelacG
- 30P. KollerD
- 38Jonas PeinhartF
- 39Luca WeinhandlM
- 40J. HalwachsM
- 41E. LorenzG
Bournemouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evanilson | F | 70 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | — |
| A. Smith | D | 62 | 8.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| António Silva | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rayan | F | 20 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| J. Hill | D | 28 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Soler | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| L. Cook | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| Á. Rodríguez | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| J. Kluivert | F | 20 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| B. Diakité | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Christie | M | 21 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Adams | M | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tavernier | M | 70 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Adli | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Đ. Petrović | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Doak | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| A. Tóth | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Di Gregorio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Allan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Brooks | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Truffert | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sturm Graz
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gorenc Stankovič | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| S. Seidl | F | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| O. Diakité | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Quarshie | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Kayombo | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| V. Matoshi | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Jacob Peter Hödl | M | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| B. Beganović | F | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Koller | D | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Petrović | D | 75 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Malic | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Heil | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Halwachs | M | 15 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Balbo | D | 83 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Vallci | D | 15 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Khudyakov | G | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luca Weinhandl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Helac | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Lorenz | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonas Peinhart | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bournemouth to win against Sturm Graz.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bournemouth 2–1 Sturm Graz.
- What were the win probabilities for Bournemouth vs Sturm Graz?
- Fipster's model gave Bournemouth a 35% chance of winning, Sturm Graz a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.