Bournemouth vs Manchester City
Match recap
Bournemouth and Manchester City drew 1–1 in their Premier League fixture. Kroupi scored for Bournemouth; Haaland replied for Manchester City. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.99 for Bournemouth versus 1.68 for Manchester City. Bournemouth sit 6th in the Premier League table while Manchester City are 2nd.
Analysis
As the Premier League season nears its climax, Bournemouth host Manchester City in a fixture that promises goals and drama. With City's historical dominance and current form, the visitors look poised to claim all three points.
Manchester City have a near-perfect record against Bournemouth, winning 18 of 19 encounters. Currently second in the league with 77 points, they face a Bournemouth side sitting sixth with 55 points. The match is set at Bournemouth's home ground, where their top scorer E. Kroupi has been in fine form.
Despite Bournemouth's spirited performances, injuries to key attackers Semenyo and Tavernier blunt their offensive threat. Manchester City's creative duo, R. Cherki and P. Foden, are expected to unlock the home defence. City's consistent scoring streak in away games and Bournemouth's defensive vulnerabilities suggest a narrow away win.
Prediction
The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favour of Manchester City, with a fulltime scoreline of 1-2. The match is expected to feature four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter. Confidence in this outcome stands at a robust 95%.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Key Bournemouth attackers injured
Semenyo and Tavernier are injured, reducing Bournemouth's attacking threat significantly.
Haaland's absence weakens Man City's attack
Haaland is injured and missing, which may reduce City's scoring power despite other attackers.
Cherki and Foden as creative hubs for Man City
Cherki and Foden lead assists and key passes, likely to unlock Bournemouth's defense.
Bournemouth's top scorer Kroupi in good form
Kroupi has consistent scoring form and is Bournemouth's main goal threat despite team injuries.
Man City’s strong recent scoring streak
Man City has scored in last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Manchester City's superior form, tactical edge, and Bournemouth's injury setbacks point to a 2-1 away victory. Fans can anticipate an entertaining match with goals and a touch of Premier League drama.
- Manchester City have won 18 of 19 meetings against Bournemouth.
- Head-to-head matches average 3.6 goals, indicating high scoring potential.
- Manchester City currently sit 2nd with 77 points; Bournemouth are 6th with 55 points.
- Bournemouth's top scorer E. Kroupi has 12 goals this season, including 3 in the last 5 games.
- Key Bournemouth attackers Semenyo and Tavernier are injured, reducing their attacking threat.
- Manchester City's R. Cherki leads with 11 assists this season, supported by P. Foden.
- Manchester City have scored in their last 5 away games, showing strong offensive momentum.
- Total cards predicted for the match is 4, suggesting a competitive game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bournemouth
Away — Manchester City
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Adams
Yellow Card
Kroupi
Assist: Truffert
Semenyo
Kovačić
Silva
Hill
Yellow Card
Kroupi
Doku
Rayan
Evanilson
Kluivert
Yellow Card
Rodri
Yellow Card
Truffert
Yellow Card
Haaland
Smith
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 2 |  Manchester City | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | +42 | 78 |
| 3 |  Manchester United | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | +19 | 71 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
Match Statistics
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 3A. TruffertD
- 5M. SenesiD
- 8A. ScottM
- 9EvanilsonF
- 12T. AdamsM
- 15A. SmithD
- 16M. TavernierM
- 22E. KroupiM
- 23J. HillD
- 37RayanM
Substitutes
- 4L. CookM
- 7D. BrooksM
- 11B. DoakF
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 19J. KluivertF
- 21A. AdliF
- 26E. ÜnalF
- 27A. TóthM
- 29C. MandasG
Manchester City
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 8M. KovačićM
- 9E. HaalandF
- 11J. DokuM
- 15M. GuéhiD
- 16RodriM
- 20Bernardo SilvaM
- 25G. DonnarummaG
- 27Matheus NunesD
- 33N. O'ReillyD
- 42A. SemenyoM
- 45A. KhusanovD
Substitutes
- 1J. TraffordG
- 3Rúben DiasD
- 4T. ReijndersM
- 5J. StonesD
- 7Omar MarmoushF
- 10R. CherkiM
- 24J. GvardiolD
- 26SávioF
- 47P. FodenM
Bournemouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcos Senesi | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Scott | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Marcus Tavernier | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Eli Junior Kroupi | M | 76 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Adrien Truffert | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Evanilson | F | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Đorđe Petrović | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Hill | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Tyler Adams | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Smith(C) | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ben Gannon-Doak | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Adli | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Cook | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bafodé Diakité | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Mandas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Tóth | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Ünal | F | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Brooks | M | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Justin Kluivert | F | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Manchester City
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rodri | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Erling Haaland | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Abdukodir Khusanov | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Matheus Nunes | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/6 |
| Jérémy Doku | M | 76 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| Gianluigi Donnarumma | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Kovačić | M | 56 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Marc Guéhi | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Antoine Semenyo | M | 56 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Bernardo Silva(C) | M | 56 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nico O'Reilly | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rúben Dias | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Trafford | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joško Gvardiol | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Stones | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Savinho | F | 34 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Phil Foden | M | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Omar Marmoush | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Cherki | M | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |