Bournemouth vs Liverpool
Isak's strike secures narrow Liverpool win
A solitary goal after the break was enough for Liverpool to edge Bournemouth at the Vitality Stadium.
Liverpool managed a slender 1-0 victory over Bournemouth thanks to Alexander Isak's 57th-minute goal. The match was tightly contested, with the decisive moment coming just after the interval. Fipster's prediction of an away win was spot on, though the exact scoreline differed slightly.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Bournemouth and Liverpool prepare to face off in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive match that could set the tone for the months ahead.
Key facts
- 1.Liverpool are ranked 5th with 60 points last season, Bournemouth 6th with 57 points.
- 2.Liverpool have a better goal difference (+10) than Bournemouth (+4) from last season.
- 3.Bournemouth signed Á. Rodríguez, M. Di Gregorio (loan), and António Silva over the summer.
- 4.Liverpool signed B. Barcola, Víctor Muñoz, and J. Jacquet, but lost Mohamed Salah, I. Konaté, and C. Jones.
- 5.The predicted halftime and fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Liverpool.
- 6.Aggregate probabilities show a clear preference for an away win at over 65%.
- 7.The 1-2 scoreline is the modal predicted result for this fixture.
The context
Bournemouth have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of Á. Rodríguez, M. Di Gregorio on loan, and António Silva, while parting ways with A. Semenyo, M. Senesi, and Álex Jiménez. Liverpool, meanwhile, have seen the departure of Mohamed Salah, I. Konaté, and C. Jones, but have strengthened their squad with the signings of B. Barcola, Víctor Muñoz, and J. Jacquet. These changes will undoubtedly influence the dynamics as both sides look to make a strong start.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bournemouth
Away — Liverpool
Analysis
Liverpool enter this fixture with a slight edge, reflected in their superior goal difference and a higher league standing from last season. The Reds' attacking options, despite the loss of Salah, remain potent with fresh talent ready to make an impact. Bournemouth's new signings add depth and versatility, but Liverpool's overall quality and tactical cohesion are expected to prevail. The predicted halftime and fulltime scoreline of 2-1 suggests a closely contested match with Liverpool maintaining a narrow lead throughout.
Prediction
The forecast is for Liverpool to clinch a 2-1 victory, maintaining a 2-1 lead from halftime to fulltime. This outcome aligns with the aggregate probabilities favouring an away win and the most likely scoreline. Expect a competitive game where Liverpool's experience and attacking threat just edge out Bournemouth's spirited challenge.
The verdict
This season opener promises excitement and quality football, with Liverpool expected to start their campaign on a positive note. Bournemouth will no doubt push hard, but the Reds' blend of new signings and established players should secure the three points in a 2-1 win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Szoboszlai
Yellow Card
Isak
Isak
Yellow Card
Wirtz
Barcola
Tavernier
Christie
Smith
António Silva
Yellow Card
Isak
Szoboszlai
Adams
Rayan
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Manchester City | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 5 |  Leeds | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |  Liverpool | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Everton | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 16 |  Aston Villa | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |  Bournemouth | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |  Coventry | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 3A. TruffertD
- 5J. HillD
- 8A. ScottM
- 9EvanilsonF
- 10R. ChristieM
- 12T. AdamsM
- 14António SilvaD
- 15A. SmithD
- 16M. TavernierM
- 37RayanM
Substitutes
- 4L. CookM
- 6J. SolerD
- 7D. BrooksM
- 11B. DoakF
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 20M. Di GregorioG
- 24Juanlu SánchezM
- 27A. TóthM
- 29D. JebbisonF
Liverpool
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Alisson BeckerG
- 4V. van DijkD
- 5J. JacquetD
- 6M. KerkezD
- 7F. WirtzM
- 8D. SzoboszlaiM
- 9A. IsakF
- 10A. Mac AllisterM
- 18C. GakpoM
- 29B. BarcolaM
- 33R. AraújoD
Substitutes
- 2J. GomezD
- 21K. TsimikasD
- 23Víctor MuñozF
- 25G. MamardashviliG
- 30J. FrimpongD
- 38R. GravenberchM
- 42T. NyoniM
- 67L. KoumasF
- 73R. NgumohaF
Bournemouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| António Silva | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hill | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Scott | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| T. Adams | M | 88 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rayan | M | 88 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Truffert | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Doak | F | 2 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Cook | M | 15 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evanilson | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| A. Smith | D | 75 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Brooks | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Đ. Petrović | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Jebbison | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tavernier | M | 75 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| R. Christie | M | 75 | 6.0 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 0/2 |
| A. Tóth | M | 2 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Soler | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juanlu Sánchez | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Di Gregorio | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Diakité | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Liverpool
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. van Dijk | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Isak | F | 81 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Jacquet | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alisson Becker | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Gakpo | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 2/5 |
| R. Araújo | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| T. Nyoni | M | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Mac Allister | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| M. Kerkez | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| F. Wirtz | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Víctor Muñoz | F | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Barcola | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/3 |
| D. Szoboszlai | M | 81 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Gravenberch | M | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Koumas | F | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Frimpong | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Tsimikas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Gomez | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mamardashvili | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ngumoha | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Liverpool to win against Bournemouth.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bournemouth 1–2 Liverpool.
- What were the win probabilities for Bournemouth vs Liverpool?
- Fipster's model gave Bournemouth a 7% chance of winning, Liverpool a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.