Bournemouth vs Leeds
Match recap
Bournemouth and Leeds drew 2–2 in their Premier League fixture. Kroupi and Rayan scored for Bournemouth; Hill and Longstaff replied for Leeds. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.45 for Bournemouth versus 0.86 for Leeds. Bournemouth sit 6th in the Premier League table while Leeds are 14th.
Analysis
The upcoming clash between Bournemouth and Leeds promises an intriguing battle as both sides vie for crucial points in the regular season. Bournemouth, playing on home turf, look poised to leverage their attacking depth and recent form to claim victory.
Bournemouth currently sit 9th in the league with 48 points, while Leeds are 15th with 39 points. Historically, Leeds have the upper hand in head-to-head wins, but Bournemouth boast a better goal difference this season. The match will be officiated by M. Salisbury at Bournemouth's home ground.
Bournemouth's attacking threat is spearheaded by E. Kroupi, who has netted 10 goals this season and scored twice in his last five games, showing strong form at home. Midfielder A. Semenyo, despite injury doubts, remains a key goal contributor. Leeds rely heavily on D. Calvert-Lewin, their top scorer with 11 goals, but injury concerns in their midfield may hamper creativity. Bournemouth's defensive stability could be tested by the absence of M. Senesi, their top assisting defender.
Prediction
We predict a 2-1 home win for Bournemouth, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of four cards likely to be shown. Bournemouth's attacking midfield depth and recent scoring form give them the edge over Leeds.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Bournemouth's attacking midfield depth
Bournemouth's midfielders like Semenyo and Scott provide goal and assist threat, exploiting Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities.
Impact of Senesi's absence
Senesi's injury weakens Bournemouth's defense and set-piece delivery, potentially reducing defensive stability and assist potential.
Kroupi's recent scoring form
Kroupi's 2 goals in last 5 matches and consistent minutes suggest he will be a key goal threat in this match.
Leeds' reliance on Calvert-Lewin
Calvert-Lewin is Leeds' main scoring outlet with 11 goals; Bournemouth's defense must focus on limiting his impact.
Leeds' creative midfielders' injury concerns
Leeds have injury doubts on key midfielders like Stach and Longstaff, potentially reducing creativity and assist potential.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Bournemouth's home advantage and key players' form should see them narrowly overcome Leeds. While Leeds have their moments, Bournemouth's sharper attack and better goal difference this season make them favourites to take all three points.
- Leeds have won 4 of 7 meetings, Bournemouth 2, with 1 draw.
- Average 4.1 goals per match in past Bournemouth vs Leeds meetings.
- Bournemouth are 9th in the league with 48 points from 33 games.
- Leeds are 15th with 39 points from 33 games.
- Bournemouth have a better goal difference (+0) than Leeds (-7) this season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bournemouth
Away — Leeds
No standout top scorers flagged for Leeds
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kroupi
Yellow Card
Álex Jiménez
Yellow Card
Bogle
Kroupi
Assist: Senesi
Okafor
Bijol
Brooks
Hill (OG)
Christie
Kroupi
Aaronson
Rayan
Assist: Adams
Tanaka
Goal cancelled
Evanilson
Yellow Card
Longstaff
Tavernier
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Arsenal | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | +44 | 85 |
| 5 |  Liverpool | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | +10 | 60 |
| 6 |  Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | +4 | 57 |
| 7 |  Sunderland | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | -6 | 54 |
| 13 |  Everton | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | -3 | 49 |
| 14 |  Leeds | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | -7 | 47 |
| 15 |  Crystal Palace | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | -10 | 45 |
Match Statistics
Bournemouth
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Đ. PetrovićG
- 3A. TruffertD
- 5M. SenesiD
- 7D. BrooksM
- 8A. ScottM
- 9EvanilsonF
- 10R. ChristieM
- 16M. TavernierM
- 20Álex JiménezD
- 22E. KroupiM
- 23J. HillD
Substitutes
- 11B. DoakF
- 12T. AdamsM
- 15A. SmithD
- 18B. DiakitéD
- 21A. AdliF
- 26E. ÜnalF
- 27A. TóthM
- 29C. MandasG
- 37RayanF
Leeds
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2J. BogleM
- 3G. GudmundssonM
- 4E. AmpaduM
- 5P. StruijkD
- 9D. Calvert-LewinF
- 11B. AaronsonF
- 15J. BijolD
- 19N. OkaforF
- 22A. TanakaM
- 24J. JustinD
- 26K. DarlowG
Substitutes
- 1Lucas PerriG
- 6J. RodonD
- 7D. JamesM
- 8S. LongstaffM
- 10J. PiroeF
- 14L. NmechaF
- 23S. BornauwD
- 29W. GnontoF
- 40F. BuonanotteM
Bournemouth
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli Junior Kroupi | M | 73 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Marcos Senesi | D | 99 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Adrien Truffert | D | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alex Scott | M | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Ryan Christie | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Álex Jiménez | D | 99 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/5 |
| Đorđe Petrović | G | 99 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Hill | D | 99 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Marcus Tavernier | M | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| David Brooks(C) | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Evanilson | F | 99 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Enes Unal | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Gannon-Doak | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Smith | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bafodé Diakité | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christos Mandas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Adams | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rayan | F | 32 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Amine Adli | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alex Tóth | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leeds
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pascal Struijk | D | 99 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Gudmundsson | M | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ethan Ampadu(C) | M | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Brenden Aaronson | F | 84 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Jaka Bijol | D | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| James Justin | D | 99 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ao Tanaka | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Karl Darlow | G | 99 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Okafor | F | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3/6 |
| Jayden Bogle | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dominic Calvert-Lewin | F | 99 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sebastiaan Bornauw | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Facundo Buonanotte | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Perri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel James | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sean Longstaff | M | 15 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Wilfried Gnonto | F | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Lukas Nmecha | F | 35 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Joe Rodon | D | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Joël Piroe | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |