Botafogo vs Internacional
Match recap
Botafogo and Internacional drew 2–2 in their Serie A fixture. Santos and Medina scored for Botafogo; Carbonero and Bernabéi replied for Internacional. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.36 for Botafogo versus 0.31 for Internacional. Botafogo sit 11th in the Serie A table while Internacional are 16th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Botafogo win
Actual
2–2
Outcome probability
Botafogo and Internacional face off in what promises to be a closely contested regular season match. Both sides have shown resilience this season, but Botafogo's recent attacking form and home advantage could prove decisive.
Match factors
Botafogo's Danilo Santos in strong scoring form
Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 9 goals and has scored 3 in last 5 games, providing a key attacking edge
Alex Telles' dual threat from defense
Alex Telles contributes 4 goals and 4 assists this season, exceptional for a defender and key set-piece taker
Álvaro Montoro's creative surge
Montoro has 5 assists this season with 2 in last 5 games, boosting Botafogo's chance creation
Internacional's Johan Carbonero as key attacker
Carbonero has 7 goals and 4 assists, showing consistent attacking threat for Internacional
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions reported, so all key players are available for selection
The context
Botafogo currently sit 13th in the league with 36 points from 30 games, while Internacional are 17th with 32 points from the same number of matches. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Internacional holding a slight edge in wins. This fixture is part of the regular season's 13th round.
Key insights
Danilo Santos
Botafogo
Leads Botafogo scoring with 9 goals, including 3 in last 5 matches, making him a key home performer.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 22 apps, 0.41 avg per game
Alex Telles
Botafogo
Exceptional attacking contribution for a defender with 4 goals and 4 assists, a key set-piece threat.
Serie A 26/274 assists in 27 apps, 0.15 avg per game
Álvaro Montoro
Botafogo
Top assister with 5 assists and strong recent form, boosting Botafogo's chance creation.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 25 apps, 0.20 avg per game
J. Carbonero
Internacional
Consistent attacking threat with 7 goals and 4 assists, vital for Internacional's offense.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 29 apps, 0.24 avg per game
Analysis
Botafogo's Danilo Santos has been in fine scoring form, netting 9 goals this season including 3 in the last 5 matches, making him a key threat especially at home where he averages 1.67 goals per game. Additionally, defender Alex Telles offers a dual threat with 4 goals and 4 assists, contributing significantly from set-pieces. On the other side, Internacional's Johan Carbonero remains a consistent attacking presence with 7 goals and 4 assists. However, Botafogo's creative hub Álvaro Montoro, with 5 assists and strong recent form, could tip the balance in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.Botafogo are 13th in the league with 36 points from 30 games (W9 D9 L12).
- 2.Internacional are 17th with 32 points from 30 games (W7 D11 L12).
- 3.Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 9 goals this season, scoring 3 in the last 5 matches.
- 4.Alex Telles has contributed 4 goals and 4 assists, an impressive tally for a defender.
- 5.Álvaro Montoro is Botafogo's top assister with 5 assists and strong recent form.
- 6.Johan Carbonero has 7 goals and 4 assists for Internacional, a key attacking threat.
- 7.Head-to-head matches average 2.8 goals per game between these sides.
Prediction
Considering the attacking strengths and home advantage, Botafogo are favoured to win this encounter 2-1. While the margin is expected to be narrow, their ability to convert chances and defensive resilience should see them edge out Internacional in this tightly matched fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Botafogo
Away — Internacional
The verdict
This match is set to be a competitive affair with both teams eager for points. Botafogo's recent form and key players' contributions suggest they will just about claim the spoils. Fans can expect an entertaining game with goals and tactical battles throughout.
Prediction generated 14 Oct 2026, 00:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Clayton
Yellow Card
Cabral
Yellow Card
Vitinho
Torres
Yellow Card
Júnior Santos
Santos
Assist: Ponte
Carbonero
Assist: Alerrandro
Henrique
Alerrandro
Vitinho
Medina
Matheus Martins
Edenílson
Victor Gabriel
Yellow Card
Bernabéi
Cabral
Correa
Yellow Card
Carbonero
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 37 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 32 | 8 | 11 | 13 | -4 | 35 |
| 17 |  Corinthians | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 33 |
Match Statistics
Botafogo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 6C. MedinaM
- 7Júnior SantosM
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 11Matheus MartinsM
- 13Alex TellesD
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 20A. BarbozaD
- 22NetoG
- 88EdenílsonM
Substitutes
- 1RaulG
- 4M. PonteD
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 14J. BarreraM
- 15Bartolomeu Jacinto QuissangaD
- 21MarçalD
- 25AllanM
- 27Caio RoqueD
- 28NewtonM
- 30J. CorreaF
- 34G. JustinoD
- 37K. BarriaF
Internacional
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4F. TorresD
- 5R. VillagraM
- 7J. CarboneroF
- 8Bruno HenriqueM
- 9AlerrandroF
- 12AnthoniG
- 15Bruno GomesD
- 26A. BernabéiD
- 28VitinhoM
- 31AllexM
- 41Victor GabrielD
Substitutes
- 6Matheus BahiaD
- 10Alan PatrickM
- 11KaykyF
- 17TabataF
- 18JuninhoD
- 19R. BorréF
- 20ClaytonD
- 22KauanG
- 27PaulinhoM
- 29Thiago MaiaM
- 33B. ArhinM
- 35B. AguirreD
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Cristian Medina | M | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 78 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alexander Barboza | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | D | 33 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Júnior Santos | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Edenilson | M | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Matheus Martins | M | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 3/7 |
| Alex Telles(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Neto | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Gabriel Justino | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Barrera | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Roque | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Newton | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raul | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bastos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 12 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Ponte | D | 57 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 2/2 |
| Kadir Barría | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Joaquin Correa | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Internacional
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johan Carbonero | F | 83 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Anthoni | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandro Bernabei | D | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Bruno Henrique(C) | M | 62 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Villagra | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Victor Gabriel | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Allex | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Félix Torres | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alerrandro | F | 62 | 6.0 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Bruno Gomes | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Braian Aguirre | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Sampaio | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamin Arhin | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Maia | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Tabata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kayky | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Bahia | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho Paula | M | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rafael Borré | F | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan Patrick | M | 28 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Botafogo vs Internacional?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Botafogo to win against Internacional.
- What score did Fipster predict for Botafogo vs Internacional?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Botafogo 2–1 Internacional.
- What were the win probabilities for Botafogo vs Internacional?
- Fipster's model gave Botafogo a 35% chance of winning, Internacional a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.