Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc
Botafogo edges Chapecoense with early strike
Tiquinho Soares' seventh-minute goal secures a narrow victory for the hosts.
Botafogo claimed a tight 1-0 win over Chapecoense thanks to an early goal from Tiquinho Soares. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a more comfortable 3-1 scoreline, the outcome still favoured the home side as expected. The match was decided well before the break, with Botafogo holding on to their slender lead for the remainder of the game.
Outcome probability
Botafogo and Chapecoense-sc face off in the 31st round of the regular season, with Botafogo looking to extend their advantage over a struggling Chapecoense-sc side.
Match factors
Danilo Santos' midfield scoring edge
Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 10 goals, showing strong scoring form from midfield, a key advantage
Álvaro Montoro's assist influence
Montoro's 5 assists and recent form boost Botafogo's chance to create scoring opportunities
Alex Telles' recent goal and assist contributions
Telles has contributed goals and assists recently, enhancing Botafogo's attacking threat from defense
Marcinho as Chapecoense's key scorer
Marcinho is Chapecoense's top scorer with 5 goals and recent scoring form, vital for their attack
Giovanni Augusto's creative role for Chapecoense
Augusto leads Chapecoense with 5 assists, providing key creativity and set-piece threat
The context
Botafogo currently sit 13th in the league with 36 points, while Chapecoense-sc are down in 20th with 18 points. Historically, Botafogo have the upper hand, winning 8 of their 13 meetings against Chapecoense-sc.
Key insights
Danilo Santos
Botafogo
Danilo Santos leads Botafogo with 10 goals, including 3 in the last 5 games, providing a strong scoring threat from midfield.
Serie A 26/2710 goals in 23 apps, 0.43 goals/game
Álvaro Montoro
Botafogo
Álvaro Montoro's 5 assists and recent form with 2 assists in the last 5 games boost Botafogo's attacking creativity.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 26 apps, 0.19 assists/game
Alex Telles
Botafogo
Alex Telles contributes both goals and assists recently, enhancing Botafogo's threat from defence.
Serie A 26/274 goals and 4 assists in 27 apps
Marcinho
Chapecoense-sc
Marcinho is Chapecoense-sc's top scorer with 5 goals and has shown decent recent form with 2 goals in the last 5 games.
Serie A 26/275 goals in 28 apps, 0.18 goals/game
Giovanni Augusto
Chapecoense-sc
Giovanni Augusto leads Chapecoense-sc with 5 assists, providing key creativity and set-piece threat.
Serie A 26/275 assists in 21 apps, 0.24 assists/game
Analysis
Botafogo's stronger goal difference (+26 compared to Chapecoense-sc's -31) highlights their superior offensive and defensive capabilities. Danilo Santos leads the charge with 10 goals this season, including 3 in the last 5 games, making him a key threat from midfield. Álvaro Montoro's 5 assists and recent form further boost Botafogo's attacking potential. Meanwhile, Chapecoense-sc rely heavily on Marcinho, their top scorer with 5 goals, and Giovanni Augusto's creativity with 5 assists. However, the gap in quality and form suggests Botafogo will control the game.
Key facts
- 1.Botafogo have won 8 of 13 meetings against Chapecoense-sc.
- 2.Botafogo rank 13th with 36 points from 30 games.
- 3.Chapecoense-sc rank 20th with 18 points from 29 games.
- 4.Botafogo have a goal difference of +26; Chapecoense-sc have -31.
- 5.Danilo Santos is Botafogo's top scorer with 10 goals this season.
- 6.Álvaro Montoro leads Botafogo with 5 assists.
- 7.Marcinho is Chapecoense-sc's top scorer with 5 goals.
- 8.Giovanni Augusto leads Chapecoense-sc with 5 assists.
Prediction
We expect Botafogo to take an early lead, reflected in a 1-0 halftime score, before extending their advantage to a 3-1 fulltime victory. The match should see around three cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Botafogo
Away — Chapecoense-sc
The verdict
Botafogo's combination of form, key player contributions, and historical dominance makes them the clear favourites to secure all three points against Chapecoense-sc in this fixture.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 06:13 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Tiquinho Soares
Assist: Matheus Martins
Yellow Card
Unknown
Ziyech
Unknown
Unknown
Allan
Tiquinho Soares
Montoro
Matheus Martins
Unknown
Unknown
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | +36 | 67 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | +3 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -4 | 39 |
| 12 |  Coritiba | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 39 |
| 19 |  Remo | 31 | 5 | 11 | 15 | -15 | 26 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 30 | 3 | 9 | 18 | -32 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Botafogo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 8Danilo SantosM
- 9Tiquinho SoaresF
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 11Matheus MartinsM
- 12Gabriel BatistaG
- 13Alex TellesD
- 21MarçalD
- 22H. ZiyechM
- 25AllanM
Substitutes
- 4M. PonteD
- 6C. MedinaM
- 7Júnior SantosF
- 17WarlesonG
- 19Arthur CabralF
- 29PaulinhoD
- 33G. JustinoD
- 37K. BarriaF
- 59Kauan ToledoM
- 75HuguinhoM
- 77L. VillalbaF
- 90DaniloF
- 91Domingos AndradeM
Chapecoense-sc
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3DomaD
- 10Giovanni AugustoF
- 12FernandoM
- 20Bruno TubarãoD
- 21Kauan Faria GomesD
- 27CamiloM
- 31GarcezM
- 88Yago FelipeM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 98AndersonG
Substitutes
- 4João PauloD
- 11Y. BolasieF
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 16Bruno MatiasM
- 22MaxM
- 23DuduD
- 29F. RossiF
- 30Matheus AurélioG
- 39RodrigoF
- 80Miguel CarvalhoM
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tiquinho Soares | F | 66 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Alex Telles | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Matheus Martins | M | 76 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| N. Ferraresi | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Danilo Santos | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Kauan Toledo | M | 14 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| H. Ziyech | M | 55 | 7.1 | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — |
| Domingos Andrade | M | 25 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gabriel Batista | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Medina | M | 35 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Danilo | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Allan | M | 65 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 76 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| G. Justino | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arthur Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulinho | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Warleson | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Ponte | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Villalba | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Huguinho | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Barria | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Botafogo to win against Chapecoense-sc.
- What score did Fipster predict for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Botafogo 3–1 Chapecoense-sc.
- What were the win probabilities for Botafogo vs Chapecoense-sc?
- Fipster's model gave Botafogo a 85% chance of winning, Chapecoense-sc a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.