Botafogo vs Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense edge Botafogo in five-goal thriller
K. Viveros shines with a brace as Atletico Paranaense hold on for a narrow win.
Atletico Paranaense took an early grip on the game with quickfire goals from Joao Cruz and K. Viveros inside the first 15 minutes. Viveros added a crucial third after the break, but Botafogo fought back late through S. Rodríguez and K. Barria to make it tense. Despite the late surge, Atletico Paranaense held on for a 3-2 victory, a result that matched Fipster's medium-confidence prediction for an away win, though the scoreline was more eventful than forecast.
Outcome probability
This clash between Botafogo and Atletico Paranaense promises a tight contest as both sides look to improve their league standings. Atletico Paranaense currently sit comfortably in third place, while Botafogo are mid-table, making this a crucial fixture for both teams.
Match factors
Atletico Paranaense's potent striker advantage
Kevin Viveros leads with 14 goals, significantly outscoring Botafogo's top scorer, providing a key attacking edge
Botafogo's Alex Telles excels in creativity
Alex Telles contributes 3 assists and 3 goals, above average for midfielders, boosting Botafogo's attacking threat
Atletico Paranaense's recent scoring consistency
Atletico Paranaense scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form
Botafogo missing key defenders due to suspension and injury
Botafogo's defensive stability weakened by confirmed outs Marçal and Gabriel Justino, increasing vulnerability
The context
Atletico Paranaense have been consistent this season, boasting a +9 goal difference and 41 points from 23 games. Botafogo, with 30 points from 21 games and a modest +2 goal difference, face a tough challenge. Historically, Atletico Paranaense have the upper hand with 10 wins in 20 meetings compared to Botafogo's 6.
Key insights
K. Viveros
Atletico Paranaense
Top scorer in the league with 14 goals, providing a key attacking edge for Atletico Paranaense.
Serie A 26/2714 goals in 21 appearances, 0.67 avg per game
Arthur Cabral
Botafogo
Leading scorer for Botafogo with 7 goals, but less prolific than Viveros.
Serie A 26/277 goals in 20 appearances, 0.35 avg per game
Alex Telles
Botafogo
Creative midfielder with 3 assists and 3 goals, boosting Botafogo's attacking threat.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 19 appearances, 0.16 avg per game
Analysis
Atletico Paranaense's attacking threat is spearheaded by Kevin Viveros, the league's top scorer with 14 goals in 21 appearances, including strong recent form. Botafogo's leading scorer Arthur Cabral has 7 goals but lacks the firepower to match Viveros. Botafogo's defence is weakened by the absence of key defenders Marçal and Gabriel Justino, which could be exploited by Atletico's potent attack. Both teams are expected to play cautiously, but Atletico's edge in attack and defensive stability should see them through.
Key facts
- 1.Atletico Paranaense lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to Botafogo's 6 in 20 matches.
- 2.Atletico Paranaense are 3rd in the league with 41 points from 23 games.
- 3.Botafogo sit 11th with 30 points from 21 games.
- 4.Atletico Paranaense have a +9 goal difference, superior to Botafogo's +2.
- 5.Kevin Viveros is the league's top scorer with 14 goals in 21 appearances.
- 6.Botafogo's Arthur Cabral has scored 7 goals in 20 appearances.
- 7.Botafogo are missing key defenders Marçal and Gabriel Justino due to injury and suspension.
Prediction
We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Atletico Paranaense, with the decisive goal likely coming in the first half. The match is expected to be competitive, with around four cards shown as tensions rise in this closely fought encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Botafogo
Away — Atletico Paranaense
The verdict
Atletico Paranaense's superior form and attacking prowess should secure them the three points, while Botafogo will need to regroup defensively to avoid a repeat of this result. Expect a tight game with Atletico just shading it.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal
Viveros
Assist: Dantas
Toledo
Yellow Card
Leozinho
Luiz Gustavo
Toledo
Unknown
Allan
Medina
Edenílson
Yellow Card
Edenílson
Dantas
Yellow Card
Viveros
Assist: Vargas
Montoro
Rodríguez
Viveros
Barria
Assist: Danilo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | +24 | 51 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | +24 | 45 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | +11 | 41 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +7 | 41 |
| 10 |  Corinthians | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | +2 | 32 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | +1 | 30 |
| 12 |  Vitoria | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
Match Statistics
Botafogo
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2VitinhoD
- 5N. FerraresiD
- 6C. MedinaM
- 9DaniloF
- 10Álvaro MontoroM
- 12Gabriel BatistaG
- 13Alex TellesD
- 25AllanM
- 34G. JustinoD
- 59Kauan ToledoM
- 88EdenílsonM
Substitutes
- 4M. PonteD
- 7Júnior SantosF
- 11Matheus MartinsF
- 21MarçalD
- 23S. RodríguezM
- 37K. BarriaF
- 42Kadu SantosD
- 62CleberG
- 75HuguinhoM
- 77L. VillalbaF
- 91Domingos AndradeM
Atletico Paranaense
3-5-2Starting XI
- 4Arthur DiasD
- 7S. MendozaM
- 8João CruzM
- 9K. ViverosF
- 14Luiz GustavoM
- 16JádsonM
- 21LeozinhoF
- 23SantosG
- 25DantasD
- 29G. BenavídezM
- 33J. AguirreD
Substitutes
- 1MycaelG
- 2GilbertoD
- 3LéoD
- 5FelipinhoD
- 10B. ZapelliM
- 18K. VargasF
- 19Jorge Luis Rivaldo PintoF
- 22C. TeránD
- 27J. PortillaM
- 47ChiquetiM
- 53DuduM
- 70Renan PeixotoF
Botafogo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nahuel Ferraresi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Allan | M | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Danilo | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Vitinho | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Edenilson | M | 72 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Álvaro Montoro | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Cristian Medina | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Justino | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Kauan Toledo | M | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Alex Telles(C) | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — |
| Gabriel Batista | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lucas Villalba | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kadu Santos | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cléber Lucas | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marçal | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Domingos Andrade | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Ponte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Rodríguez | M | 18 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Kadir Barría | F | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Júnior Santos | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Huguinho | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Martins | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
Atletico Paranaense
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santos(C) | G | 90 | 9.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Viveros | F | 85 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Dantas | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Arthur Dias | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Felipe Aguirre | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Steven Mendoza | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Gastón Benavídez | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Cruz | M | 61 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/2 |
| Luiz Gustavo | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jádson | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Leozinho | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Carlos Terán | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mycael | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Zapelli | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Felipinho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chiqueti | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Léo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Renan Peixoto Nepomuceno | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gilberto Junior | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jorge Rivaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerwin Vargas | F | 45 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Dudu | M | 29 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Juan Portilla | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |