Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland
Match recap
Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Poland 1–0 in their UEFA Nations League fixture. Bašić scored for Bosnia & Herzegovina. Bosnia & Herzegovina held 44% possession to 56% for Poland.
Outcome probability
Bosnia & Herzegovina and Poland face off in a League B match where both sides have shown glimpses of quality. With Poland holding a slight edge in recent head-to-heads, this promises to be a tightly contested affair.
Match factors
Bosnia's creative midfielders vs Poland's defense
Bosnia's Bajraktarević and Bašić provide creative and defensive balance, challenging Poland's backline.
Lewandowski's goal-scoring form
Lewandowski scored 3 goals in last match, showing lethal finishing that could decide the game.
Bosnia's recent scoring streak
Bosnia scored in last 2 matches with multiple players contributing goals, showing attacking momentum.
Poland's defensive passing strength
Poland defenders Bednarek and Kiwior have high passing accuracy, aiding build-up play and control.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical choices will be key without forced absences.
The context
In this League B campaign, Bosnia & Herzegovina have played three matches, winning once and drawing twice, scoring five goals and conceding three. Poland have also played three, with one win, one draw, and one loss, netting seven and conceding three. Historically, Poland have the upper hand in their three meetings, winning twice with one draw, and an average of two goals per match.
Key insights
- R
Robert Lewandowski
Poland
Lewandowski's recent form is exceptional, scoring 3 goals in the last match, making him a key threat.
UEFA Nations League 26/273 goals in last match in this competition
Esmir Bajraktarević
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Bajraktarević is a creative force with 2 assists in 2 games, crucial for Bosnia's attacking play.
UEFA Nations League 26/272 assists in 2 appearances in this competition
- J
Jan Bednarek
Poland
Bednarek's 96% passing accuracy helps Poland maintain control and build attacks effectively.
UEFA Nations League 26/2796% passing accuracy in this competition
Tarik Muharemović
Bosnia & Herzegovina
Muharemović is an unusually scoring defender with 1 goal in 2 games, adding an extra threat on set pieces.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 2 appearances in this competition
Analysis
Poland's recent form includes a standout performance from Robert Lewandowski, who bagged a hat-trick in their last match, showcasing his lethal finishing. Bosnia's creative midfielders, particularly Esmir Bajraktarević with his impressive assist rate, will look to challenge Poland's disciplined defence. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical nous will be key. Poland's defenders, like Jan Bednarek, offer strong passing accuracy, aiding their build-up play, while Bosnia's Tarik Muharemović provides an unusual goal threat from defence.
Key facts
- 1.Bosnia & Herzegovina have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D2 L0, GF 5 / GA 3).
- 2.Poland have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D1 L1, GF 7 / GA 3).
- 3.In 3 head-to-head meetings, Bosnia & Herzegovina have won 0, Poland have won 2, with 1 draw.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 2.0 total goals (1 for Bosnia & Herzegovina, 5 for Poland).
- 5.Robert Lewandowski scored 3 goals in Poland's last match.
- 6.Esmir Bajraktarević leads Bosnia with 2 assists in 2 games.
- 7.Jan Bednarek boasts 96% passing accuracy aiding Poland's build-up play.
- 8.Both teams have full squads available with no confirmed injuries.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for Poland, with the halftime scoreline expected to be 1-2 as well. This aligns with the statistical probabilities favouring an away win and the most likely exact scoreline. Expect a competitive match with Poland edging it thanks to their attacking prowess and defensive solidity.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bosnia & Herzegovina
Away — Poland
The verdict
While Bosnia & Herzegovina will push hard, especially with their creative midfielders in good form, Poland's recent goal-scoring exploits and solid defensive organisation should see them through. Fans can anticipate a lively encounter with Poland narrowly coming out on top.
Prediction generated 2 Oct 2026, 20:43 UTC · Fipster Model v1.162
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Gigović
Yellow Card
Zalewski
Yellow Card
Demirović
Yellow Card
Świderski
Cash
Mahmić
Smajlović
Katić
Yellow Card
Demirović
Tabaković
Penalty cancelled
Bednarek
Yellow Card
Bašić
Penalty
Nowak
Żukowski
Gigović
Wojtuszek
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4T. MuharemovićD
- 5S. KolašinacD
- 7Z. SmajlovićD
- 8A. GigovićM
- 10E. DemirovićF
- 13I. BašićM
- 15A. MemićM
- 16Ermin MahmićM
- 18N. KatićD
- 22M. ZlomislićG
- 23H. TabakovićF
Substitutes
- 1M. JurkasG
- 2N. MujakićD
- 3A. MalicD
- 6B. TahirovićM
- 9S. BaždarF
- 11E. BajraktarevicF
- 12S. HamzićG
- 14I. ŠunjićM
- 17A. HasićM
- 19J. LukićF
- 20N. OmerovićF
- 21S. RadeljićD
Poland
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. BułkaG
- 2M. CashD
- 5J. BednarekD
- 9M. ŻukowskiF
- 10P. ZielińskiM
- 11K. ŚwiderskiM
- 14J. KiwiorD
- 16W. NowakM
- 19P. FrankowskiD
- 20S. SzymańskiM
- 21N. ZalewskiM
Substitutes
- 3P. WiśniewskiD
- 4T. KędzioraD
- 6B. SliszM
- 7O. PietuszewskiF
- 8K. UrbaÅskiM
- 12M. KochalskiG
- 13N. WojtuszekD
- 15T. PuchaczD
- 17M. SkóraśF
- 18M. RegułaM
- 22S. AbramowiczG
- 23K. PotulskiD
Bosnia & Herzegovina
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Bašić | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| M. Zlomislić | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Smajlović | D | 63 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| T. Muharemović | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Kolašinac | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Radeljić | D | 1 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Katić | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Tahirović | M | 27 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Memić | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Ermin Mahmić | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Baždar | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Lukić | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Bajraktarevic | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| H. Tabaković | F | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Gigović | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Demirović | F | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| S. Hamzić | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Malic | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Šunjić | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Jurkas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hasić | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Mujakić | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Omerović | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Poland
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Frankowski | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Kiwior | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| P. Zieliński | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 5 | 0/1 |
| W. Nowak | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Cash | D | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Zalewski | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| S. Szymański | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/2 |
| J. Bednarek | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Świderski | M | 63 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. Reguła | M | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| K. UrbaÅski | M | 1 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Pietuszewski | F | 1 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Żukowski | F | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| M. Bułka | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Wojtuszek | D | 27 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Skóraś | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Slisz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Wiśniewski | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Kędziora | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Potulski | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Abramowicz | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kochalski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Puchacz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Poland to win against Bosnia & Herzegovina.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bosnia & Herzegovina 1–2 Poland.
- What were the win probabilities for Bosnia & Herzegovina vs Poland?
- Fipster's model gave Bosnia & Herzegovina a 24% chance of winning, Poland a 52% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 52% confidence — a medium-confidence call.