Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07
Mönchengladbach and Paderborn settle for stalemate
A goalless draw defies expectations in a tight Bundesliga encounter
Borussia Mönchengladbach and SC Paderborn 07 played out a 0-0 draw, with neither side able to break the deadlock. This result was a surprise given Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 4-1 home win, making it a notable upset against the forecast. Both teams shared the spoils in a match that lacked the goals many anticipated.
Outcome probability
Borussia Mönchengladbach, known as Die Fohlen, face SC Paderborn 07 in the eighth round of the regular season. Both teams have struggled in the league, but the home side's attacking midfield strength and set-piece threats give them the edge.
Match factors
Home team's attacking midfield dominance
Borussia Mönchengladbach's midfielders like Bolin and Neuhaus show strong scoring and assist form, likely to control creative play.
Scally's unusual scoring threat from defense
Joseph Scally has 2 goals in last 5 matches, well above average for defenders, adding unexpected scoring options.
Machino's impact as substitute scorer
Shuto Machino scored 2 goals in last 5 matches despite limited minutes, showing strong recent form and finishing ability.
Away team missing key players weakens attack
SC Paderborn 07 has 7 confirmed outs including midfielders and defenders, reducing their offensive and defensive stability.
Home team's set-piece threat from defenders
Scally and Ullrich contribute goals and assists from defense, exploiting set-piece opportunities against weaker away defense.
The context
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit 18th in the league with just 3 points from 7 games, while SC Paderborn 07 are slightly better off in 16th place with 5 points from 6 matches. Despite Paderborn's superior goal difference, their squad is weakened by multiple confirmed absences, impacting their defensive and offensive stability.
Key insights
Axel Bolin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bolin's 2 goals in 6 games and strong recent form make him a key attacking threat for the home side.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals in 6 apps, 0.33 avg goals/game
Joseph Scally
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Scally's 2 goals in the last 5 matches add an unexpected scoring option from defence, boosting set-piece threat.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals in 6 apps, 0.33 avg goals/game
Shuto Machino
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Machino's efficient scoring off the bench with 2 goals in last 5 matches provides fresh attacking impetus.
Bundesliga 26/271 goal in 4 apps, 0.25 avg goals/game
Analysis
The home side's midfielders, particularly Axel Bolin and Florian Neuhaus, have been influential in creating chances and scoring goals. Defender Joseph Scally adds an unusual scoring threat from the back, contributing significantly on set pieces. SC Paderborn 07's injury woes further tip the balance, making it difficult for them to contain Mönchengladbach's attacking play. Shuto Machino's recent impact as a substitute also adds to the home team's offensive options.
Key facts
- 1.Borussia Mönchengladbach are 18th with 3 points from 7 games (W1 D0 L6).
- 2.SC Paderborn 07 are 16th with 5 points from 6 games (W1 D2 L3).
- 3.SC Paderborn 07 have a better goal difference (+7) than Borussia Mönchengladbach.
- 4.Axel Bolin is Borussia Mönchengladbach's top scorer with 2 goals this season.
- 5.Joseph Scally, a defender, has scored 2 goals in the last 5 matches.
- 6.Franck Honorat leads assists for Borussia Mönchengladbach with 2 in 4 games.
- 7.Borussia Mönchengladbach's predicted halftime lead is 2-0.
- 8.The predicted fulltime score is 4-1 in favour of Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Prediction
Expect Borussia Mönchengladbach to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime and extending their advantage to a 4-1 victory by full time. The match should feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away — SC Paderborn 07
No standout top scorers flagged for SC Paderborn 07
The verdict
With their attacking midfield dominance and set-piece prowess, Borussia Mönchengladbach look well placed to secure a comfortable win over SC Paderborn 07. The visitors' injury problems only compound their challenges in this fixture.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 15:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Baack
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Hashioka
Yellow Card
Chiarodia
Yellow Card
Pieringer
Baack
ter Horst
Machino
Hack
Neuhaus
Mohya
Scheller
Yellow Card
Marino
Ulrich
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 13 |  SC Paderborn 07 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 14 |  Hamburger SV | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -10 | 9 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2F. ChiarodiaD
- 10F. NeuhausM
- 14D. HashiokaD
- 16P. SanderD
- 18S. MachinoF
- 25R. HackM
- 26L. UllrichM
- 29J. ScallyM
- 33D. BatzG
- 36W. MohyaM
- 47Z. UnoM
Substitutes
- 3I. LidbergF
- 6K. ItakuraD
- 7K. StögerM
- 17J. CastropM
- 19N. KühnF
- 20D. HeroldD
- 22Y. KonoplyaD
- 23J. OlschowskyG
- 34M. NguefackM
SC Paderborn 07
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 5S. CastañedaM
- 6T. BaackM
- 15N. NollG
- 17L. CurdaM
- 18M. PieringerF
- 21J. ter HorstD
- 22M. HansenD
- 23R. ObermairM
- 25T. SchellerD
- 30S. MarinoF
- 40G. VidovićM
Substitutes
- 1M. SchubertG
- 2Ruben MüllerD
- 3Jonah Benedict StickerD
- 9R. PhilippeF
- 20F. GötzeD
- 27S. TiggesF
- 28L. UlrichM
- 29C. LippmannD
- 38D. ZeitlerF
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Batz | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ullrich | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/3 |
| P. Sander | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| W. Mohya | M | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4/6 |
| J. Castrop | M | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| F. Neuhaus | M | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| N. Kühn | F | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Lidberg | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Itakura | D | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Hack | M | 77 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| F. Chiarodia | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| S. Machino | F | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| J. Scally | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| D. Hashioka | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Z. Uno | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Nguefack | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Olschowsky | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Herold | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Konoplya | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Noll | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hansen | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Castañeda | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Obermair | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/2 |
| F. Götze | D | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. ter Horst | D | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Ulrich | M | 22 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| G. Vidović | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| R. Philippe | F | 5 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. Tigges | F | 38 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| T. Baack | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Pieringer | F | 52 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Scheller | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| S. Marino | F | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| L. Curda | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| D. Zeitler | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Schubert | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Lippmann | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonah Benedict Sticker | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruben Müller | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Borussia Mönchengladbach to win against SC Paderborn 07.
- What score did Fipster predict for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Borussia Mönchengladbach 4–1 SC Paderborn 07.
- What were the win probabilities for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SC Paderborn 07?
- Fipster's model gave Borussia Mönchengladbach a 95% chance of winning, SC Paderborn 07 a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.