Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim snatches win at Gladbach
A quick-fire exchange of goals sees Hoffenheim edge a tight contest.
Hoffenheim took an early lead through B. Conté before Borussia Mönchengladbach responded after the break with a goal from W. Mohya. However, A. Prass restored Hoffenheim's advantage shortly after, securing a narrow 2-1 victory. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Gladbach win, proving the visitors' resilience in this Bundesliga clash.
Outcome probability
Borussia Mönchengladbach, also known as Die Fohlen, face 1899 Hoffenheim in a Bundesliga regular season clash. Both sides have struggled for points recently, but Gladbach are poised to turn their fortunes around in this encounter.
Match factors
Bolin's home scoring form vs Hoffenheim's defense
Bolin has scored 2 goals in 2 home games, exploiting Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities at home
Scally's offensive threat from defense
Scally's 2 goals in last 5 games exceed league defender average, adding unexpected scoring options
Hoffenheim's consistent scoring streak
Hoffenheim has scored in all last 5 matches, showing attacking resilience despite losses
Absence of Borussia Mönchengladbach's top assister Honorat
Injury to Honorat removes a key creative midfielder, reducing assist potential for Gladbach
Coufal's crossing and assist ability
Coufal's 2 assists and high crossing accuracy provide Hoffenheim with wide attacking options
The context
Borussia Mönchengladbach sit bottom of the league with no points from four games, while Hoffenheim have managed three points from five matches. Despite Hoffenheim's better goal difference, Gladbach's home form and attacking potential could prove decisive.
Key insights
H. Bolin
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Bolin’s home scoring form is impressive with 2 goals in 2 home matches, making him a key threat against Hoffenheim’s defence.
Bundesliga 26/273 goals in last 5 games, 2 goals in 2 home matches
J. Scally
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Scally’s 2 goals in the last 5 games exceed the average for defenders, providing Gladbach with an unexpected attacking edge.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals in last 5 games
A. Daghim
1899 Hoffenheim
Daghim’s consistent scoring and assisting form makes him Hoffenheim’s key creative outlet, especially on the road.
Bundesliga 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 4 games
V. Coufal
1899 Hoffenheim
Coufal’s crossing and assist ability offers Hoffenheim wide attacking options, crucial for breaking down Gladbach’s defence.
Bundesliga 26/272 assists in 4 games, 78% passing accuracy
Analysis
The head-to-head record between these two sides is fairly balanced, with Gladbach winning eight of their 20 meetings and Hoffenheim five, alongside seven draws. Their encounters tend to be high scoring, averaging over four goals per match. Gladbach's midfielder H. Bolin has been in fine form at home, netting twice in two matches, which bodes well for the hosts. Hoffenheim's attacking consistency is notable, having scored in all their last five games, but their defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Gladbach's offensive threats like Bolin and defender J. Scally, who adds an unexpected goal threat from the back.
Key facts
- 1.Borussia Mönchengladbach have won 8 of 20 matches against 1899 Hoffenheim, with 7 draws and 5 losses.
- 2.Average total goals in head-to-head matches is 4.1, indicating high scoring potential.
- 3.Borussia Mönchengladbach are last with 0 points from 4 games; Hoffenheim have 3 points from 5 games.
- 4.Hoffenheim have a better goal difference (+6) compared to Borussia Mönchengladbach (-10).
- 5.H. Bolin has scored 3 goals in the last 5 games, including 2 at home.
- 6.J. Scally has scored 2 goals in the last 5 games, adding offensive threat from defence.
- 7.Borussia Mönchengladbach's top assister Honorat is out injured, impacting creativity.
- 8.Predicted total cards in the match is 3, suggesting a moderately physical game.
Prediction
We expect Borussia Mönchengladbach to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted halftime score of 2-0. Hoffenheim may pull one back, but Gladbach should secure a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is also expected to see around three cards, indicating a competitive but controlled affair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Borussia Mönchengladbach
Away — 1899 Hoffenheim
The verdict
This match offers Borussia Mönchengladbach a chance to climb off the bottom of the table with a strong home performance. Hoffenheim will need to tighten their defence to avoid a second consecutive defeat. Expect an entertaining game with goals and a few cards sprinkled in for good measure.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 15:32 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Conté
Assist: Prass
Asllani
Yellow Card
Diks
Yellow Card
Mohya
Assist: Neuhaus
Lidberg
Prass
Assist: Hložek
Neuhaus
Asllani
Lemperle
Chiarodia
Bolin
Hložek
Uno
Avdullahu
Yellow Card
Prass
Yellow Card
Hack
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 10 |  VfB Stuttgart | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 12 |  1. FC Köln | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. NicolasG
- 2F. ChiarodiaD
- 3I. LidbergF
- 4K. DiksD
- 10F. NeuhausM
- 16P. SanderD
- 26L. UllrichD
- 29J. ScallyM
- 36W. MohyaM
- 38H. BolinF
- 47Z. UnoM
Substitutes
- 7K. StögerM
- 14D. HashiokaD
- 18S. MachinoF
- 20D. HeroldD
- 22Y. KonoplyaD
- 25R. HackM
- 33D. BatzG
- 34M. NguefackM
- 39I. M. DanfaF
1899 Hoffenheim
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1O. BaumannG
- 2R. HranáčD
- 7L. AvdullahuM
- 10A. HložekM
- 11F. AsllaniM
- 19T. LemperleF
- 20B. ContéM
- 22A. PrassM
- 28K. MachidaD
- 34V. CoufalD
- 39M. RotsD
Substitutes
- 5O. KabakD
- 9Max MoerstedtF
- 14A. DaghimF
- 15V. GendreyD
- 18W. BurgerM
- 27A. KramarićF
- 32Cajetan Benjamin LenzM
- 37L. PhilippG
- 47V. LässigD
Borussia Mönchengladbach
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Nicolas | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Mohya | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| F. Neuhaus | M | 60 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| K. Diks | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| I. Lidberg | F | 51 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Chiarodia | D | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Machino | F | 39 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| H. Bolin | F | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Z. Uno | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| D. Hashioka | D | 30 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. M. Danfa | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Sander | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Scally | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/3 |
| M. Nguefack | M | 11 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ullrich | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| R. Hack | M | 12 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Herold | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Konoplya | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Batz | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Stöger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
1899 Hoffenheim
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Prass | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2/3 |
| B. Conté | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3/4 |
| A. Hložek | M | 78 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3/5 |
| R. Hranáč | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Avdullahu | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kabak | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Machida | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Daghim | F | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kramarić | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Lemperle | F | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Asllani | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 3/4 |
| M. Rots | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| O. Baumann | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Coufal | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| L. Philipp | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Gendrey | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Lässig | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Burger | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Moerstedt | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cajetan Benjamin Lenz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Borussia Mönchengladbach to win against 1899 Hoffenheim.
- What score did Fipster predict for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Borussia Mönchengladbach 3–1 1899 Hoffenheim.
- What were the win probabilities for Borussia Mönchengladbach vs 1899 Hoffenheim?
- Fipster's model gave Borussia Mönchengladbach a 95% chance of winning, 1899 Hoffenheim a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.