Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt
Dortmund edge Frankfurt with Beier's strike
A tight contest settled by a single goal in the 80th minute.
Borussia Dortmund secured a narrow 1-0 victory over Eintracht Frankfurt thanks to M. Beier's decisive goal late in the second half. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a more comfortable 4-1 win, the actual scoreline was much closer, though the forecast of a Dortmund win was spot on.
Outcome probability
Borussia Dortmund face Eintracht Frankfurt in a Bundesliga clash where the home side's recent form and goal-scoring ability suggest a comfortable win. Dortmund's attacking players have been in fine fettle, while Frankfurt have struggled to keep pace in the league.
Match factors
Eintracht Frankfurt's top scorers show strong recent form
Younes Ebnoutalib has 4 goals in 5 games and Jonathan Burkardt 3 goals, indicating scoring threat despite predicted loss
Borussia Dortmund's defensive solidity and midfield control
Dortmund defenders like Schlotterbeck and Svensson exceed league averages in tackles and interceptions, likely to limit Frankfurt's attack
Borussia Dortmund's strong home scoring streak
Dortmund has scored in last 3 home games with average 2.33 goals, supporting predicted 4-1 win
Key Dortmund players out with injuries
Absence of E. Can and midfielders Konstantelias and Lerma may affect squad depth but not main scorers
The context
This fixture sees Dortmund, currently second in the league with 13 points from 5 games, take on Frankfurt who sit eighth with 8 points from 6 matches. Dortmund's superior goal difference and points-per-game highlight their stronger campaign so far.
Key insights
Younes Ebnoutalib
Eintracht Frankfurt
Top scorer with 4 goals in 5 games, showing strong recent form despite team struggles.
Bundesliga 26/274 goals in 5 appearances
- N
N. Schlotterbeck
Borussia Dortmund
Defensive rock with 4.33 tackles per game and 65% duel win rate, well above league averages.
Bundesliga 26/274.33 tackles per game, 65% duel win rate
- D
D. Svensson
Borussia Dortmund
Midfield dynamo with 89% passing accuracy and high defensive contributions, key to controlling the game.
Bundesliga 26/2789% passing accuracy, 13 tackles and 8 interceptions in 5 games
Analysis
Borussia Dortmund have a clear edge in this matchup, having won 11 of their 20 meetings against Frankfurt. Their matches tend to be high scoring, averaging nearly 4 goals per game, which aligns with the predicted 4-1 scoreline. Dortmund's defence, led by standout performers like N. Schlotterbeck and D. Svensson, has been particularly effective, boasting tackle and interception stats well above league averages. Meanwhile, Frankfurt's top scorers Younes Ebnoutalib and Jonathan Burkardt have shown promise but are unlikely to stem Dortmund's attacking tide. Despite some injury concerns for Dortmund, their main scorers remain fit and in form, ensuring a potent offensive threat.
Key facts
- 1.Borussia Dortmund have won 11 of 20 meetings against Eintracht Frankfurt.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, indicating high-scoring encounters.
- 3.Dortmund are 2nd in the league with 13 points from 5 games (W4 D1 L0).
- 4.Frankfurt are 8th with 8 points from 6 games (W2 D2 L2).
- 5.Dortmund's goal difference (+13) is significantly better than Frankfurt's (-6).
- 6.Dortmund average 2.33 goals in their last 3 home games.
- 7.Top scorer Younes Ebnoutalib has 4 goals in 5 games this season.
- 8.Dortmund defenders exceed league averages in tackles and interceptions.
Prediction
Expect Dortmund to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 2-0 halftime score, and continue their dominance into the second half to finish 4-1 winners. The home side's attacking efficiency and defensive solidity should prove too much for Frankfurt.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Borussia Dortmund
No standout top scorers flagged for Borussia Dortmund
Away — Eintracht Frankfurt
The verdict
In summary, Dortmund's strong league position, superior goal difference, and home scoring streak make them clear favourites. Frankfurt will find it tough to keep up, and the match is likely to be a showcase of Dortmund's attacking flair and defensive discipline.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 15:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Collins
Yellow Card
Chaïbi
Yellow Card
Fábio Silva
Sabitzer
Svensson
Ebnoutalib
Burkardt
Nmecha
Beier
Assist: Bellingham
Chaïbi
Aséko Nkili
Dōan
Ryerson
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +19 | 18 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 18 |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +8 | 16 |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 11 |
| 9 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Borussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1G. KobelG
- 3W. AntonD
- 4N. SchlotterbeckD
- 5R. BensebaïniD
- 8F. NmechaM
- 9S. GuirassyF
- 20M. SabitzerM
- 21Fábio SilvaM
- 24D. SvenssonM
- 25J. VeermanM
- 26J. RyersonM
Substitutes
- 7J. BellinghamM
- 14M. BeierF
- 17C. ChukwuemekaM
- 18E. NwaneriM
- 22Kouakou Joane GadouD
- 33A. MeyerG
- 39F. ManéD
- 40S. InacioF
- 44E. de Pina Duarte dos SantosM
Eintracht Frankfurt
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1N. AtuboluG
- 2Elias BaumD
- 3L. BrassierD
- 4R. KochD
- 8F. ChaïbiM
- 9J. BurkardtF
- 11Y. EbnoutalibF
- 15N. Aséko NkiliM
- 20R. DōanM
- 25R. OnyedikaM
- 34N. CollinsD
Substitutes
- 6O. HøjlundM
- 7A. KnauffF
- 26K. KosugiD
- 27M. GötzeM
- 29A. AmaimouniF
- 31L. ArrhovM
- 37J. MaluzeD
- 40Kauã SantosG
- 42C. UzunM
Borussia Dortmund
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Beier | F | 22 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| C. Chukwuemeka | M | 22 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| N. Schlotterbeck | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Bensebaïni | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Fábio Silva | M | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Veerman | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | — |
| G. Kobel | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bellingham | M | 11 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Nwaneri | M | 22 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| F. Nmecha | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| W. Anton | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Guirassy | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | — |
| D. Svensson | M | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Sabitzer | M | 68 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Ryerson | M | 92 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| S. Inacio | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kouakou Joane Gadou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Mané | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Meyer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. de Pina Duarte dos Santos | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Atubolu | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elias Baum | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| R. Koch | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Arrhov | M | 6 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Brassier | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Aséko Nkili | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| R. Dōan | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| M. Götze | M | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Onyedika | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| N. Collins | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Burkardt | F | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/4 |
| C. Uzun | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Amaimouni | F | 3 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| F. Chaïbi | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| A. Knauff | F | 13 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Y. Ebnoutalib | F | 77 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/5 |
| J. Maluze | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Højlund | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauã Santos | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kosugi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Borussia Dortmund to win against Eintracht Frankfurt.
- What score did Fipster predict for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Borussia Dortmund 4–1 Eintracht Frankfurt.
- What were the win probabilities for Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt?
- Fipster's model gave Borussia Dortmund a 85% chance of winning, Eintracht Frankfurt a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.