Bologna vs Torino
Bologna and Torino share spoils in Serie A stalemate
Bernardeschi's early strike cancelled out by Kulenović's second-half reply.
Bologna and Torino played out a 1-1 draw in Serie A, with F. Bernardeschi giving the hosts an early lead before S. Kulenović levelled for Torino after the break. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring an away win, the match ended evenly, defying the forecast and leaving both sides to settle for a point apiece.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season kicks off with Bologna facing Torino in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing battle as they look to start the campaign on a positive note.
Key facts
- 1.Bologna finished 8th last season with 56 points from 38 games.
- 2.Torino ended 12th with 45 points from 38 games.
- 3.Bologna have a significantly better goal difference (+22) than Torino.
- 4.Bologna have loaned in A. Dovbyk, A. Theate, and R. Piccoli this summer.
- 5.Torino have signed R. Mandragora and loaned P. Comuzzo and R. Belghali.
- 6.Both teams have lost key players on free transfers and permanent moves.
- 7.Draw probability for this match is 0.25, indicating a competitive fixture.
- 8.The most probable draw scoreline last season was 2-2, showing potential for goals.
The context
Bologna have strengthened their ranks with the loan arrivals of A. Dovbyk, A. Theate, and R. Piccoli, while parting ways with S. Castro, J. Lucumí, and R. Freuler. Torino, meanwhile, have signed R. Mandragora and brought in P. Comuzzo and R. Belghali on loan, but have lost A. Paleari, G. Maripán, and V. Lazaro as free agents. These changes suggest both sides are eager to improve on last season's performances.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bologna
Away — Torino
Analysis
Despite Bologna's better goal difference last season and their higher league finish, Torino's summer business and tactical setup could give them the edge. The predicted 2-1 scoreline reflects a closely fought match, with Torino expected to clinch the win. The draw probability remains notable, indicating the match could be finely balanced, but ultimately Torino's resilience might see them through.
Prediction
We foresee Torino securing a 2-1 victory over Bologna. The away side's ability to capitalise on key moments and their summer reinforcements could prove decisive in this opener. Bologna will pose a threat, but Torino's edge in this encounter is our call.
The verdict
As the season gets underway, this fixture sets the tone for both teams. Torino's narrow win could boost their confidence, while Bologna will look to bounce back quickly. Expect a spirited contest with moments of quality from both sides.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bernardeschi
Bragança
Yellow Card
Fortini
Fitz-Jim
Cambiaghi
Helland
Vlašić
Bragança
Cömert
Belghali
Yellow Card
Bernardeschi
Kulenović
Assist: Mandragora
Pobega
Patterson
Yellow Card
Zortea
Match Statistics
Bologna
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Ł. SkorupskiG
- 3A. TheateD
- 4T. PobegaM
- 5E. HellandD
- 10F. BernardeschiF
- 14T. HeggemD
- 19L. FergusonM
- 20N. ZorteaM
- 28N. CambiaghiF
- 33Juan MirandaM
- 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes
- 2E. HolmD
- 6N. MoroM
- 7R. OrsoliniF
- 8M. AmondarainM
- 11S. MbangulaF
- 16N. CasaleD
- 17O. El AzzouziM
- 18M. LibraD
- 21J. OdgaardF
- 22J. EnemF
- 23R. AlhassaneD
- 25M. PessinaG
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 41M. VitíkD
- 72U. HapponenG
Torino
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5E. CömertD
- 8R. MandragoraM
- 10N. VlašićF
- 18G. SimeoneF
- 20Lucas PerriG
- 21Daniel BragançaM
- 23Saúl CocoD
- 28K. Fitz-JimM
- 29N. FortiniM
- 44A. IsmajliD
- 77A. CacciamaniM
Substitutes
- 2N. PattersonD
- 3C. BiraghiD
- 6E. İlkhanM
- 7Z. AboukhlalF
- 11G. OristanioM
- 13R. RodríguezD
- 15P. ComuzzoD
- 17S. KulenovićF
- 26D. MascardiG
- 45R. BelghaliD
- 66G. GineitisM
- 76L. SivieroG
- 91D. ZapataF
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Federico Bernardeschi | F | 76 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Juan Miranda | M | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | — |
| Lewis Ferguson(C) | M | 92 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Arthur Theate | D | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | F | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Łukasz Skorupski | G | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eivind Helland | D | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Pobega | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nadir Zortea | M | 84 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 92 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ukko Happonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oussama El Azzouzi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Mbangula | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jay Enem | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Massimo Pessina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Amondarain | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Casale | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Libra | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Vitík | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdel Rahim | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | 15 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | 34 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | 34 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emil Holm | D | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Torino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saúl Coco | D | 92 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ardian Ismajli | D | 92 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bragança | M | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rolando Mandragora | M | 92 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Eray Cömert | D | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Kian Fitz-Jim | M | 55 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Giovanni Simeone | F | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| Nikola Vlašić(C) | F | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alessio Cacciamani | M | 92 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Niccolò Fortini | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Perri | G | 92 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Lapo Siviero | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Diego Mascardi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pietro Comuzzo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gvidas Gineitis | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Biraghi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Duván Zapata | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Aboukhlal | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sandro Kulenović | F | 37 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Emirhan İlkhan | M | 24 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Patterson | D | 47 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gaetano Oristanio | M | 24 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Rafik Belghali | D | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bologna vs Torino?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Torino to win against Bologna.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bologna vs Torino?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bologna 1–2 Torino.
- What were the win probabilities for Bologna vs Torino?
- Fipster's model gave Bologna a 28% chance of winning, Torino a 43% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 43% confidence — a low-confidence call.