Bologna vs Sassuolo
Bologna and Sassuolo share spoils in four-goal thriller
A late strike from A. Dovbyk ensured Bologna salvaged a point against Sassuolo.
Sassuolo struck first through J. Doig before R. Piccoli levelled for Bologna just after the break. Vasilije Adžić restored Sassuolo's lead, but A. Dovbyk's stoppage-time goal rescued a 2-2 draw for Bologna. This lively encounter defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win.
Outcome probability
The new Serie A season is upon us, and Bologna and Sassuolo are set to kick off their campaigns with a fixture that promises a tactical battle. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, aiming to start on the right foot.
Key facts
- 1.Bologna have strengthened their squad with two loan signings and one permanent transfer this summer.
- 2.Sassuolo have added two players on loan but lost one key player to a transfer.
- 3.Bologna finished last season with a better goal difference than Sassuolo by 7 goals.
- 4.The predicted outcome favours a home win for Bologna with a 1-0 scoreline.
- 5.The most probable full-time score overall is 1-1, but 1-0 is the top home win scoreline.
- 6.Bologna are ranked 8th and Sassuolo 11th in the league standings from last season.
- 7.The match is the season opener, so no current-season form is available.
The context
Bologna have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of A. Dovbyk and R. Piccoli on loan, alongside the signing of R. Alhassane, while parting ways with S. Castro, J. Lucumí, and R. Freuler. Sassuolo, meanwhile, have brought in K. Bowie and F. Leysen on loan but lost T. Muharemović to a transfer. These changes set the stage for a competitive opener as both sides look to integrate new talent.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bologna
Away — Sassuolo
Analysis
Looking at the probabilities, Bologna hold a slight edge with a 41.5% chance of winning, compared to Sassuolo's 22.5%, and a draw at 34%. The most likely scoreline overall is 1-1, but the highest probability among home wins is a narrow 1-0 victory for Bologna. The home side also enjoys a better goal difference from last season, suggesting a marginal advantage. Expect a closely fought match with limited scoring opportunities and a disciplined defensive approach from both sides.
Prediction
The forecast is for Bologna to clinch a 1-0 win, reflecting their moderate advantage and the likelihood of a tight contest. This scoreline captures the expected balance between the teams, with Bologna just edging ahead thanks to their summer reinforcements and slightly superior squad depth.
The verdict
As the season opener unfolds, Bologna will look to capitalise on their summer business and home advantage to start with a win. Sassuolo will no doubt be eager to spoil the party, but the prediction leans towards a narrow victory for Bologna in what should be a competitive and tactical encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Doig
Volpato
Alhassane
Pobega
Odgaard
Piccoli
Assist: Miranda
Holm
Yellow Card
Piccoli
Yellow Card
Idzes
Yellow Card
Adžić
Adžić
Lipani
Cambiaghi
Matić
Doig
Bernardeschi
Dovbyk
Dovbyk
Yellow Card
Red Card
Match Statistics
Bologna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Ł. SkorupskiG
- 2E. HolmD
- 3A. TheateD
- 4T. PobegaM
- 10F. BernardeschiM
- 14T. HeggemD
- 19L. FergusonM
- 21J. OdgaardM
- 23R. AlhassaneD
- 28N. CambiaghiM
- 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes
- 5E. HellandD
- 6N. MoroM
- 8M. AmondarainM
- 9A. DovbykF
- 11S. MbangulaF
- 18M. LibraM
- 20N. ZorteaD
- 22J. EnemF
- 25M. PessinaG
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 33Juan MirandaD
- 41M. VitíkD
- 72U. HapponenG
Sassuolo
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3J. DoigD
- 7C. VolpatoF
- 9K. BowieF
- 16F. LeysenD
- 17Vasilije AdžićM
- 18N. MatićM
- 21J. IdzesD
- 35L. LipaniM
- 45A. LaurientéF
- 49A. MurićG
Substitutes
- 8A. GhionM
- 10D. BerardiF
- 12G. SatalinoG
- 15D. Ćaleta-CarD
- 19L. SkjellerupF
- 20I. Van der BremptD
- 25B. DomínguezF
- 26C. OdenthalD
- 33Rafael ObradorD
- 42K. ThorstvedtM
- 55I. SulemanaM
- 77N. PieriniF
- 80S. TuratiG
- 94S. EspositoF
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Dovbyk | F | 24 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| R. Piccoli | F | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| L. Ferguson | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Bernardeschi | M | 86 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Ł. Skorupski | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 44 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Theate | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| T. Pobega | M | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| E. Holm | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| N. Cambiaghi | M | 66 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| T. Heggem | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Libra | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| N. Moro | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Mbangula | F | 4 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Odgaard | M | 46 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| R. Alhassane | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| N. Zortea | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vitík | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Enem | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Helland | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| U. Happonen | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Amondarain | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pessina | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. De Silvestri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sassuolo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vasilije Adžić | M | 60 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2/2 |
| J. Doig | D | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Berardi | F | 52 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| F. Leysen | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Matić | M | 80 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| I. Sulemana | M | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Volpato | F | 38 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Thorstvedt | M | 30 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| K. Bowie | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Rafael Obrador | D | 10 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Lipani | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Laurienté | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 4/8 |
| A. Murić | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ghion | M | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Idzes | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Ćaleta-Car | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Domínguez | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Esposito | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Skjellerup | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Van der Brempt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Odenthal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Pierini | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Turati | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Satalino | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bologna vs Sassuolo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bologna to win against Sassuolo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bologna vs Sassuolo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bologna 1–0 Sassuolo.
- What were the win probabilities for Bologna vs Sassuolo?
- Fipster's model gave Bologna a 35% chance of winning, Sassuolo a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.