Bologna vs Lazio
Frattesi's strike seals Lazio win
A solitary goal at the hour mark hands Lazio a narrow victory at Bologna.
Lazio edged out Bologna 1-0 thanks to D. Frattesi's decisive goal just after the hour mark. Despite Fipster's low-confidence prediction favouring a Bologna win, the visitors claimed all three points in a tight contest. The result defied expectations and left Bologna empty-handed on home turf.
Analysis
The new Serie A season kicks off with Bologna facing Lazio in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides are eager to set the tone early, with Bologna looking to leverage their home advantage and Lazio adjusting after some summer departures.
This match marks the first competitive fixture of the 2026-27 Serie A campaign. Bologna and Lazio finished last season closely matched in the league standings, making this opener a tantalising prospect. Lazio enter the season shorn of V. Castellanos and M. Guendouzi, which could impact their midfield and attacking options.
The prediction leans towards a narrow home win for Bologna, with a 1-0 scoreline both at halftime and fulltime. The aggregated probabilities show a slight edge for Bologna at 41%, with the draw close behind at 38%. Lazio's chances are somewhat diminished at 21%, possibly reflecting the impact of their summer departures. Expect a tight, tactical battle with few goals and a disciplined defensive display from both sides.
Prediction
We forecast Bologna to take an early lead and hold on for a 1-0 victory. The halftime score is also predicted to be 1-0, suggesting Bologna will strike first and then focus on maintaining their advantage. The match is expected to be competitive, with a total of around four cards indicating a moderately physical contest.
Outcome probability
Key Takeaways
As the Serie A season gets underway, Bologna look set to start on a positive note against Lazio. With a narrow predicted win, the home side will aim to build momentum early, while Lazio will need to adapt quickly to their summer changes if they hope to respond in future fixtures.
- Bologna and Lazio finished last season ranked 8th and 9th respectively.
- Lazio have lost V. Castellanos and M. Guendouzi in the summer transfer window.
- The predicted outcome is a 1-0 home win for Bologna.
- Halftime and fulltime scores are both predicted as 1-0.
- The home win probability stands at 41%, the highest among outcomes.
- The match is expected to feature around four cards, indicating moderate physicality.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bologna
Away — Lazio
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Lazio has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Marušić
Floriani Mussolini
Yellow Card
El Azzouzi
Yellow Card
Dia
Yellow Card
Cambiaghi
Yellow Card
Cancellieri
Yellow Card
Cancellieri
Dele-Bashiru
Frattesi
Assist: Dia
Orsolini
Cambiaghi
Piccoli
Zortea
Dia
Pedraza
El Azzouzi
Odgaard
Yellow Card
Heggem
Yellow Card
Provstgaard
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Bologna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Ł. SkorupskiG
- 5E. HellandD
- 7R. OrsoliniM
- 14T. HeggemD
- 17O. El AzzouziM
- 19L. FergusonM
- 20N. ZorteaD
- 21J. OdgaardM
- 28N. CambiaghiM
- 33Juan MirandaD
- 91R. PiccoliF
Substitutes
- 2E. HolmD
- 4T. PobegaM
- 6N. MoroM
- 8M. AmondarainM
- 9A. DovbykF
- 10F. BernardeschiF
- 11J. RoweF
- 23R. AlhassaneD
- 25M. PessinaG
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 41M. VitíkD
- 72U. HapponenG
Lazio
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5D. DoekhiD
- 6N. RovellaM
- 7F. Dele-BashiruM
- 10M. ZaccagniF
- 19B. DiaF
- 22M. CancellieriF
- 23PedrazaD
- 24K. TaylorM
- 25O. ProvstgaardD
- 35C. MandasG
- 77A. MarušićD
Substitutes
- 11G. IsaksenF
- 13A. RomagnoliD
- 14T. NoslinF
- 15R. Floriani MussoliniD
- 16D. FrattesiM
- 17Nuno TavaresD
- 20P. RatkovF
- 21R. BelahyaneM
- 28A. PrzyborekM
- 29M. LazzariM
- 40E. MottaG
- 71V. FarcomeniM
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Piccoli | F | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Riccardo Orsolini(C) | M | 60 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Oussama El Azzouzi | M | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lewis Ferguson | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Eivind Helland | D | 83 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | M | 60 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jens Odgaard | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Łukasz Skorupski | G | 83 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Massimo Pessina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mikel Amondarain | M | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ukko Happonen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdel Rahim | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Vitík | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Pobega | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikola Moro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Bernardeschi | F | 23 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Emil Holm | D | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jonathan Rowe | F | 23 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Artem Dovbyk | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lazio
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christos Mandas | G | 83 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Rovella | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Danilho Doekhi | D | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Provstgaard | D | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Boulaye Dia | F | 79 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Mattia Zaccagni(C) | F | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Fisayo Dele-Bashiru | M | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Adam Marušić | D | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kenneth Taylor | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Alfonso Pedraza | D | 78 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Matteo Cancellieri | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Edoardo Motta | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Reda Belahyane | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adrian Przyborek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alessio Romagnoli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manuel Lazzari | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nuno Tavares | D | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Noslin | F | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valerio Farcomeni | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Petar Ratkov | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davide Frattesi | M | 29 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Gustav Isaksen | F | 38 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Romano Floriani Mussolini | D | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bologna vs Lazio?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bologna to win against Lazio.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bologna vs Lazio?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bologna 1–0 Lazio.
- What were the win probabilities for Bologna vs Lazio?
- Fipster's model gave Bologna a 35% chance of winning, Lazio a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.