Bologna vs Inter

Serie AMatchweek 38
Full Time
33
HT: 21
Ref: Kevin Bonacina, ItalyStadio Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna · 39,279 cap
Fipster Pick
Away WinhighMiss

Match recap

Bologna and Inter drew 3–3 in their Serie A fixture. Bernardeschi, Pobega, and Zieliński scored for Bologna; Dimarco, Esposito, and Diouf replied for Inter. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.18 for Bologna versus 1.59 for Inter. Bologna sit 8th in the Serie A table while Inter are 1st.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Overconfident✗ Miss
Fipster's Pick
12
HT 0–1
Final Result
33
HT 2–1
30%Poor
F
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review25 May 2026

Analysis

As the Serie A season draws to a close, Bologna host Inter in what promises to be a keenly fought encounter. With Inter chasing top honours and Bologna eager to finish strong at home, the stakes are high for both sides.

Inter currently top the league with 86 points and boast a formidable +54 goal difference. Bologna, while resilient at home, have struggled to match Inter's firepower this season. Historically, Inter have the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, winning half of their 20 meetings.

Inter's attacking duo of Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram have been in fine form, combining for 30 goals this season. Federico Dimarco's creative prowess, with 16 assists, adds a cutting edge to Inter's play. Bologna's defensive midfield, marshalled by Remo Freuler, will look to disrupt Inter's rhythm, but the visitors' superior stats and recent form suggest they will find a way through.


Prediction

Expect Inter to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 0-1. Bologna will respond, but Inter's quality should prevail, sealing a 2-1 victory. The match is also expected to be competitive, with around four cards shown.

Outcome probability

Bologna 2%Draw 3%Inter 95%

Key Insights

Tactical Advantagehigh

Inter's potent attacking trio

Lautaro Martínez and Marcus Thuram lead scoring with strong recent form, likely to exploit Bologna's defense.

Statistical Edgehigh

Dimarco's creative influence

Federico Dimarco's high assist rate and set-piece role provide Inter with a key chance creation edge.

Form Momentummedium

Bologna's defensive resilience at home

Bologna shows decent defensive stats and positive scoring streaks at home, could challenge Inter's attack.

Tactical Advantagemedium

Bologna's defensive midfield disruptor

Remo Freuler's tackling and interceptions above league average may limit Inter's midfield creativity.

Injury Impacthigh

No significant injuries reported

Both teams have full squads available, no injury concerns affecting key players.

Key Takeaways

In summary, Inter's consistent excellence and attacking depth make them favourites to clinch a narrow win at Bologna. While the hosts will not go down without a fight, the Nerazzurri's quality should shine through in this season finale.

  • Inter lead Serie A with 86 points and +54 goal difference.
  • Inter have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against Bologna.
  • Average goals in head-to-head matches stand at 2.8, supporting a 2-1 scoreline.
  • Lautaro Martínez is Inter's top scorer with 17 goals this season.
  • Federico Dimarco leads Inter with 16 assists, including 3 in the last 5 games.
  • Bologna's Remo Freuler tops tackles and interceptions for his team.
  • Predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating a competitive game.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeBologna

Riccardo Orsolini

Riccardo Orsolini

Midfielder

Bologna

Total Goals
9
League avg: 1.04
34 played
26 starts
2116 mins
~62 mins/game
Santiago Castro

Santiago Castro

Attacker

Bologna

Total Goals
7
League avg: 1.04
33 played
24 starts
2212 mins
~67 mins/game
Jens Odgaard

Jens Odgaard

Midfielder

Bologna

Total Goals
5
League avg: 1.04
25 played
16 starts
1379 mins
~55 mins/game

AwayInter

Lautaro Martínez

Lautaro Martínez

Attacker

Inter

Total Goals
17
League avg: 1.04
28 played
25 starts
2049 mins
~73 mins/game
M. Thuram

M. Thuram

Attacker

Inter

Total Goals
13
League avg: 1.04
29 played
24 starts
1913 mins
~66 mins/game