Bologna vs Cagliari
Match recap
Bologna and Cagliari drew 0–0 in their Serie A fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.49 for Bologna versus 1.07 for Cagliari. Bologna sit 8th in the Serie A table while Cagliari are 14th.
Analysis
As Bologna prepare to host Cagliari in this Serie A fixture, expectations lean towards a closely contested match with the home side edging it by a single goal.
Bologna have historically held the upper hand against Cagliari, winning 11 of their 20 encounters. This season, their slightly better goal difference and home advantage add to their confidence going into this match.
Bologna's attacking threat is spearheaded by R. Orsolini, who boasts 8 goals this season and excellent home form. Despite some injuries affecting midfield creativity, their defence remains resilient. Cagliari's recent defensive struggles on the road further tilt the scales in Bologna's favour.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-0 victory for Bologna, with the halftime score likely mirroring the fulltime result. Expect a disciplined game with around four cards issued, reflecting the competitive nature of the fixture.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Orsolini's attacking edge at home
Orsolini's strong home scoring form and key role in attack gives Bologna a tactical edge.
Bologna's better scoring rate away vs Cagliari's defense
Bologna's away scoring rate (1.5 goals/game) is higher than Cagliari's average goals conceded away (1.7), indicating potential scoring opportunities.
Key injuries weaken Bologna's midfield creativity
Injuries to Cambiaghi and Pobega reduce midfield creativity and assist potential for Bologna.
Cagliari's recent defensive struggles
Cagliari has conceded in last 5 away games, indicating defensive vulnerability against Bologna's attack.
Bologna's defensive stalwarts missing key defenders
Absence of key defenders like Juan Miranda due to suspension may weaken Bologna's defense against Cagliari's attackers.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Bologna's home advantage, combined with key player form and Cagliari's defensive vulnerabilities, points to a narrow but deserved home win in this Serie A encounter.
- Bologna have won 11 of 20 meetings against Cagliari.
- Bologna's goal difference (+1) is superior this season.
- R. Orsolini is Bologna's top scorer with 8 goals.
- Cagliari have conceded in their last 5 away games.
- Predicted fulltime score is 1-0 to Bologna.
- Expected total cards in the match is 4.
- Bologna's home scoring rate outpaces Cagliari's away defence.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bologna
Away — Cagliari
No standout top scorers flagged for Cagliari
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Deiola
Sohm
Adopo
Yellow Card
Domínguez
Odgaard
Helland
Yellow Card
Esposito
Bernardeschi
De Silvestri
Adopo
Castro
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Bologna
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5E. HellandD
- 6N. MoroM
- 8R. FreulerM
- 10F. BernardeschiM
- 21J. OdgaardF
- 23S. SohmM
- 25M. PessinaG
- 26J. LucumíD
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 30B. DomínguezM
- 33Juan MirandaD
Substitutes
- 4T. PobegaM
- 7R. OrsoliniF
- 9S. CastroF
- 11J. RoweF
- 13F. RavagliaG
- 14T. HeggemD
- 19L. FergusonM
- 20N. ZorteaD
- 22C. LykogiannisD
- 41M. VitíkD
Cagliari
4-5-1Starting XI
- 1E. CaprileG
- 2M. PalestraM
- 8M. AdopoM
- 10G. GaetanoM
- 14A. DeiolaM
- 22A. DossenaD
- 26Y. MinaD
- 32Zé PedroD
- 33A. ObertD
- 90M. FolorunshoM
- 94S. EspositoF
Substitutes
- 9S. KılıçsoyF
- 12A. SherriG
- 15J. RodríguezD
- 19A. BelottiF
- 20A. AlbarracínF
- 24G. CiocciG
- 25I. SulemanaM
- 28G. ZappaD
- 31P. MendyF
- 37Y. TrepyF
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eivind Helland | D | 97 | 8.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 97 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | D | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Federico Bernardeschi | M | 78 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/5 |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri(C) | D | 85 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nikola Moro | M | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Remo Freuler | M | 97 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Massimo Pessina | G | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Domínguez | M | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| Simon Sohm | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | 63 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Tommaso Pobega | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Federico Ravaglia | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charalampos Lykogiannis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Martin Vitík | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jonathan Rowe | F | 52 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6/8 |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Castro | F | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Lewis Ferguson | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 34 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
Cagliari
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yerry Mina | D | 97 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Adam Obert | D | 97 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Elia Caprile | G | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alberto Dossena | D | 97 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michael Folorunsho | M | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Marco Palestra | M | 97 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/7 |
| Gianluca Gaetano | M | 97 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Zé Pedro | D | 97 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Alessandro Deiola(C) | M | 42 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Michel Adopo | M | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Sebastiano Esposito | F | 73 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Agustín Albarracín | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yael Trepy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giuseppe Ciocci | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Semih Kılıçsoy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Rodríguez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alen Sherri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrea Belotti | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sulemana | M | 55 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Gabriele Zappa | D | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paul Mendy | F | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bologna vs Cagliari?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bologna to win against Cagliari.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bologna vs Cagliari?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bologna 1–0 Cagliari.
- What were the win probabilities for Bologna vs Cagliari?
- Fipster's model gave Bologna a 55% chance of winning, Cagliari a 22% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.