Bologna vs AS Roma
Match recap
AS Roma beat Bologna 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Malen and El Aynaoui scored for AS Roma. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.55 for Bologna versus 2.14 for AS Roma. Bologna sit 8th in the Serie A table while AS Roma are 3rd.
Analysis
Bologna host AS Roma in what promises to be a closely contested Serie A match. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and the stats suggest a balanced affair with goals at both ends.
Historically, Bologna and AS Roma have met 20 times with a fairly even split: Bologna winning 6, Roma 8, and 6 draws. Roma currently sit 6th in the league, slightly ahead of Bologna in 8th, but the goal difference and form suggest neither side will dominate.
Roma's top scorer D. Malen is in fine form with 10 goals in 13 games, posing a significant threat to Bologna's defence, which concedes 1.2 goals per game. Bologna's R. Orsolini has been consistent at home, adding attacking spark. However, injuries to key creators like Juan Miranda for Bologna could limit their chances. Roma's defensive solidity, conceding fewer goals on average, balances the scales, making a draw a likely outcome.
Prediction
The prediction is a 1-1 draw, with a halftime score of 0-0. Both teams are expected to score once, reflecting their balanced head-to-head history and current form. The match is also predicted to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled game.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Malen's Scoring Threat vs Bologna's Defense
D. Malen's prolific scoring form (0.77 goals/game) poses a significant challenge to Bologna's defense, which concedes 1.2 goals per game.
Bologna's Key Creators Missing
Bologna misses key assist providers like Emil Holm and Nicolò Cambiaghi due to injury, reducing creative options.
Roma's Defensive Solidity
Roma concedes fewer goals (0.9 per game) than Bologna (1.2), indicating a defensive edge that could limit Bologna's scoring.
Orsolini's Consistent Scoring
Riccardo Orsolini has scored in recent home matches, showing good form that can influence the match outcome.
Miranda's Assist Potential from Defense
Juan Miranda's crossing and assist ability from left-back can create chances, but his injury absence may weaken Bologna's flank.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a well-fought match with both sides sharing points. Key players like D. Malen and R. Orsolini will be pivotal, but neither team has the clear edge to secure all three points. A 1-1 draw seems the fairest result.
- Bologna and AS Roma have met 20 times: Bologna 6 wins, Roma 8 wins, 6 draws.
- Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, aligning with the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
- AS Roma currently rank 6th with a better goal difference than Bologna, who are 8th.
- D. Malen leads Roma with 10 goals in 13 games, a key attacking threat.
- Riccardo Orsolini has scored 8 goals this season, showing strong home form.
- Bologna concedes 1.2 goals per game, Roma concede fewer at 0.9 per game.
- Juan Miranda's injury weakens Bologna's assist potential from the left flank.
- The match is expected to feature around 4 cards, indicating a competitive encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bologna
Away — AS Roma
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Malen
Assist: El Aynaoui
El Aynaoui
Assist: Malen
Hermoso
Yellow Card
Castro
Çelik
Miranda
Soulé
Hermoso
João Mário
Rensch
Yellow Card
El Aynaoui
Yellow Card
Orsolini
Malen
Helland
Pisilli
Match Statistics
Bologna
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5E. HellandD
- 7R. OrsoliniF
- 8R. FreulerM
- 9S. CastroF
- 11J. RoweF
- 13F. RavagliaG
- 14T. HeggemD
- 17João MárioM
- 19L. FergusonM
- 26J. LucumíD
- 33Juan MirandaM
Substitutes
- 4T. PobegaM
- 6N. MoroM
- 20N. ZorteaD
- 21J. OdgaardF
- 22C. LykogiannisD
- 23S. SohmM
- 25M. PessinaG
- 28N. CambiaghiF
- 29L. De SilvestriD
- 30B. DomínguezF
- 41M. VitíkD
- 73F. CastaldoF
- 82Matteo FranceschelliG
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 4B. CristanteM
- 5E. NdickaD
- 8N. El AynaouiM
- 14D. MalenF
- 18M. SouléF
- 19Z. ÇelikM
- 22HermosoD
- 23G. ManciniD
- 43WesleyM
- 61N. PisilliF
- 99M. SvilarG
Substitutes
- 2D. RenschD
- 3AngeliñoD
- 12K. TsimikasD
- 20L. VenturinoF
- 21P. DybalaF
- 24J. ZiółkowskiD
- 70G. De MarziG
- 78R. VazF
- 87D. GhilardiD
- 92S. El ShaarawyF
- 95P. GolliniG
- 97Bryan ZaragozaF
Bologna
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Riccardo Orsolini | F | 77 | 6.7 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Lewis Ferguson(C) | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Torbjørn Heggem | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Santiago Castro | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jonathan Rowe | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Eivind Helland | D | 77 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juan Miranda | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Remo Freuler | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Jhon Lucumí | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Federico Ravaglia | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Mário | M | 66 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nikola Moro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charalampos Lykogiannis | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tommaso Pobega | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matteo Franceschelli | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francesco Castaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Massimo Pessina | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Benjamín Domínguez | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Simon Sohm | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jens Odgaard | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Martin Vitík | D | 13 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nicolò Cambiaghi | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo De Silvestri | D | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nadir Zortea | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
AS Roma
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donyell Malen | F | 77 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Gianluca Mancini(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Neil El Aynaoui | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Matías Soulé | F | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mile Svilar | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Evan Ndicka | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zeki Çelik | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wesley | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Bryan Cristante | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Niccolò Pisilli | F | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mario Hermoso | D | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Stephan El Shaarawy | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Konstantinos Tsimikas | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pierluigi Gollini | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bryan Zaragoza | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Angeliño | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Ziółkowski | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lorenzo Venturino | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Giorgio De Marzi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Devyne Rensch | D | 45 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Dybala | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Robinio Vaz | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniele Ghilardi | D | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |