Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav
Bohemians 1905 hold firm for narrow win
A. Čermák's early strike secures a 1-0 victory against the odds
Bohemians 1905 edged out Mlada Boleslav with a solitary goal from A. Čermák in the 13th minute, holding on to claim a narrow 1-0 win in the Czech Liga. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of an away win, proving that the home side had other ideas.
Outcome probability
The new Czech league season kicks off with Bohemians 1905 facing off against Mlada Boleslav. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter as they look to start the campaign on a high note.
Key facts
- 1.Bohemians 1905 have signed V. Pilař on a free transfer ahead of the new season.
- 2.Bohemians 1905 released Abdulla Yusuf Helal and M. Ristovski as free agents.
- 3.Mlada Boleslav lost R. Macek and M. Vojta to transfers and D. Kostka as a free agent.
- 4.Mlada Boleslav are ranked 3rd in the league with 40 points from 35 games last season.
- 5.Bohemians 1905 finished 10th with 36 points from 30 games last season.
- 6.The predicted final score is 3-2 in favour of Mlada Boleslav.
- 7.Four cards are expected during the match, indicating a moderately physical game.
- 8.Halftime score prediction is 2-1 to Mlada Boleslav, consistent with the fulltime forecast.
The context
Bohemians 1905 have welcomed V. Pilař on a free transfer while parting ways with Abdulla Yusuf Helal and M. Ristovski, both released as free agents. Mlada Boleslav, meanwhile, have seen the departures of R. Macek and M. Vojta through transfers and D. Kostka as a free agent. These changes could influence the dynamics as both sides seek to find their rhythm early in the season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bohemians 1905
Away — Mlada Boleslav
Analysis
The prediction model slightly favours Mlada Boleslav with an away win probability just edging out Bohemians 1905 and the draw. The most likely scoreline is a 3-2 victory for Mlada Boleslav, with a halftime score of 2-1 in their favour, suggesting a lively and competitive match. The forecast also anticipates a moderately physical game with around four cards expected, indicating some robust challenges but nothing out of the ordinary.
Prediction
Expect Mlada Boleslav to secure a narrow 3-2 win over Bohemians 1905. The away side’s ability to edge this encounter is supported by the predicted scoreline and the statistical probabilities, making this a match where the visitors just have the upper hand.
The verdict
This season opener promises an entertaining clash with Mlada Boleslav predicted to come out on top by the slimmest of margins. Both teams will be eager to start strong, but the visitors look set to take all three points in a thrilling 3-2 finish.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Zika
Yellow Card
Čermák
Yellow Card
Smrž
Yellow Card
John
Krobot
Yellow Card
Špatenka
Krobot
Květ
Klíma
Yellow Card
Frühwald
Yellow Card
Šubert
Yellow Card
Langhamer
Almási
Smrž
Karafiát
Yellow Card
Čermák
Yellow Card
Čermák
Lischka
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +20 | 27 |
| 3 |  Slovan Liberec | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 20 |
| 4 |  Mlada Boleslav | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 20 |
| 5 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 |  FK Jablonec | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 17 |
| 9 |  Bohemians 1905 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 10 |  Hradec Králové | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Bohemians 1905
5-3-2Starting XI
- 3Matej KadlecD
- 9L. KrobotF
- 16R. KvětM
- 23T. FrühwaldG
- 24M. HavelD
- 27D. LischkaD
- 32P. MirvaldD
- 37D. JavorčekD
- 42V. SmržM
- 47A. ČermákM
- 99L. AlmásiF
Substitutes
- 8D. HeidenreichD
- 11V. PilařM
- 12M. ReichlG
- 13V. ZemanF
- 15M. BandaD
- 18D. ValaD
- 19J. KovaříkM
- 22J. VondraD
- 25P. KareemD
- 70Simon CernyM
Mlada Boleslav
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. KrálikD
- 11M. HybšD
- 13D. DonátD
- 17F. ŠpatenkaM
- 20S. JohnM
- 21M. ŠubertM
- 23J. KlímaF
- 28D. LanghamerM
- 44O. KarafiátD
- 59J. FloderG
- 76Jan ZikaM
Substitutes
- 5J. HarušťákD
- 9L. LetenayF
- 14S. GrygarM
- 18M. HavranM
- 19D. KozelM
- 26M. ZachovalD
- 32F. MatoušekD
- 42V. VorelG
- 49J. KoláříkM
- 70J. BuryánF
- 77D. PechM
Bohemians 1905
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Čermák | M | 92 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| T. Frühwald | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matej Kadlec | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Havel | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Javorček | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| D. Lischka | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Pilař | M | 34 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| Simon Cerny | M | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Vala | D | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| V. Smrž | M | 82 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| R. Květ | M | 56 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/7 |
| L. Krobot | F | 56 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Almási | F | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| P. Mirvald | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Heidenreich | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Banda | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Zeman | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Kareem | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kovařík | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Vondra | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Reichl | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Mlada Boleslav
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Králik | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Donát | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| O. Karafiát | D | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Hybš | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Kozel | M | 34 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Jan Zika | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| J. Klíma | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| J. Buryán | F | 8 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. John | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Langhamer | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0/2 |
| M. Šubert | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/5 |
| M. Havran | M | 17 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| F. Špatenka | M | 56 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Floder | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kolářík | M | 44 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| M. Zachoval | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Grygar | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Pech | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Letenay | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Vorel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Harušťák | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Matoušek | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Mlada Boleslav to win against Bohemians 1905.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bohemians 1905 2–3 Mlada Boleslav.
- What were the win probabilities for Bohemians 1905 vs Mlada Boleslav?
- Fipster's model gave Bohemians 1905 a 19% chance of winning, Mlada Boleslav a 62% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 62% confidence — a medium-confidence call.