Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905 edge Baník Ostrava in tight contest
A solitary strike from A. Čermák secures all three points for the hosts.
Bohemians 1905 claimed a narrow 1-0 victory over Baník Ostrava in the Czech Liga, thanks to A. Čermák's first-half goal at 26 minutes. The match was a closely fought affair with the single goal proving decisive. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline was a touch optimistic.
Outcome probability
As the Czech league season progresses, Bohemians 1905 and Baník Ostrava face off in a match that promises tactical intrigue and a battle for crucial points. Both sides sit close in the league standings, but subtle edges in form and goal difference hint at a home victory.
Match factors
Bohemians 1905's attacking trio in form
Almási, Čermák, and Květ show strong recent scoring and assist form, boosting home attack potential
Bohemians 1905's superior home defensive record
Bohemians concede only 0.33 goals per home game vs Baník's 2.2 away goals conceded, favoring a clean sheet
Baník Ostrava's scoring struggles away
Baník's top scorer Jurečka has no goals in last 5, limiting away goal threat
Milan Havel's creative role from defense
Havel's above-average assists and crossing ability provide key chances for Bohemians
The context
Bohemians 1905 currently hold 9 points from 8 games, positioned 11th, while Baník Ostrava are just behind in 12th with the same points tally. Historically, Baník Ostrava have had the upper hand in their head-to-head encounters, winning 9 of 16 matches, but Bohemians 1905's home advantage and better goal difference this season add an interesting twist.
Key insights
Ladislav Almási
Bohemians 1905
Top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games, including 2 in the last 5, showing strong recent form and key home contribution.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Milan Havel
Bohemians 1905
Top assist provider with 2 assists in 8 games, known for high passing accuracy and crossing ability, crucial for creating chances.
Czech Liga 26/272 assists in 8 appearances, 0.25 assists/game
Václav Jurečka
Baník Ostrava
Struggling to score recently with no goals in last 5 games, limiting Baník Ostrava's away goal threat.
Czech Liga 26/271 goal in 8 appearances, 0.125 goals/game
Analysis
Bohemians 1905 boast a significantly better goal difference (+8) compared to Baník Ostrava, reflecting a more potent offense and tighter defence at home. Their attacking trio, led by Ladislav Almási with 3 goals in 8 games, alongside Aleš Čermák and Roman Květ, have been in good recent form, contributing both goals and assists. Milan Havel's creativity from defence also provides key chances. Conversely, Baník Ostrava's away scoring struggles, particularly from their top scorer Václav Jurečka who has failed to score in the last five games, limit their threat. Defensively, Bohemians concede just 0.33 goals per home game, suggesting a clean sheet is on the cards.
Key facts
- 1.Bohemians 1905 have won 3 of 16 head-to-head matches against Baník Ostrava, who have won 9, with 4 draws.
- 2.The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 2.7, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Bohemians 1905 are 11th in the league with 9 points from 8 games (2 wins, 3 draws, 3 losses).
- 4.Baník Ostrava are 12th with 9 points from 8 games (3 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses).
- 5.Bohemians 1905 have a superior goal difference (+8) compared to Baník Ostrava this season.
- 6.Bohemians concede only 0.33 goals per home game, while Baník concede 2.2 goals away on average.
- 7.Ladislav Almási is Bohemians' top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games, including 2 in the last 5.
- 8.Milan Havel leads assists for Bohemians with 2 in 8 games, providing key chances from defence.
Prediction
We expect Bohemians 1905 to take an early lead, reflected in a predicted halftime score of 1-0. Maintaining their momentum, they should extend their advantage to a 2-0 fulltime victory. The match is also likely to see around four cards, indicating a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bohemians 1905
Away — Baník Ostrava
The verdict
Bohemians 1905's combination of home form, attacking sharpness, and defensive solidity makes them the favourites to secure all three points against Baník Ostrava. Fans can anticipate a disciplined performance with key contributions from Almási and Havel, culminating in a well-earned 2-0 win.
Prediction generated 19 Sep 2026, 17:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.158
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Čermák
Assist: Smrž
Šancl
Planka
Smrž
Krobot
Goal Disallowed - offside
Jurečka
Boula
Květ
Holzer
Almási
Čermák
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +20 | 26 |
| 10 |  Plzen | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 |  Bohemians 1905 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |  Baník Ostrava | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 13 |  Artis | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Bohemians 1905
5-3-2Starting XI
- 3Matej KadlecD
- 9L. KrobotF
- 16R. KvětM
- 23T. FrühwaldG
- 24M. HavelD
- 27D. LischkaD
- 32P. MirvaldD
- 37D. JavorčekD
- 42V. SmržM
- 47A. ČermákM
- 99L. AlmásiF
Substitutes
- 8D. HeidenreichD
- 11V. PilařM
- 12M. ReichlG
- 15M. BandaD
- 18D. ValaD
- 19J. KovaříkM
- 22J. VondraD
- 25P. KareemD
- 62Samuel ObinaiiaM
- 66Oliver MikudaM
- 70Simon CernyM
Baník Ostrava
3-5-2Starting XI
- 5J. BoulaM
- 15V. JurečkaF
- 17M. FrydrychD
- 18D. PlankaM
- 19F. ŠanclM
- 22V. SkrkonF
- 23M. JedličkaG
- 34A. BeweneM
- 42J. MíčekD
- 83R. NoghaD
- 95D. HolzerM
Substitutes
- 1V. BudinskýG
- 3Rhodri SmithD
- 7D. GilbertM
- 8A. TraoréM
- 21M. KohútM
- 28F. KubalaF
- 37M. ChalušD
- 55Artúr MusákM
- 81M. KmeťD
Bohemians 1905
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aleš Čermák(C) | M | 68 | 9.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Matej Kadlec | D | 68 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Roman Kvet | M | 68 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Petr Mirvald | D | 68 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| David Lischka | D | 68 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Vojtěch Smrž | M | 68 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Milan Havel | D | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dominik Javorček | D | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Tomáš Frühwald | G | 68 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ladislav Almási | F | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Ladislav Krobot | F | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Michal Reichl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Kovařík | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Mikuda | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Šimon Černý | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Peter Kareem | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Obinaya | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jan Vondra | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mathews Banda | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Heidenreich | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Denis Vála | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Václav Pilař | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Baník Ostrava
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michal Frydrych(C) | D | 68 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Daniel Holzer | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Abdullahi Bewene | M | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Martin Jedlička | G | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Planka | M | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Václav Jurečka | F | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Roan Nogha | D | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Jiří Boula | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Jiri Micek | D | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Filip Šancl | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vit Skrkon | F | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Matúš Kmeť | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Viktor Budinský | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matěj Chaluš | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Filip Kubala | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michal Kohút | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rhodri Smith | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aboubacar Traore | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dantaye Gilbert | M | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bohemians 1905 to win against Baník Ostrava.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bohemians 1905 2–0 Baník Ostrava.
- What were the win probabilities for Bohemians 1905 vs Baník Ostrava?
- Fipster's model gave Bohemians 1905 a 95% chance of winning, Baník Ostrava a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.