Bodo/Glimt vs NEC Nijmegen
Bodo/Glimt cruise to comfortable Champions League win
A dominant display sees Bodo/Glimt shut out NEC Nijmegen with a 3-0 scoreline.
Bodo/Glimt secured a commanding 3-0 victory over NEC Nijmegen in the UEFA Champions League, with F. Bjørkan and S. Auklend striking in stoppage time of the first half to set the tone. The home side sealed the win after the break thanks to an own goal by Deveron Fonville. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the clean sheet was a bonus beyond the expected 3-1 scoreline.
- First leg:
- NEC Nijmegen 1 3 Bodo/Glimt
- Aggregate:
- Bodo/Glimt 6 1 NEC Nijmegen
- Advances:
- Bodo/Glimt
Outcome probability
Bodo/Glimt and NEC Nijmegen face off in a crucial play-offs match where the home side looks poised to continue their recent scoring streak. With both teams eager to progress, expect a lively contest with Bodo/Glimt holding the upper hand.
Match factors
Bodo/Glimt's midfield dominance with P. Berg
Patrick Berg's high tackle count and duel win rate give Bodo/Glimt control in midfield, disrupting NEC's build-up
Bodo/Glimt's superior passing accuracy in defense
O. Bjørtuft's 95% passing accuracy and high volume surpass league averages, aiding Bodo/Glimt's possession and buildup
Bodo/Glimt's recent scoring streak
Bodo/Glimt have scored in all last 3 matches, showing strong attacking form supporting predicted 3 goals
NEC's attack weakened by key absences
Confirmed outs including Koki Ogawa reduce NEC's goal threat, limiting their scoring potential
Bodo/Glimt's recent away win over NEC
Bodo/Glimt won 3-1 away at NEC recently, indicating psychological and tactical edge
The context
In this competition, Bodo/Glimt have played three matches, winning once and drawing twice, scoring eight goals and conceding six. NEC Nijmegen, meanwhile, have yet to win in three matches, drawing twice and losing once, with two goals scored and four conceded. Their recent head-to-head saw Bodo/Glimt triumph 3-1 away, giving them a psychological and tactical advantage heading into this fixture.
Key insights
J. Hauge
Bodo/Glimt
J. Hauge is a key attacking threat with a 75% chance to score and already has 1 goal and 1 assist this season, making him central to Bodo/Glimt’s predicted goals.
UEFA Champions League 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 1 appearance, 120 mins played
- P
Patrick Berg
Bodo/Glimt
Patrick Berg’s exceptional defensive work with 8 tackles and an 82% duel win rate provides Bodo/Glimt with midfield dominance, disrupting NEC’s build-up play.
UEFA Champions League 26/278 tackles and 82% duel win rate in last match vs NEC
- O
O. Bjørtuft
Bodo/Glimt
Captain O. Bjørtuft’s 95% passing accuracy and high passing volume help Bodo/Glimt maintain possession and control the game’s tempo.
UEFA Champions League 26/2795% passing accuracy, avg 91.5 passes/game
- K
Koki Ogawa
NEC Nijmegen
Koki Ogawa’s doubtful status weakens NEC’s attacking options, reducing their goal threat in this crucial match.
UEFA Champions League 26/270 goals this season due to absence
Analysis
Bodo/Glimt's midfield dominance, led by Patrick Berg's exceptional tackling and duel success, disrupts NEC's build-up play effectively. Defensively, captain O. Bjørtuft's near-perfect passing accuracy helps maintain possession and build attacks. NEC's attack is weakened by the absence of key player Koki Ogawa, limiting their goal threat. Bodo/Glimt's recent scoring consistency and tactical superiority suggest they will control the match and extend their lead after a likely 1-0 halftime advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Bodo/Glimt have played 3 matches in this competition (W1 D2 L0, GF 8 / GA 6).
- 2.NEC Nijmegen have played 3 matches in this competition (W0 D2 L1, GF 2 / GA 4).
- 3.Bodo/Glimt won the only recent head-to-head meeting 3-1 away at NEC.
- 4.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Bodo/Glimt.
- 5.Total cards expected in the match are around 4, indicating moderate discipline.
- 6.J. Hauge has a 75% probability to score, with 1 goal in 1 appearance this season.
- 7.Patrick Berg's 8 tackles and 82% duel win rate give Bodo/Glimt midfield control.
- 8.NEC's Koki Ogawa is doubtful, weakening their attacking options.
Prediction
The prediction is a 3-1 victory for Bodo/Glimt, with a halftime score of 1-0. The home side's attacking trio, including J. Hauge and A. Helmersen, are expected to contribute goals and assists, capitalising on NEC's defensive vulnerabilities. The match is also expected to see moderate disciplinary action, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bodo/Glimt
Away — NEC Nijmegen
The verdict
All signs point to Bodo/Glimt continuing their strong play in this competition with a confident 3-1 win over NEC Nijmegen. Their tactical edge, combined with key player performances and NEC's weakened attack, makes this a solid prediction for the play-offs.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Crettaz
Red Card
Sierhuis
Lebreton
Yellow Card
Bjørkan
Assist: Auklend
Auklend
Assist: Hauge
Chery
Nejašmić
Linssen
Tadić
Fonville (OG)
Bjørkan
Helmersen
Sjøvold
Fet
Bjørtuft
Pereira
Yellow Card
Match Statistics
Bodo/Glimt
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2V. NielsenD
- 4O. BjørtuftD
- 7P. BergM
- 8S. AuklendM
- 9A. HelmersenF
- 10J. HaugeF
- 11O. Didrik BlombergF
- 12N. HaikinG
- 15F. BjørkanD
- 19S. FetM
- 20F. SjøvoldD
Substitutes
- 1J. Faye LundG
- 5H. AleesamiD
- 14U. SaltnesM
- 16J. KitolanoM
- 17O. BrynhildsenF
- 22J. MvukaM
- 24D. BassiF
- 25I. MäättäD
- 32K. SolhaugM
NEC Nijmegen
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 1G. CrettazG
- 2B. PereiraD
- 6D. NejašmićM
- 9T. CheryF
- 10D. TadićM
- 14K. SierhuisF
- 20N. LebretonM
- 21T. StormD
- 24Deveron FonvilleD
- 30B. LinssenF
- 99Clement BischoffM
Substitutes
- 5T. OuwejanD
- 8I. Hansen-AarøenM
- 11W. WillumssonM
- 12N. PolsterG
- 17B. NuytinckD
- 19Adam TahauiF
- 32V. van CrooijM
- 34Kevin KersF
- 35Jamiro MonteiroM
- 38Joep GenesteG
- 66Almugera Raouf Mohammed KabarD
- 73Gabriel BrásD
Bodo/Glimt
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odin Luras Bjørtuft | D | 80 | 8.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Villads Nielsen | D | 89 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Jens Petter Hauge | F | 89 | 8.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 4/7 |
| Sondre Auklend | M | 89 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Fredrik André Bjørkan | D | 74 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Fredrik Sjøvold | D | 80 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Sondre Fet | M | 80 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Patrick Berg(C) | M | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ole Didrik Blomberg | F | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Nikita Haikin | G | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andreas Helmersen | F | 80 | 5.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Haitam Aleesami | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Lund | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joel Mugisha Mvuka | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Bassi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ulrik Saltnes | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Dybvik Määttä | D | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Kasper Solhaug | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ola Brynhildsen | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joshua Kitolano | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
NEC Nijmegen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaj Sierhuis | F | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Noé Lebreton | M | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Darko Nejašmić | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Tjaronn Chery(C) | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Brayann Pereira | D | 89 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dušan Tadić | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Clement Bischoff | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/6 |
| Deveron Fonville | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 5/5 |
| Bryan Linssen | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Tobias Storm | D | 89 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Gonzalo Crettaz | G | 3 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Adam Tahaui | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Brás | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thomas Ouwejan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jamiro Monteiro | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vito van Crooij | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kevin Kers | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Joep Geneste | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nikolas Polster | G | 84 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bram Nuytinck | D | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Hansen Aarøen | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Almugera Kabar | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Willum Thor Willumsson | M | 27 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |