Blackburn vs Wrexham
Guðjohnsen's brace secures Blackburn win
Blackburn edge out Wrexham with two well-timed strikes.
Blackburn claimed a 2-0 victory over Wrexham in the Championship, thanks to a brace from A. Guðjohnsen who struck just before half-time and again in the second half. The home side controlled the match and converted their chances efficiently, denying Wrexham any reply. Fipster's prediction of a Blackburn win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit more modest than forecast.
Outcome probability
Blackburn and Wrexham face off in the 12th round of the regular season, with Blackburn looking to build on their mid-table position and Wrexham aiming to climb out of the lower reaches of the table.
Match factors
Blackburn's strong passing and defensive midfield presence
Blackburn's McLoughlin and Montgomery exceed league averages in passing and tackling, boosting control and defense
O. Afolayan's recent goal contributions
Afolayan has scored and assisted in recent matches, showing attacking form to influence the game
Blackburn missing key attackers and defenders
Absence of key attackers and defenders like Y. Ohashi and M. Litherland weakens Blackburn's depth
Wrexham's Doyle and Whiteman provide midfield stability
Doyle and Whiteman's passing and defensive stats suggest they can help Wrexham resist Blackburn's attack
The context
Both teams have met three times before, each securing one win and sharing a draw, with an average of three goals per match. Blackburn currently sit 10th with 15 points, while Wrexham are 17th with 11 points after ten games, reflecting a slight edge for Blackburn in league form.
Key insights
- S
S. McLoughlin
Blackburn
McLoughlin's passing accuracy of 84% and average of 59 passes per game make him a key distributor from defence, boosting Blackburn's control.
Championship 26/27Passing accuracy 84%, avg 59 passes/game
- K
Kristi Montgomery
Blackburn
Montgomery's tackling and interception stats (2.5 and 2.2 per game) provide a strong defensive midfield presence, helping Blackburn maintain stability.
Championship 26/27Tackles 2.5/game, interceptions 2.2/game
- O
O. Afolayan
Blackburn
Afolayan's recent goals and assists highlight his attacking form, likely to influence the match offensively.
Championship 26/27Multiple goals and assists in recent matches
- C
C. Doyle
Wrexham
Doyle's high passing volume and duel win rate offer Wrexham some midfield stability against Blackburn's pressure.
Championship 26/27Passing avg 60.2/game, duel win rate 61.6%
- B
B. Whiteman
Wrexham
Whiteman's passing accuracy of 86% and recent goal contributions make him a key player for Wrexham's midfield resistance.
Championship 26/27Passing accuracy 86%, recent goals and assists
Analysis
Blackburn's superior goal difference of +2 compared to Wrexham's -4 highlights their stronger offensive and defensive balance this season. Key players like S. McLoughlin and Kristi Montgomery bolster Blackburn's midfield and defensive stability with impressive passing accuracy and tackling stats. Meanwhile, Wrexham's midfielders C. Doyle and B. Whiteman offer some resistance, but Blackburn's recent form and home advantage suggest they will dominate early, likely leading 2-0 at halftime.
Key facts
- 1.Blackburn and Wrexham have each won one and drawn one in their three previous meetings.
- 2.The average goals per match between these teams is 3.0, indicating an open game.
- 3.Blackburn currently hold 15 points from 10 games, placing them 10th in the league.
- 4.Wrexham have 11 points from 10 games, sitting 17th in the standings.
- 5.Blackburn's goal difference is +2, while Wrexham's is -4, showing a stronger overall performance.
- 6.Blackburn's S. McLoughlin boasts 84% passing accuracy and averages 59 passes per game, well above league defender averages.
- 7.Kristi Montgomery contributes defensively with 2.5 tackles and 2.2 interceptions per game, exceeding league midfielder averages.
- 8.Wrexham's C. Doyle and B. Whiteman provide midfield stability with high passing accuracy and duel win rates.
Prediction
The forecast is a confident Blackburn win, with a halftime score of 2-0 and a final score of 3-1. Blackburn's ability to control possession and create chances should see them comfortably outscore Wrexham, who may manage a consolation goal but struggle to keep pace.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Blackburn
Away — Wrexham
The verdict
Expect Blackburn to assert themselves early and maintain momentum to secure all three points. Wrexham will need to tighten up defensively and find more attacking spark to challenge Blackburn's dominance in this encounter.
Prediction generated 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.164
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pickering
Yellow Card
Hyam
Yellow Card
Guðjohnsen
James
Yellow Card
James
Whiteman
Sam Morsy
Yellow Card
Fevrier
Ekomié
Hyam
Kaboré
Guðjohnsen
Assist: Cantwell
Guðjohnsen
Baradji
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | +10 | 25 |
| 10 |  Sheffield Utd | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 19 |
| 11 |  Blackburn | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +3 | 18 |
| 12 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +1 | 18 |
| 17 |  Cardiff | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +2 | 14 |
| 18 |  Wrexham | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | -4 | 14 |
| 19 |  Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 14 |
Match Statistics
Blackburn
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2R. AlebiosuD
- 3H. PickeringD
- 8Sam MorsyM
- 9A. GuðjohnsenF
- 10T. CantwellM
- 11J. FevrierM
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 17H. CarterD
- 21O. AfolayanM
- 22B. TóthG
- 24M. BaradjiM
Substitutes
- 1A. PearsG
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 7A. KargboF
- 14D. De NeveM
- 16S. WhartonD
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 30J. GarrettM
- 39H. PatesD
Wrexham
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 2C. DoyleD
- 3J. EkomiéM
- 5D. HyamD
- 6J. WorrallD
- 8B. WhitemanM
- 12I. KaboréM
- 17C. O'HareM
- 19K. MooreF
- 22A. PattersonG
- 28S. SmithM
- 37M. JamesM
Substitutes
- 11B. CadamarteriF
- 15G. DobsonM
- 18B. SheafM
- 20O. RathboneM
- 21D. WardG
- 26Z. VynerD
- 27L. O'BrienM
- 30Daniel Edward Peter ImrayD
- 47R. LongmanM
Blackburn
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 89 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| T. Cantwell | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 6 | 1/1 |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Pickering | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Sam Morsy | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 89 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| H. Carter | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| J. Garrett | M | 1 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. De Neve | M | 1 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Afolayan | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| J. Fevrier | M | 72 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/2 |
| B. Tóth | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kargbo | F | 18 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Alebiosu | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| A. Pears | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Atcheson | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Pates | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Wharton | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Wrexham
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Moore | F | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3/4 |
| C. Doyle | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| S. Smith | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| B. Whiteman | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| B. Sheaf | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Ekomié | M | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| M. James | M | 64 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| J. Worrall | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Edward Peter Imray | D | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| R. Longman | M | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| I. Kaboré | M | 78 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| G. Dobson | M | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Rathbone | M | 12 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. O'Hare | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| D. Hyam | D | 78 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Patterson | G | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Cadamarteri | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Ward | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Vyner | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. O'Brien | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Blackburn vs Wrexham?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Blackburn to win against Wrexham.
- What score did Fipster predict for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Blackburn 3–1 Wrexham.
- What were the win probabilities for Blackburn vs Wrexham?
- Fipster's model gave Blackburn a 85% chance of winning, Wrexham a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.