Blackburn vs Millwall
Blackburn secure solid win over Millwall
O. Afolayan's brace and a stoppage-time goal seal a 3-1 victory.
Blackburn claimed a confident 3-1 victory against Millwall in the Championship, with O. Afolayan starring by netting twice, including a crucial second-half strike. Millwall's L. Dykes pulled one back from the penalty spot early in the second half, but Blackburn restored their two-goal cushion before A. Guðjohnsen wrapped up the win in stoppage time. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved slightly off.
Outcome probability
Blackburn and Millwall are set for an intriguing clash in the regular season's seventh round. Both teams have shown attacking intent, promising an entertaining encounter with goals likely at both ends.
Match factors
Blackburn's attacking midfield creativity
Ryoya Morishita and Todd Cantwell provide goal and assist threat from midfield, enhancing Blackburn's attack variety
Andri Guðjohnsen's superior scoring rate
Guðjohnsen's 0.4 goals per game exceed league attacker average of 0.208, boosting Blackburn's scoring potential
Millwall's strong recent home form
Millwall have won 3 of last 5 with 1.5 goals per game at home, indicating offensive confidence
Blackburn missing key attackers
Absence of Jørgensen, Kargbo, and Ohashi reduces attacking depth, increasing reliance on Guðjohnsen and midfield goals
Millwall's disciplined defense and playmaking
Jake Cooper and Caleb Taylor provide solid defense and assist support, aiding Millwall's balanced play
The context
Millwall currently sit higher in the league standings, occupying seventh place with nine points from five games, while Blackburn are six spots below in sixteenth with five points. Historically, Blackburn have had the upper hand in their head-to-head meetings, winning 12 of 20 encounters, which adds an interesting dynamic to this fixture.
Key insights
Andri Guðjohnsen
Blackburn
Guðjohnsen's goal rate of 0.4 per game surpasses the league average, making him a key scoring threat at home.
Championship 26/272 goals in 5 games, 0.4 avg per game
Ryoya Morishita
Blackburn
Morishita provides creativity and goal threat from midfield, contributing both goals and assists with disciplined play.
Championship 26/271 goal and 1 assist in 5 games, 0 yellow cards
Lyndon Dykes
Millwall
Dykes leads Millwall's attack with 2 goals in 5 games and has shown strong finishing ability recently.
Championship 26/272 goals in 5 games, high recent rating
Todd Cantwell
Blackburn
Cantwell adds to Blackburn's midfield threat with goal contributions, enhancing their attacking variety.
Championship 26/271 goal in 5 games
Analysis
The match is expected to be a high-scoring affair, reflecting the average of 2.6 goals per game in their past meetings. Blackburn's attacking midfielders, Ryoya Morishita and Todd Cantwell, provide creativity and goal threat, complementing the scoring prowess of Andri Guðjohnsen, who boasts a goal rate well above the league average. Millwall, meanwhile, rely on Lyndon Dykes and Taïryk Arconte for goals, with a disciplined defensive setup led by Jake Cooper and Caleb Taylor. The absence of some key Blackburn attackers increases their reliance on Guðjohnsen and midfield contributions, which could be decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Blackburn have won 12 of 20 meetings against Millwall.
- 2.The average goals per match in their head-to-head is 2.6.
- 3.Millwall currently rank 7th in the league with 9 points from 5 games.
- 4.Blackburn are 16th with 5 points from 5 games.
- 5.Andri Guðjohnsen has scored 2 goals in 5 games, with a strong home scoring record.
- 6.Millwall's Lyndon Dykes is their top scorer with 2 goals in 5 games.
- 7.Blackburn's midfielders Ryoya Morishita and Todd Cantwell contribute both goals and assists.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
We anticipate a thrilling 3-2 victory for Blackburn, with the halftime score likely to be 1-1. While Blackburn hold a slight edge, the match promises to be finely balanced, with both teams expected to find the net multiple times. Expect a competitive game with moments of attacking flair and defensive resilience.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Blackburn
Away — Millwall
The verdict
In summary, Blackburn's home advantage and attacking midfield creativity should see them narrowly overcome Millwall in a match filled with goals and excitement. Fans can look forward to a lively contest where both sides push for victory until the final whistle.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Carter
Yellow Card
Ribeiro
Sam Morsy
Yellow Card
Afolayan
Assist: Sam Morsy
Norton Sturge
Yellow Card
Osei-Tutu
Esse
Pickering
Yellow Card
Alebiosu
Gady Beyuku
Yellow Card
Dykes
Penalty
Afolayan
Assist: Atcheson
Afolayan
Cantwell
Mazou-Sacko
Metcalfe
Yellow Card
Cooper
Metcalfe
Fevrier
Yellow Card
Sykes
Yellow Card
Guðjohnsen
Assist: Fevrier
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Swansea | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 17 |
| 10 |  Birmingham | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Millwall | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Lincoln | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 |
| 15 |  Norwich | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 16 |  Blackburn | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
| 17 |  Sheffield Utd | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Blackburn
5-4-1Starting XI
- 2R. AlebiosuM
- 4Yuri RibeiroD
- 6Tom AtchesonD
- 8Sam MorsyM
- 10T. CantwellM
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 17H. CarterD
- 21O. AfolayanF
- 22B. TóthG
- 25R. MorishitaM
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
Substitutes
- 1A. PearsG
- 3H. PickeringD
- 9A. GuðjohnsenF
- 11J. FevrierF
- 24M. BaradjiM
- 27Gady BeyukuD
- 30J. GarrettM
- 53F. VareM
Millwall
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2J. Osei-TutuD
- 3Zak Norton SturgeD
- 5J. CooperD
- 6C. TaylorD
- 7T. ArconteM
- 10C. NeghliM
- 11R. EsseM
- 13L. DykesF
- 14Jenson MetcalfeM
- 15M. CrocombeG
- 49D. Mazou-SackoM
Substitutes
- 12E. BaggottD
- 16D. KellyM
- 17M. SykesM
- 23D. BatthD
- 29Z. LovelaceF
- 34F. MarschallG
- 35Y. IssoufouF
- 44Alfie MasseyM
Blackburn
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Afolayan | F | 69 | 8.8 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Sam Morsy | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Yuri Ribeiro | D | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tom Atcheson | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| R. Alebiosu | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Fevrier | F | 21 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Guðjohnsen | F | 20 | 6.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Cantwell | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| H. Carter | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. McLoughlin | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| B. Tóth | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Morishita | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| H. Pickering | D | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Gady Beyuku | D | 44 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Baradji | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Garrett | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Pears | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Vare | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Millwall
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Dykes | F | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Sykes | M | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| J. Cooper | D | 82 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| C. Taylor | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Mazou-Sacko | M | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Z. Lovelace | F | 8 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Y. Issoufou | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| C. Neghli | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| R. Esse | M | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Zak Norton Sturge | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| E. Baggott | D | 8 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Arconte | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Kelly | M | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Osei-Tutu | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Jenson Metcalfe | M | 82 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Crocombe | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfie Massey | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Marschall | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Batth | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Blackburn vs Millwall?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Blackburn to win against Millwall.
- What score did Fipster predict for Blackburn vs Millwall?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Blackburn 3–2 Millwall.
- What were the win probabilities for Blackburn vs Millwall?
- Fipster's model gave Blackburn a 35% chance of winning, Millwall a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.