Blackburn vs Leicester
Match recap
Leicester beat Blackburn 1–0 in their Championship fixture. Mavididi scored for Leicester. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.40 for Blackburn versus 2.52 for Leicester. Blackburn sit 20th in the Championship table while Leicester are 23rd.
Analysis
Blackburn Rovers host Leicester City in what promises to be a competitive Championship fixture. Both teams have shown resilience this season, and with a history of tight encounters, fans can anticipate a closely contested match.
This fixture marks the 46th round of the regular season, with Blackburn playing at home. Historically, these two sides have met nine times with an even split of wins and a single draw, highlighting the balanced nature of their rivalry.
Blackburn's Yuki Ohashi has been in fine form, netting seven goals this season and proving a key attacking threat at home. Leicester's Patson Daka, their top scorer with 12 goals, will look to break down Blackburn's sturdy defence marshalled by Sean McLoughlin. Both teams possess creative midfielders like Ryoya Morishita and Ryan Alebiosu, who contribute assists and help maintain attacking momentum. The predicted total of four cards suggests a moderately physical game without excessive discipline issues.
Prediction
The forecast is a 1-1 draw, with a goalless first half giving way to goals from both sides in the second. The confidence level stands at 35%, reflecting the evenly matched nature of the teams and their balanced head-to-head record.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Blackburn's Defensive Leadership
Sean McLoughlin and Eiran Cashin provide strong defensive stability, crucial against Leicester's forwards.
Ohashi's Scoring Form
Yuki Ohashi's recent goal scoring and involvement surpass league average for forwards, boosting Blackburn's attack.
Morishita's Dual Threat
Ryoya Morishita shows consistent form in goals and assists, key for Blackburn's offensive transitions.
Leicester's Wide Threats
Ricardo Pereira and Ryan Alebiosu offer attacking width and crossing, challenging Blackburn's wingbacks.
Full Squad Availability
No reported injuries for either team, allowing both to field strongest lineups.
Key Takeaways
In summary, expect a tight, tactical battle with neither side able to claim all three points. Blackburn's home advantage and Leicester's attacking prowess should cancel each other out, resulting in a fair share of the spoils.
- Blackburn and Leicester have each won 4 of their 9 previous meetings, with 1 draw.
- The average goals per head-to-head match is 2.7, aligning with the predicted 1-1 scoreline.
- Yuki Ohashi has scored 7 goals this season, showing strong home form for Blackburn.
- Patson Daka leads Leicester with 12 goals, including 6 in the last 10 games.
- Sean McLoughlin is a defensive stalwart for Blackburn, key to their organisation.
- Ryoya Morishita contributes both goals and assists, vital for Blackburn's attack.
- The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a moderately physical but controlled game.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Blackburn
Away — Leicester
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ribeiro
Montgomery
Ricardo Pereira
Yellow Card
Page
Monga
McLoughlin
Yellow Card
Forshaw
Alebiosu
Daka
Ricardo Pereira
Baradji
Mavididi
Souttar
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | +52 | 95 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | -14 | 53 |
| 20 |  Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | -14 | 52 |
| 21 |  West Brom | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | -10 | 51 |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 46 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -14 | 47 |
| 23 |  Leicester | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | -10 | 46 |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 2 | 12 | 32 | -60 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Blackburn
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2R. AlebiosuM
- 4Yuri RibeiroM
- 15S. McLoughlinD
- 20E. CashinD
- 22B. TóthG
- 23Y. OhashiF
- 24M. BaradjiM
- 25R. MorishitaF
- 28A. ForshawM
- 31Kristi MontgomeryM
- 38Tom AtchesonD
Substitutes
- 1A. PearsG
- 5T. Gardner-HickmanM
- 10T. CantwellM
- 14D. De NeveD
- 16S. WhartonD
- 17H. CarterD
- 21O. AfolayanF
- 29M. JørgensenF
- 40M. LitherlandD
Leicester
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1J. StolarczykG
- 8H. WinksM
- 10S. MavididiM
- 15H. SouttarD
- 17H. ChoudhuryM
- 20P. DakaF
- 21Ricardo PereiraD
- 23J. VestergaardD
- 25L. PageM
- 28J. MongaM
- 33L. ThomasD
Substitutes
- 6J. JamesM
- 9J. AyewF
- 14B. De Cordova-ReidF
- 22O. SkippM
- 29D. MukasaM
- 31A. BegovićG
- 39Silko Amari Otieno ThomasF
- 56O. AlukoD
- 62K. GrayD
Blackburn
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Balázs Tóth | G | 90 | 9.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adam Forshaw | M | 71 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Sean McLoughlin(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryoya Morishita | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Moussa Baradji | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Kristi Montgomery | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Yuri Ribeiro | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tom Atcheson | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Alebiosu | M | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Eiran Cashin | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yuki Ohashi | F | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Scott Wharton | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oladapo Afolayan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aynsley Pears | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hayden Carter | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Cantwell | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Mathias Jørgensen | F | 19 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylor Gardner-Hickman | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Matthew Litherland | D | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dion De Neve | D | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Leicester
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jannik Vestergaard | D | 90 | 8.5 | — | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | — |
| Harry Souttar | D | 88 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Stephy Mavididi | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Harry Winks | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jakub Stolarczyk | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ricardo Pereira(C) | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamza Choudhury | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Luke Thomas | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Louis Page | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Jeremy Monga | M | 59 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Patson Daka | F | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Kevon Gray | D | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Asmir Begović | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bobby De Cordova-Reid | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oliver Skipp | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Divine Mukasa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan James | M | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Jordan Ayew | F | 31 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Olabade Aluko | D | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silko Thomas | F | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |