Benfica vs Lech Poznan
Benfica secures solid 3-1 victory
Rafa's early strike set the tone for a confident home win.
Benfica took control early with Rafa's goal in the 6th minute and maintained their advantage through G. Prestianni's effort after the break. Lech Poznan pulled one back via L. Bengtsson, but H. Sudakov sealed the win right on the 90th minute. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-1 home win proved spot on.
Outcome probability
Benfica, also known as As Águias, face off against Lech Poznan in a Group Stage clash that promises plenty of attacking action. Both teams have shown impressive scoring records recently, but the home side's firepower looks set to make the difference.
Match factors
Benfica's potent home scoring form
Benfica averages 4.7 goals per home game, well above league average, boosting scoring chances
V. Pavlidis in strong scoring form
Pavlidis has scored 6 goals in last 10 games, showing consistent finishing ability
A. Bah's assist threat from defense
Bah's 2 assists in last 5 games highlight his creative role and set-piece threat
Full squad availability for Benfica
No confirmed injuries or doubts, allowing full attacking and creative options
The context
In this competition, Benfica have played six matches, securing four wins, one draw, and one loss, with a healthy goal tally of 19 scored and just 6 conceded. Lech Poznan have been unbeaten in four matches here, boasting three wins and a draw, scoring 15 goals while conceding only 2. This sets the stage for an intriguing encounter between two sides with strong offensive records.
Key insights
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
Leads team scoring with 6 goals in last 10 games, showing consistent finishing ability and strong home scoring rate of 2 goals per game.
UEFA Europa League 26/276 goals in last 10 games, 3 appearances
A. Bah
Benfica
Top assister among defenders with 2 assists in last 5 games, key in set-piece delivery and crossing.
UEFA Europa League 26/272 assists in last 5 games, 3 appearances
G. Prestianni
Benfica
Midfielder with 3 goals in last 10 games, exceeding league average for midfield scoring and potential to impact game from midfield.
UEFA Europa League 26/273 goals in last 10 games, 2 appearances
Analysis
The aggregated probabilities heavily favour a home win, with a 3-1 scoreline as the most likely outcome. Benfica's attacking threat is spearheaded by V. Pavlidis, who has netted six goals in his last ten games and maintains a strong home scoring rate of two goals per game. Rafa also contributes consistently with four goals recently. Defensively, Benfica remain solid, and with full squad availability, they can deploy their best attacking and creative options. Lech Poznan's resilience will be tested against Benfica's home scoring average of 4.7 goals per game, which is well above the league average.
Key facts
- 1.Benfica have a record of 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in this competition so far.
- 2.Lech Poznan remain unbeaten with 3 wins and 1 draw in this competition.
- 3.Benfica average 4.7 goals per home game, well above the league average.
- 4.V. Pavlidis leads Benfica's scoring with 6 goals in the last 10 games.
- 5.Rafa has scored 4 goals in his last 10 appearances.
- 6.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 3-1 in favour of Benfica.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 to Benfica.
- 8.Three total cards are expected during the match.
Prediction
Expect Benfica to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 1-0, before extending their advantage to a 3-1 fulltime victory. The match is also likely to see three cards shown, indicating a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Benfica
Away — Lech Poznan
No standout top scorers flagged for Lech Poznan
The verdict
All signs point to Benfica continuing their strong form in this competition with a confident home win. Lech Poznan will provide a stern test, but the home side's attacking quality and recent performances suggest they will come out on top with a 3-1 scoreline.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rafa
Agnero
Yellow Card
Daniel Banjaqui
Yellow Card
Manu
Yellow Card
Rafa
Manu
Echeverri
Håkans
Prestianni
Assist: Sudakov
Araújo
Wålemark
Kozubal
Rodríguez
Bengtsson
Pereira
Schjelderup
Sudakov
Assist: Barrenechea
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |  Juventus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 |  Lech Poznan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. TrubinG
- 3A. CircatiD
- 10H. SudakovM
- 16ManuM
- 21A. SchjelderupM
- 22J. DuránF
- 27RafaM
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 44Tomás AraújoD
- 58Daniel BanjaquiD
Substitutes
- 5E. BarrenecheaM
- 6A. BahD
- 8F. AursnesM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 13J. KamińskiF
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 25G. PrestianniF
- 26S. DahlD
- 33Gabriel IndioD
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 72A. CabralF
Lech Poznan
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. LisG
- 2Joel PereiraD
- 7Y. AgneroF
- 10P. WålemarkM
- 11D. HåkansM
- 15M. GurgulD
- 21Pablo RodríguezM
- 22R. MurawskiM
- 43A. KozubalM
- 59T. YegbeD
- 72M. SkrzypczakD
Substitutes
- 5G. BerggrenM
- 14L. BengtssonM
- 20R. GumnyD
- 24F. JagiełłoM
- 31Wiktor ObremskiG
- 33M. PruchniewskiG
- 56W. SzymczakF
- 77L. PalmaM
- 90H. JanyszkaD
Benfica
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Sudakov | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | — |
| G. Prestianni | F | 28 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Rafa | M | 62 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| A. Trubin | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Echeverri | M | 62 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 69 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Circati | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Barrenechea | M | 28 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 21 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Daniel Banjaqui | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| J. Durán | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — |
| A. Schjelderup | M | 82 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Manu | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Samuel Soares | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahl | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Kamiński | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Indio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Lech Poznan
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Lis | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Bengtsson | M | 19 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Skrzypczak | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Murawski | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pablo Rodríguez | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| T. Yegbe | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Joel Pereira | D | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Y. Agnero | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Palma | M | 28 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| R. Gumny | D | 11 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Wålemark | M | 71 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| F. Jagiełło | M | 19 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| G. Berggren | M | 19 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Håkans | M | 62 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kozubal | M | 71 | 5.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Gurgul | D | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Pruchniewski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Szymczak | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Janyszka | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wiktor Obremski | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Benfica to win against Lech Poznan.
- What score did Fipster predict for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Benfica 3–1 Lech Poznan.
- What were the win probabilities for Benfica vs Lech Poznan?
- Fipster's model gave Benfica a 85% chance of winning, Lech Poznan a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.