Benfica vs Guimaraes
Benfica secure solid win over Guimaraes
S. Dahl and H. Sudakov strike to keep Benfica comfortable at home
Benfica claimed a 2-0 victory against Guimaraes in the Primeira Liga, with S. Dahl opening the scoring in the first half and H. Sudakov sealing the win after the break. The result was a controlled performance from the home side, who maintained their advantage without conceding. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the exact scoreline proved a bit optimistic.
Outcome probability
Benfica, also known as As Águias, face Guimaraes in the eighth round of the regular season. With Benfica sitting comfortably near the top of the table and Guimaraes struggling further down, this match promises a clear contest of form and firepower.
Match factors
Benfica's attacking midfield dominance
Prestianni's high goal and assist rates from midfield give Benfica a creative edge over Guimaraes' defense
Pavlidis' prolific scoring form
Pavlidis leads Benfica with 8 goals in 6 games, well above league average for attackers, boosting scoring chances
Benfica's strong recent home form
Benfica has scored in all recent home games, averaging 2.3 goals, supporting multiple scorer predictions
Full squad availability for Benfica
No confirmed injuries or doubts for Benfica ensures strongest lineup and attacking options available
Guimaraes' limited scoring threat
Guimaraes' top scorer Ndoye has only 1 goal in 6 games, limiting their offensive threat against Benfica's defense
The context
Benfica currently rank 2nd in the league with 16 points from 6 games, boasting an impressive +17 goal difference. Guimaraes, on the other hand, find themselves 14th with just 5 points from 7 games and a -3 goal difference. Historically, Benfica have dominated this fixture, winning 14 of their 20 meetings without a single loss to Guimaraes.
Key insights
Vangelis Pavlidis
Benfica
Leads team scoring with 8 goals, well above league average for attackers, boosting Benfica's chances.
Primeira Liga 26/278 goals in 6 appearances, 1.33 goals/game
- G
Gianluca Prestianni Gross
Benfica
High goal and assist output from midfield, exceeding league averages and providing creative edge.
Primeira Liga 26/275 goals and 3 assists in 6 appearances
Alioune Ndoye
Guimaraes
Limited scoring threat with just 1 goal in 6 games, restricting Guimaraes' offensive options.
Primeira Liga 26/271 goal in 6 appearances
Analysis
Benfica's attacking prowess is spearheaded by Vangelis Pavlidis, who has netted 8 goals in 6 appearances, making him a constant threat. Midfielder Gianluca Prestianni Gross adds creativity and goal threat with 5 goals and 3 assists this season. Guimaraes' offensive output is limited, with their top scorer Alioune Ndoye managing just 1 goal in 6 games. Benfica's solid defence, including stalwart Clément Lenglet, should comfortably handle Guimaraes' attacks. The home side's recent form and squad availability further tip the scales in their favour.
Key facts
- 1.Benfica have won 14 of 20 meetings against Guimaraes, with no losses and 6 draws.
- 2.Benfica rank 2nd with 16 points from 6 games; Guimaraes rank 14th with 5 points from 7 games.
- 3.Benfica have a +17 goal difference compared to Guimaraes' -3 this season.
- 4.Vangelis Pavlidis leads Benfica with 8 goals in 6 games, a prolific scoring rate.
- 5.Gianluca Prestianni Gross contributes 5 goals and 3 assists, providing midfield creativity.
- 6.Guimaraes' top scorer Alioune Ndoye has only 1 goal in 6 games, limiting their threat.
- 7.Benfica have scored in all recent home games, averaging 2.3 goals per match.
Prediction
Expect Benfica to take an early lead and maintain control, heading into halftime with a 2-0 advantage. Guimaraes may pull one back, but Benfica's quality and firepower should see them secure a 3-1 victory by full time. The match is also likely to feature around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Benfica
Away — Guimaraes
The verdict
In summary, Benfica's superior form, attacking talent, and historical dominance over Guimaraes make them the clear favourites. Guimaraes will need a near miracle to upset the odds, but for now, the smart money is on As Águias to continue their strong season with another win.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 21:31 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Strata
Yellow Card
Dahl
Assist: Pavlidis
Nogueira
Yellow Card
Borevković
Yellow Card
Barreiro
Yellow Card
Araújo
Yellow Card
Samu
Yellow Card
Schjelderup
Barreiro
Doucet
Miguel Nogueira
Balieiro
Yellow Card
Jakupovic
Bah
Rafa
Nogueira
Sudakov
Assist: Echeverri
Strata
Pavlidis
Match Statistics
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. CircatiD
- 6A. BahD
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 21A. SchjelderupM
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 26S. DahlD
- 27RafaM
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 44Tomás AraújoD
Substitutes
- 1A. TrubinG
- 8F. AursnesM
- 10H. SudakovM
- 11D. LukebakioF
- 16ManuM
- 22J. DuránF
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 33Gabriel IndioD
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 62J. NetoD
- 72A. CabralF
Guimaraes
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 7O. CamaraM
- 8Gonçalo NogueiraM
- 9A. JakupovicF
- 13João MendesD
- 17Miguel NogueiraM
- 20SamuM
- 21T. BorevkovićD
- 23T. StrataD
- 28Thiago BalieiroD
- 44L. DoucetM
- 48O. ZychG
Substitutes
- 2Miguel MagaD
- 4Óscar RivasD
- 5A. SidibéD
- 6M. MitrovićM
- 10AlanM
- 16BeniM
- 18Telmo ArcanjoM
- 19V. AnderssonM
- 29V. OuotroF
- 56S. VerdiM
- 82F. DiasD
- 98Lucas FurtadoG
Benfica
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Dahl | D | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| H. Sudakov | M | 17 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Circati | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 82 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| G. Prestianni | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2/3 |
| A. Schjelderup | M | 61 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | — |
| A. Bah | D | 73 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Echeverri | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| F. Aursnes | M | 29 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Palhinha | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Samuel Soares | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Durán | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Barreiro | M | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rafa | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| J. Neto | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Indio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. El Karouani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Trubin | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Guimaraes
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jakupovic | F | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 3/3 |
| Samu | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Miguel Nogueira | M | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/5 |
| T. Strata | D | 81 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| V. Ouotro | F | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gonçalo Nogueira | M | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Miguel Maga | D | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Borevković | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Doucet | M | 66 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Thiago Balieiro | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Telmo Arcanjo | M | 23 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| João Mendes | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Beni | M | 24 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| O. Zych | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Mitrović | M | 17 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| O. Camara | M | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| F. Dias | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Rivas | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Andersson | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Sidibé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Furtado | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Verdi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Benfica vs Guimaraes?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Benfica to win against Guimaraes.
- What score did Fipster predict for Benfica vs Guimaraes?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Benfica 3–1 Guimaraes.
- What were the win probabilities for Benfica vs Guimaraes?
- Fipster's model gave Benfica a 85% chance of winning, Guimaraes a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.