Benfica vs Celtic
Benfica steamroll Celtic with Durán double
A commanding display from Benfica sees them cruise to a 4-1 victory in the Europa League.
Benfica set the tone early with J. Durán converting a penalty in the 5th minute before A. Bah and Durán again extended the lead in the first half. Celtic's C. Durán pulled one back after the break, but V. Pavlidis sealed the emphatic win late on. Fipster's prediction of a Benfica win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was even more convincing than expected.
Outcome probability
Benfica, also known as As Águias, face Celtic in a Group Stage clash where the home side is expected to flex their attacking muscles. With strong recent form and key players firing, Benfica look poised to take full advantage.
Match factors
V. Pavlidis' prolific scoring form
V. Pavlidis has scored 6 goals in his last 10 matches, well above the league average for attackers, driving Benfica's strong home attack.
Benfica's strong home scoring streak
Benfica has scored in all last 3 home games, averaging 4.7 goals per game, indicating high attacking confidence at home.
A. Bah's assist potential from defense
A. Bah's 2 assists in last 10 matches highlight his role in creating chances from wide defensive positions, adding attacking width.
Rafa's consistent goal threat
Rafa has 4 goals in last 10 matches with good home form, providing a reliable secondary scoring option for Benfica.
Full squad availability boosts Benfica's attacking depth
No confirmed injuries or doubts for Benfica ensures all top scorers and assisters are available, maximizing attacking options.
The context
This Group Stage encounter sees Benfica bringing solid recent performances in this competition, including a notable 3-1 away win in the Play-offs. Celtic will need to be at their best to counter the home side's attacking threat.
Key insights
V. Pavlidis
Benfica
Leads team scoring with 6 goals in last 10 matches, well above league average for attackers, driving Benfica's strong home attack.
UEFA Europa League 26/276 goals in last 10 matches, averaging 2 goals per home game
A. Bah
Benfica
Top assister among defenders with 2 assists in last 10 matches, effective in crossing and set-piece delivery, adding attacking width.
UEFA Europa League 26/272 assists in last 10 matches
Rafa
Benfica
Consistent goal scorer with 4 goals in last 10 matches, providing a reliable secondary scoring option for Benfica.
UEFA Europa League 26/274 goals in last 10 matches
Analysis
Benfica's attacking prowess is highlighted by V. Pavlidis, who has netted 6 goals in his last 10 matches, averaging 2 goals per game at home. Rafa also adds firepower with 4 goals in recent outings. Defender A. Bah's ability to assist from wide positions adds an extra dimension. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 suggests Benfica will take an early lead and build on it, while a moderate card count of 4 indicates a competitive but controlled match.
Key facts
- 1.Benfica have played 6 matches in this competition with a record of W4 D1 L1, scoring 19 goals and conceding 6.
- 2.Benfica's most recent knockout result was a 3-1 away win against Aarhus in the Play-offs.
- 3.V. Pavlidis has scored 6 goals in his last 10 matches, averaging 2 goals per home game.
- 4.Rafa has contributed 4 goals in his last 10 matches, showing consistent scoring form.
- 5.A. Bah has provided 2 assists in the last 10 matches, adding attacking width from defence.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0, consistent with a gradual build-up to a 3-0 fulltime result.
- 7.A moderate total of 4 cards is expected, indicating a competitive but fair match.
Prediction
The forecast is a solid home win for Benfica, with a 3-0 final scoreline reflecting their superior form and attacking depth. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, setting the tone for a comfortable victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Benfica
Away — Celtic
No standout top scorers flagged for Celtic
The verdict
In summary, Benfica's combination of clinical finishing and creative support from defence and midfield should see them comfortably dispatch Celtic. Expect a confident display from As Águias, with key players like Pavlidis and Rafa leading the charge.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Durán
Penalty
Bah
Assist: Prestianni
Durán
Assist: Prestianni
Dahl
Yellow Card
Høgh
Tounekti
Baur
Sørensen
Durán
Assist: Hassan
Sudakov
Dahl
Durán
Lukebakio
Bah
Yellow Card
Donovan
Bah
João Palhinha
Yellow Card
Pavlidis
Assist: Araújo
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 |  Celtic | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 |  Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Benfica
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. TrubinG
- 2C. LengletD
- 6A. BahD
- 8F. AursnesM
- 10H. SudakovM
- 11D. LukebakioM
- 22J. DuránF
- 25G. PrestianniM
- 26S. DahlD
- 36João PalhinhaM
- 44Tomás AraújoD
Substitutes
- 3A. CircatiD
- 14V. PavlidisF
- 16ManuM
- 18L. BarreiroM
- 21A. SchjelderupF
- 24Samuel SoaresG
- 27RafaM
- 30C. EcheverriM
- 33Gabriel IndioD
- 34S. El KarouaniD
- 72A. CabralF
Celtic
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1V. SinisaloG
- 6A. TrustyD
- 9K. HøghF
- 11C. DuránM
- 17S. TounektiM
- 18O. SørensenM
- 22M. BaurM
- 42C. McGregorM
- 47D. MurrayD
- 51Colby DonovanD
- 63K. TierneyD
Substitutes
- 3J. LotombaD
- 5L. ScalesD
- 8B. NygrenF
- 14L. McCowanM
- 19C. OsmandF
- 21A. Oxlade-ChamberlainM
- 23H. HassanF
- 26S. JohnstoneG
- 49J. ForrestM
- 56A. RalstonD
Benfica
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Prestianni | M | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 5/8 |
| J. Durán | F | 67 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 5 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tomás Araújo | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Trubin | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bah | D | 80 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Pavlidis | F | 23 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. Lenglet | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| F. Aursnes | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| João Palhinha | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| H. Sudakov | M | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 5 | 0/1 |
| A. Schjelderup | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| S. El Karouani | D | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Circati | D | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Echeverri | M | 26 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. Dahl | D | 64 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lukebakio | M | 68 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/5 |
| L. Barreiro | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rafa | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Indio | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Cabral | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Manu | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samuel Soares | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Celtic
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Durán | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/3 |
| H. Hassan | F | 44 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| K. Tierney | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Baur | M | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| C. McGregor | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Tounekti | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| K. Høgh | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Nygren | F | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Trusty | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| D. Murray | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| C. Osmand | F | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| J. Lotomba | D | 13 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Sørensen | M | 57 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Oxlade-Chamberlain | M | 33 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| V. Sinisalo | G | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Colby Donovan | D | 77 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Scales | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ralston | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Forrest | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Johnstone | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. McCowan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Benfica vs Celtic?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Benfica to win against Celtic.
- What score did Fipster predict for Benfica vs Celtic?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Benfica 3–0 Celtic.
- What were the win probabilities for Benfica vs Celtic?
- Fipster's model gave Benfica a 95% chance of winning, Celtic a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.