Türkiye vs Belgium
Belgium edge past Türkiye in tight contest
De Bruyne and De Ketelaere turn the tide after Güler's opener
Türkiye took an early lead through A. Güler at 20 minutes, but Belgium responded swiftly with goals from K. De Bruyne and C. De Ketelaere before the half-hour mark to secure a narrow 2-1 victory. The match showcased a quick turnaround in fortunes, with Belgium's resilience proving decisive. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win with this exact scoreline proved spot on.
Outcome probability
This League A encounter between Türkiye and Belgium promises a competitive match with Belgium holding the upper hand based on recent performances and statistical trends.
Match factors
Belgium's midfield dominance led by De Bruyne
Kevin De Bruyne's 2 goals and 1 assist in 3 games give Belgium a creative edge
Türkiye's defensive struggles likely to be exploited
Türkiye concedes 2.75 goals per game on average, a vulnerability Belgium can target
Doğuhan Şimşir's recent scoring form
Şimşir scored in last away game, showing good attacking form for Türkiye
Evren Elmalı's dual role in attack and defense
Elmalı provides assists and strong defensive stats, key for Türkiye's transitions
Belgium's recent win over Türkiye with key contributions
Belgium beat Türkiye 3-0 recently with goals from De Bruyne, Lukaku, and assists from De Ketelaere
The context
In this competition, Türkiye have struggled, losing all four matches so far and conceding 11 goals. Belgium, meanwhile, have won two and lost two of their four games, scoring six and conceding five. Belgium currently top the standings with three points from one game, while Türkiye sit third without any points.
Key insights
Kevin De Bruyne
Belgium
De Bruyne's 2 goals and 1 assist in 3 games give Belgium a creative edge in midfield.
UEFA Nations League 26/272 goals and 1 assist in 3 appearances
Doğuhan Şimşir
Türkiye
Şimşir scored in his last away game, showing good attacking form for Türkiye.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 goal in 1 appearance, 70 mins avg
Evren Elmalı
Türkiye
Elmalı provides assists and strong defensive stats, key for Türkiye's transitions.
UEFA Nations League 26/271 assist in 3 appearances, 194 mins total
Analysis
Belgium's midfield dominance, spearheaded by Kevin De Bruyne with two goals and an assist in three games, gives them a creative edge. Türkiye's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding an average of 2.75 goals per game, are likely to be exploited. Doğuhan Şimşir offers some attacking threat for Türkiye, having scored in his last away game, while Evren Elmalı's dual role in attack and defence is key for Türkiye's transitions. Belgium's recent 3-0 win over Türkiye, featuring goals from De Bruyne and Lukaku, underlines their superiority in head-to-head encounters.
Key facts
- 1.Türkiye have lost all 4 matches in this competition, conceding 11 goals.
- 2.Belgium have won 2 of their 4 matches, scoring 6 goals.
- 3.Belgium currently top the standings with 3 points from 1 game.
- 4.Türkiye sit third with 0 points from 1 game.
- 5.In their only head-to-head meeting, Belgium won 1-0 against Türkiye.
- 6.Kevin De Bruyne has scored 2 goals and provided 1 assist in 3 games.
- 7.Türkiye concede an average of 2.75 goals per game in this competition.
- 8.The predicted total cards count for the match is 4.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Belgium with a 2-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 0-1, reflecting Belgium's early control. The match is likely to see moderate disciplinary action with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Türkiye
Away — Belgium
The verdict
Belgium's combination of creative midfield play and clinical finishing should see them edge out Türkiye in this League A fixture. Türkiye will need to tighten their defence and capitalise on key players like Şimşir and Elmalı to challenge the visitors' advantage.
Prediction generated 7 Oct 2026, 06:02 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
FIFA world ranking
Güler
De Bruyne
Assist: Doku
De Ketelaere
Assist: De Cuyper
Kabak
Yellow Card
Yüksek
Yellow Card
Kökçü
Ünal
Diego Moreira
De Bruyne
Aydın
Yüksek
De Ketelaere
Doku
Yılmaz
Raskin
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Switzerland | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 2 |  Albania | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Belarus | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 4 |  Italy | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Türkiye
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1U. ÇakırG
- 3M. DemiralD
- 6O. KökçüM
- 8A. GülerM
- 9E. ÜnalF
- 15O. KabakD
- 16İ. YüksekM
- 17Y. AkgünM
- 18O. AydınD
- 20F. KadıoğluD
- 21B. YılmazM
Substitutes
- 2Z. ÇelikD
- 4E. TopçuD
- 5S. ÖzcanM
- 7I. FakiliF
- 10H. ÇalhanoğluM
- 11C. UzunM
- 12E. DestanoğluG
- 13E. ElmalıD
- 14A. KaplanD
- 19D. GülF
- 22M. EskihellaçD
- 23B. ÖzerG
Belgium
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1S. LammensG
- 4B. MecheleD
- 5M. De CuyperD
- 7K. De BruyneM
- 8Y. TielemansM
- 11J. DokuF
- 15N. NgoyD
- 17C. De KetelaereF
- 19Diego MoreiraF
- 21T. CastagneD
- 23N. RaskinM
Substitutes
- 2K. SabbeD
- 3A. TheateD
- 6M. KeitaM
- 9H. CuypersF
- 10L. TrossardF
- 12M. VandevoordtG
- 13M. PendersG
- 14D. LukebakioF
- 18J. SeysD
- 20H. VanakenM
- 22M. GodtsF
Türkiye
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Güler | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Y. Akgün | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| U. Çakır | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Kabak | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İ. Yüksek | M | 70 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| H. Çalhanoğlu | M | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Demiral | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Gül | F | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| O. Aydın | D | 70 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Ünal | F | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| O. Kökçü | M | 58 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Z. Çelik | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| C. Uzun | M | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| S. Özcan | M | 20 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| F. Kadıoğlu | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Yılmaz | M | 80 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| I. Fakili | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Özer | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Destanoğlu | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Topçu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Elmalı | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Eskihellaç | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kaplan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Belgium
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. De Bruyne | M | 69 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. Lammens | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. De Ketelaere | F | 79 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| M. De Cuyper | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | — |
| J. Doku | F | 79 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 7/14 |
| L. Trossard | F | 21 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Lukebakio | F | 22 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| N. Ngoy | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Mechele | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Castagne | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| H. Cuypers | F | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Raskin | M | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Diego Moreira | F | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Godts | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Tielemans | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Sabbe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Keita | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Penders | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Seys | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Vandevoordt | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Vanaken | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Theate | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Türkiye vs Belgium?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Belgium to win against Türkiye.
- What score did Fipster predict for Türkiye vs Belgium?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Türkiye 1–2 Belgium.
- What were the win probabilities for Türkiye vs Belgium?
- Fipster's model gave Türkiye a 7% chance of winning, Belgium a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.