Beşiktaş vs Marseille
Beşiktaş storm past Marseille with commanding win
A dominant display sees Beşiktaş rack up four goals against Marseille in the Europa League.
Beşiktaş delivered a comprehensive 4-1 victory over Marseille, with I. Fakili setting the tone early on at 15'. Despite K. Abdallah's reply for Marseille before the break, Beşiktaş pulled away after the interval thanks to goals from V. Černý, A. Murillo, and E. Poku. Fipster tipped a home win with high confidence, and while the margin was far more emphatic than predicted, the call for Beşiktaş to prevail was spot on.
Outcome probability
The upcoming Group Stage fixture between Beşiktaş and Marseille promises a tactical battle, with both sides eager to claim vital points early in the competition.
Match factors
Beşiktaş's strong home scoring and defense
Beşiktaş has scored in all 3 recent home games and kept clean sheets in all, supporting a 1-0 predicted win
O. Kökçü's recent scoring form
O. Kökçü has scored 3 goals in last 6 games, including 2 at home, showing strong form
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or doubtful players for either team, so full strength squads expected
The context
Beşiktaş have shown strong form in this competition, boasting five wins from six matches and conceding just once. Marseille, known as Les Olympiens, will be looking to break that defensive resilience but face a tough challenge.
Key insights
O. Kökçü
Beşiktaş
O. Kökçü’s scoring rate of 0.5 goals per game is well above the league midfielder average, making him a consistent goal threat at home.
UEFA Europa League 26/273 goals in 6 games, including 2 at home
O. Kökçü
Beşiktaş
He has scored in 4 of the last 6 matches and is a key contributor to Beşiktaş’s 100% home clean sheet record in this competition.
UEFA Europa League 26/27Goals in 4 of last 6 matches, 100% home clean sheets
Analysis
Beşiktaş's home performances have been particularly impressive, scoring in every recent home game while keeping clean sheets. Their midfielder O. Kökçü stands out with three goals in six games, including two at home, making him a key threat. Both teams are expected to field full-strength squads, so this match could hinge on tactical discipline and defensive solidity.
Key facts
- 1.Beşiktaş have won 5 of their 6 matches in this competition, conceding only 1 goal.
- 2.The most probable final score is 1-0 in favour of Beşiktaş.
- 3.Beşiktaş have kept clean sheets in all recent home games in this competition.
- 4.O. Kökçü has scored 3 goals in 6 games, including 2 at home, making him a key player.
- 5.No confirmed injuries or doubts for either team, so full squads are expected.
- 6.A total of 4 cards are predicted, indicating a competitive match.
- 7.Halftime score is also predicted to be 1-0, suggesting an early goal.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Beşiktaş, with the decisive goal likely coming in the first half and the home side maintaining their lead throughout. The match is expected to be tight, with a total of four cards predicted, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Beşiktaş
Away — Marseille
No standout top scorers flagged for Marseille
The verdict
In summary, Beşiktaş's strong home form and defensive record give them the edge over Marseille in what should be a closely contested match. Expect a single goal to separate the sides and a disciplined performance from the hosts.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
No recent fixture data
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Marseille has no record in this competition yet, so there is nothing to compare these totals against.
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Agbadou
Yellow Card
Fakili
Assist: Olaitan
Abdallah
Assist: Abdelli
Agbadou
Černý
Assist: Kökçü
Gomes
Garcia
Murillo
Assist: Kökçü
Maupay
Cornelius
Černý
Kökçü
Harit
Yellow Card
Poku
Assist: Olaitan
Olaitan
Abdallah
Fakili
Miretti
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 |  Sturm Graz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 |  Beşiktaş | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 |  Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 |  Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 |  NEC Nijmegen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Match Statistics
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. NübelG
- 6S. ÖzcanM
- 10O. KökçüM
- 11K. OuattaraD
- 12E. AgbadouD
- 15J. OlaitanM
- 18V. ČernýM
- 28D. VlahovićF
- 29I. FakiliM
- 53E. TopçuD
- 62A. MurilloD
Substitutes
- 4W. NdidiM
- 8K. YılmazM
- 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
- 17E. PokuF
- 21F. MirettiM
- 22Taylan BulutD
- 33R. YılmazD
- 35Tiago DjalóD
- 50Ü. AkdağD
- 58Y. ÖzcanD
- 80D. AlemdarG
- 90S. KılıçsoyF
Marseille
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4C. Egan-RileyD
- 7A. GomesM
- 8H. AbdelliM
- 11N. MaupayF
- 12J. de LangeG
- 13D. CorneliusD
- 22T. WeahD
- 23P. HøjbjergM
- 25U. GarciaD
- 48K. AbdallahM
- 77A. HaritM
Substitutes
- 9A. GouiriF
- 14Igor PaixãoF
- 18B. MeitéD
- 21N. AguerdD
- 29F. MoumbagnaF
- 33EmersonD
- 40J. Van NeckG
- 43T. MmadiF
- 46E. MbondoD
- 74K. BezahafD
- 92T. VermotG
Beşiktaş
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Olaitan | M | 82 | 8.3 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| I. Fakili | M | 82 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| V. Černý | M | 71 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| O. Kökçü | M | 71 | 7.9 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| E. Poku | F | 19 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| E. Topçu | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. Murillo | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Vlahović | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Nübel | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Özcan | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Oh Hyeon-Gyu | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Agbadou | D | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| W. Ndidi | M | 19 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| K. Ouattara | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| Tiago Djaló | D | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Miretti | M | 8 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Alemdar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Yılmaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Yılmaz | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Kılıçsoy | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ü. Akdağ | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Özcan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taylan Bulut | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Marseille
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H. Abdelli | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — |
| K. Abdallah | M | 82 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Igor Paixão | F | 32 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| T. Mmadi | F | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Weah | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Højbjerg | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gouiri | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Maupay | F | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| C. Egan-Riley | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Gomes | M | 58 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Emerson | D | 32 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Cornelius | D | 67 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Aguerd | D | 23 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. de Lange | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Harit | M | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| U. Garcia | D | 58 | 5.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| E. Mbondo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Bezahaf | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Van Neck | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Moumbagna | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Vermot | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Meité | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Beşiktaş vs Marseille?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Beşiktaş to win against Marseille.
- What score did Fipster predict for Beşiktaş vs Marseille?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Beşiktaş 1–0 Marseille.
- What were the win probabilities for Beşiktaş vs Marseille?
- Fipster's model gave Beşiktaş a 70% chance of winning, Marseille a 15% chance, and a 15% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 70% confidence — a high-confidence call.