Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor
Beşiktaş edge out Kocaelispor in tight tussle
Vlahović's penalty seals a narrow win after early exchanges.
Beşiktaş secured a 2-1 victory over Kocaelispor in a closely contested Süper Lig match. O. Kökçü opened the scoring early on before Show levelled for Kocaelispor, but D. Vlahović's penalty shortly after restored the lead for the hosts. While Fipster predicted a more comfortable 3-0 win, the call for a home victory was spot on, albeit with low confidence.
Outcome probability
Beşiktaş and Kocaelispor face off in the seventh round of the regular season, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. The Black Eagles aim to capitalise on their home form and historical edge against Kocaelispor.
Match factors
Vlahović's scoring form vs Kocaelispor defense
Dušan Vlahović has scored 4 goals in 3 games with strong home form, likely to exploit Kocaelispor's defensive vulnerabilities
Černý's doubtful status limits midfield creativity
Václav Černý is doubtful due to injury, capping his scoring and assist probability and potentially reducing midfield creativity
Orkun Kökçü's playmaking edge
Kökçü leads assists with 2 in 5 games and high passing accuracy, key to creating chances for Beşiktaş
Beşiktaş strong home scoring streak
Beşiktaş has scored in last 3 home games with an average of 3.33 goals, indicating strong attacking momentum
Kocaelispor's limited attacking threat
Kocaelispor's top scorer is a defender with only 1 goal, indicating limited offensive threat against Beşiktaş's defense
The context
Beşiktaş currently sit 13th in the league with 3 points from 2 games, while Kocaelispor hold a higher position at 4th with 6 points from 3 games. Despite Kocaelispor's better points per game, Beşiktaş have the psychological advantage, having won two of their three previous encounters.
Key insights
Dušan Vlahović
Beşiktaş
Vlahović’s 4 goals in 3 games and strong home scoring rate make him a key threat against Kocaelispor’s defence.
Süper Lig 26/274 goals in 3 appearances, 1.33 goals/game this season
Orkun Kökçü
Beşiktaş
Kökçü’s 2 assists and 89% passing accuracy highlight his role as the main creative force for Beşiktaş.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 5 appearances, 0.4 assists/game this season
Václav Černý
Beşiktaş
Černý is doubtful with injury, which may limit Beşiktaş’s midfield creativity and goal threat.
Süper Lig 26/272 goals in 5 appearances, 0.4 goals/game this season
Massadio Haïdara
Kocaelispor
Haïdara is Kocaelispor’s only scorer with 1 goal, indicating limited offensive threat from the away side.
Süper Lig 26/271 goal in 5 appearances, 0.2 goals/game this season
Analysis
Beşiktaş have been prolific at home recently, scoring in their last three home matches with an average of over three goals per game. Dušan Vlahović leads their attack with 4 goals in 3 games, showing a clinical edge that Kocaelispor's defence, led by captain Massadio Haïdara, will struggle to contain. Kocaelispor's offensive threat is limited, with their top scorer being a defender with just one goal this season. Meanwhile, Beşiktaş's playmaker Orkun Kökçü, with 2 assists and high passing accuracy, is key to creating chances. The doubtful status of Václav Černý may slightly reduce midfield creativity for Beşiktaş, but their attacking momentum at home remains strong.
Key facts
- 1.Beşiktaş have won 2 of 3 matches against Kocaelispor, scoring 5 goals to 2.
- 2.Beşiktaş rank 13th with 3 points from 2 games; Kocaelispor rank 4th with 6 points from 3 games.
- 3.Kocaelispor have a points-per-game advantage (2.00) over Beşiktaş (1.50) this season.
- 4.Beşiktaş have scored in their last 3 home games, averaging 3.33 goals per game.
- 5.Dušan Vlahović leads Beşiktaş with 4 goals in 3 games this season.
- 6.Orkun Kökçü is Beşiktaş's top assister with 2 assists in 5 games.
- 7.Kocaelispor's top scorer is a defender with only 1 goal this season.
Prediction
Expect Beşiktaş to take an early lead, going into halftime 1-0 up. Their attacking prowess should see them extend the lead comfortably in the second half, finishing 3-0. The match is likely to be competitive but controlled, with a modest tally of three cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Beşiktaş
Away — Kocaelispor
The verdict
All signs point to a confident home win for Beşiktaş, who will look to maintain their scoring streak and assert dominance over Kocaelispor. While Kocaelispor have shown promise this season, their limited attacking options and Beşiktaş's home form make a clean sheet and a three-goal victory the most plausible outcome.
Prediction generated 20 Sep 2026, 19:04 UTC · Fipster Model v1.161
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Kökçü
Assist: Černý
Show
Bingöl
Yellow Card
Vlahović
Penalty
Černý
Santos Sousa
Topçu
Yılmaz
Bingöl
Özcan
Agyei
Trossard
Yellow Card
Öztaşdelen
Yellow Card
Kökçü
Yıldız
Öztonga
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 3 |  Fenerbahçe | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |  Kocaelispor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Rizespor | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 |  Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 13 |  Beşiktaş | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 |  Eyüpspor | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Beşiktaş
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. NübelG
- 6S. ÖzcanM
- 10O. KökçüM
- 18V. ČernýM
- 19L. TrossardM
- 21F. MirettiM
- 28D. VlahovićF
- 33R. YılmazD
- 35Tiago DjalóD
- 53E. TopçuD
- 62A. MurilloD
Substitutes
- 4W. NdidiM
- 8K. YılmazM
- 9Oh Hyeon-GyuF
- 11K. OuattaraD
- 12E. AgbadouD
- 15J. OlaitanM
- 17E. PokuF
- 22Taylan BulutD
- 29I. FakiliF
- 80D. AlemdarG
Kocaelispor
5-3-2Starting XI
- 5E. OrtakayaD
- 7D. AgyeiF
- 10B. KutluM
- 11Gonçalo Santos SousaD
- 14ShowD
- 20Mahamadou Susoho SissohoM
- 22U. YıldızD
- 26M. AltunbaşF
- 41O. ÖztongaD
- 75T. BingölM
- 83S. ÖztaşdelenG
Substitutes
- 3M. CinanD
- 8T. GulliksenM
- 16D. CeylanD
- 23O. PiriG
- 27Ege BilimM
- 32M. BakuM
- 89B. YıldızF
- 97F. AyéF
- 99R. RivasF
Beşiktaş
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orkun Kökçü(C) | M | 79 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Tiago Djaló | D | 79 | 7.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Alexander Nübel | G | 79 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fabio Miretti | M | 79 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Salih Özcan | M | 71 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Leandro Trossard | M | 79 | 7.3 | — | — | 5 | 3 | — | 1/3 |
| Rıdvan Yılmaz | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emirhan Topçu | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Dušan Vlahović | F | 79 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Amir Murillo | D | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Václav Černý | M | 39 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Taylan Bulut | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hyeon-gyu Oh | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Doğan Alemdar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ernest Poku | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Junior Olaitan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kartal Kayra Yılmaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| İlhan Fakılı | F | 40 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Wilfred Ndidi | M | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emmanuel Agbadou | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kassoum Ouattara | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Kocaelispor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Berkan Kutlu | M | 79 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| Show | D | 79 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Emir Ortakaya | D | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Serhat Öztaşdelen | G | 79 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Metehan Altunbaş | F | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Dan Agyei | F | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mahamadou Susoho | M | 79 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Onur Öztonga | D | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Uğur Kaan Yıldız | D | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Gonçalo Sousa | D | 61 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Tayfur Bingöl(C) | M | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Deniz Ceylan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bedirhan Yıldız | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onurcan Piri | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muharrem Cinan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Makana Baku | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ege Bilim | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rigoberto Rivas | F | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen | M | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Florian Ayé | F | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Beşiktaş to win against Kocaelispor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Beşiktaş 3–0 Kocaelispor.
- What were the win probabilities for Beşiktaş vs Kocaelispor?
- Fipster's model gave Beşiktaş a 35% chance of winning, Kocaelispor a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.