Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07

BundesligaMatchweek 10
BayArena, Leverkusen · 30,210 cap
Fipster Pick
Home Winhigh

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Bayer Leverkusen, also known as the Werkself, face SC Paderborn 07 in a regular season clash where the home side looks poised to extend their positive run. Both teams have had mixed fortunes so far, but the Werkself's attacking prowess and league standing give them the edge.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
3–1
Half-time1–0
Bayer Leverkusen Win
HIGH
Confidence
Bayer Leverkusen 95%Draw 3%SC Paderborn 07 2%

The context

Leverkusen sit 6th in the league with 13 points from 8 games, while Paderborn are 12th with 10 points from 9 matches. The goal difference also favours Leverkusen (+2 compared to Paderborn's -3), reflecting their stronger offensive and defensive displays this season.

Match factors

Tactical Advantagehigh

Leverkusen's attacking trio in strong form

Schick, Maza, and Kofane combine recent goal form and minutes, likely to exploit Paderborn's defense

Statistical Edgehigh

Gutiérrez's assist rate well above league average for defenders

His 4 assists in 8 games (0.5 per game) surpass league average 0.05 for defenders, boosting Leverkusen's creativity

Form Momentummedium

Leverkusen's positive scoring streak at home

Team has scored in last 4 home games, supporting predicted 3 goals in this match

Tactical Advantagemedium

Paderborn's Tigges as key scoring threat

Tigges leads Paderborn with 2 goals and good recent away scoring, could challenge Leverkusen defense

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Full squads available, allowing teams to field strongest lineups and maintain tactical plans

Analysis

The Werkself's attacking trio, led by Patrik Schick with 7 goals in 8 games, is in fine form and expected to trouble Paderborn's defence. Midfielder Ibrahim Maza and attacker Christian Kofane add to the threat with their goal contributions. On the creative front, Miguel Gutiérrez stands out with 4 assists, well above the league average for defenders. Paderborn's main hope lies with Steffen Tigges, their top scorer with 2 goals, who has shown decent away form. Both teams have full squads available, so tactical plans should be executed without disruption.

Prediction

We anticipate Bayer Leverkusen to take a 1-0 lead into halftime and ultimately secure a 3-1 victory. The Werkself's superior form, goal difference, and attacking options make them the clear favourites to win this encounter.

Key facts

  1. 1.Bayer Leverkusen rank 6th with 13 points from 8 games (W4 D1 L3).
  2. 2.SC Paderborn 07 are 12th with 10 points from 9 games (W2 D4 L3).
  3. 3.Leverkusen have a +2 goal difference; Paderborn have -3.
  4. 4.Leverkusen average 1.63 points per game, Paderborn 1.11.
  5. 5.Patrik Schick leads Leverkusen with 7 goals in 8 appearances.
  6. 6.Miguel Gutiérrez has 4 assists in 8 games, a high rate for a defender.
  7. 7.Leverkusen have scored in their last 4 home matches.
  8. 8.No confirmed injuries for either team ahead of the match.

The verdict

In summary, Bayer Leverkusen's combination of form, goal-scoring ability, and league position points to a comfortable home win over SC Paderborn 07. Expect the Werkself to continue their positive scoring streak and maintain their strong league standing with this result.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Bayer Leverkusen

Patrik Schick

Patrik Schick

Attacker

Bayer Leverkusen

Total Goals
7
League avg: 0.57
8 played
8 starts
614 mins
~77 mins/game
Ibrahim Maza

Ibrahim Maza

Midfielder

Bayer Leverkusen

Total Goals
3
League avg: 0.57
8 played
8 starts
690 mins
~86 mins/game
Christian Kofane

Christian Kofane

Attacker

Bayer Leverkusen

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.57
4 played
4 starts
134 mins
~34 mins/game

Away — SC Paderborn 07

Steffen Tigges

Steffen Tigges

Attacker

SC Paderborn 07

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.57
8 played
2 starts
331 mins
~41 mins/game
Stefano Marino

Stefano Marino

Attacker

SC Paderborn 07

Total Goals
2
League avg: 0.57
8 played
7 starts
515 mins
~64 mins/game

Prediction generated 8 Nov 2026, 16:26 UTC · Fipster Model v1.166

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Fipster's AI model predicts Bayer Leverkusen to win against SC Paderborn 07.
What is the predicted score for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Fipster predicts a final score of Bayer Leverkusen 3–1 SC Paderborn 07.
What are the win probabilities for Bayer Leverkusen vs SC Paderborn 07?
Fipster's model gives Bayer Leverkusen a 95% chance of winning, SC Paderborn 07 a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.