Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig
Leverkusen shut out Leipzig with a solid 2-0
Schick and Gutiérrez strike to secure a confident home win.
Bayer Leverkusen delivered a disciplined performance to claim a 2-0 victory over RB Leipzig in the Bundesliga. P. Schick opened the scoring just before the break, and Miguel Gutiérrez doubled the lead early in the second half, sealing the win. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win for Leipzig, proving the home side's defence too robust on the day.
Outcome probability
As the new Bundesliga season kicks off, Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig prepare to face off in what should be a captivating encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, setting the stage for a competitive match that could go either way on paper.
Key facts
- 1.Bayer Leverkusen have signed M. Diaby, G. Doué, and Afonso Moreira this summer.
- 2.RB Leipzig have added R. Reitz, M. Estève, and N. El Aynaoui (loan) to their squad.
- 3.Bayer Leverkusen parted ways with Álex Grimaldo and loaned out E. Poku.
- 4.RB Leipzig lost Y. Diomande, X. Schlager, and P. Gulácsi during the off-season.
- 5.The predicted scoreline is a close 3-2 win for RB Leipzig.
- 6.RB Leipzig have the highest probability of winning this fixture.
- 7.This is the first competitive match of the new Bundesliga season for both teams.
The context
Bayer Leverkusen have bolstered their ranks with the arrivals of M. Diaby, G. Doué, and Afonso Moreira, while parting ways with Álex Grimaldo and loaning out E. Poku. Meanwhile, RB Leipzig have strengthened their squad by signing R. Reitz and M. Estève, and bringing in N. El Aynaoui on loan, despite losing Y. Diomande, X. Schlager, and P. Gulácsi. These changes suggest both sides are aiming to hit the ground running this season.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bayer Leverkusen
Away — RB Leipzig
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a narrow away win for RB Leipzig, with a 3-2 scoreline the most likely outcome. The statistical edge is clear, with Leipzig holding a higher probability of victory. The expected close scoreline indicates a match where both teams will find the net, reflecting strong offensive capabilities but also some defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Prediction
Expect RB Leipzig to clinch a 3-2 victory in this season opener. The Red Bulls' attacking prowess, combined with their summer reinforcements, should be enough to overcome Bayer Leverkusen's spirited challenge, despite the Werkself's own summer signings.
The verdict
This fixture promises goals and excitement as two ambitious sides kick off their campaigns. While Bayer Leverkusen will be eager to make a strong start at home, RB Leipzig appear poised to take the spoils in a thrilling 3-2 encounter.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nusa
Yellow Card
Gruda
Goal cancelled
Schick
Assist: Gutiérrez
Gutiérrez
Rômulo
Banzuzi
Fernández
El Aynaoui
Yellow Card
Schick
Tapsoba
Yellow Card
Nkunku
Baku
Diaby
Henrichs
Yellow Card
Moreira
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | +7 | 12 |
| 4 |  FC Augsburg | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 7 |
| 8 |  Werder Bremen | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |  RB Leipzig | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 6 |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Bayer Leverkusen
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. FlekkenG
- 2F. MedinaD
- 3Miguel GutiérrezD
- 4J. QuansahD
- 6E. FernándezM
- 9Afonso MoreiraM
- 12E. TapsobaD
- 14P. SchickF
- 19M. DiabyM
- 24Aleix GarcíaM
- 30I. MazaM
Substitutes
- 5L. BadéD
- 7J. HofmannM
- 8R. AndrichM
- 10M. TillmanM
- 11M. TerrierF
- 17Lucas VázquezD
- 22V. BonifaceF
- 28J. BlaswichG
- 35Christian KofaneF
RB Leipzig
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3M. EstèveD
- 4W. OrbánD
- 6E. BanzuziM
- 7A. NusaM
- 10B. GrudaM
- 17R. BakuD
- 21N. El AynaouiM
- 22D. RaumD
- 26M. VandevoordtG
- 28C. NkunkuM
- 40RômuloF
Substitutes
- 1Ø. NylandG
- 2A. KonéD
- 13N. SeiwaldM
- 16L. KlostermannD
- 27T. GomisF
- 30A. MaksimoviÄM
- 35Max FinkgräfeD
- 39B. HenrichsD
- 45S. KonateF
Bayer Leverkusen
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Gutiérrez | D | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| P. Schick | F | 77 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 4 | 3 | — | — |
| E. Tapsoba | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Quansah | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| F. Medina | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Aleix García | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Fernández | M | 72 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Flekken | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lucas Vázquez | D | 1 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Andrich | M | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Maza | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | — | 5 | 2/5 |
| Christian Kofane | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diaby | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3/4 |
| Afonso Moreira | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Terrier | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Badé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Tillman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Boniface | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Blaswich | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hofmann | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
RB Leipzig
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Raum | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 4 | — |
| W. Orbán | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Vandevoordt | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. El Aynaoui | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| M. Estève | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Baku | D | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| E. Banzuzi | M | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Gomis | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 2/6 |
| S. Konate | F | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rômulo | F | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Seiwald | M | 23 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Nkunku | M | 84 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| B. Gruda | M | 26 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. MaksimoviÄ | M | 23 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Nusa | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 4/6 |
| B. Henrichs | D | 6 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Koné | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Klostermann | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ø. Nyland | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Max Finkgräfe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster's AI model predicted RB Leipzig to win against Bayer Leverkusen.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bayer Leverkusen 2–3 RB Leipzig.
- What were the win probabilities for Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig?
- Fipster's model gave Bayer Leverkusen a 2% chance of winning, RB Leipzig a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.