Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha
Baník Ostrava and Sparta Praha settle for stalemate
A goalless draw defies expectations in the Czech Liga clash
Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction favouring a Sparta Praha win, neither side could find the net in this tightly contested match. The 0-0 scoreline reflects a defensive stalemate rather than the anticipated away victory, marking an upset against the forecast.
Outcome probability
Baník Ostrava and Sparta Praha face off in the Czech league's 11th round, with both sides eager to improve their standings. Sparta Praha currently sit higher in the table and have shown more consistent goal-scoring prowess this season.
Match factors
Sparta's attacking midfield strength
Adam Karabec's dual threat as top assister and scorer gives Sparta creative edge
John Mercado's scoring from defense
Mercado leads Sparta with 3 goals, unusual scoring threat from defender
Sparta's positive scoring streak
Sparta has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so strongest lineups expected
The context
Sparta Praha hold an advantage in the league standings, positioned 8th with 15 points from 9 games, compared to Baník Ostrava's 12th place and 10 points from 10 matches. Historically, Sparta Praha have dominated their head-to-head encounters, winning 13 of 20 meetings against Baník Ostrava's 2 victories.
Key insights
- J
John Mercado Cuero
Sparta Praha
Leads team scoring from defence with 3 goals in 8 games, showing strong recent form.
Czech Liga 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Adam Karabec
Sparta Praha
Top assister and second top scorer, providing creative edge with 2 assists and 2 goals this season.
Czech Liga 26/272 goals and 2 assists in 8 appearances, 0.25 goals and assists/game
Analysis
Sparta Praha's attacking midfield strength, led by Adam Karabec, who is both a top assister and scorer, gives them a creative edge. Defender John Mercado Cuero also contributes significantly with 3 goals this season, an unusual scoring threat from the back. Baník Ostrava will need to be wary of these key players. Both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups, with no injury concerns reported.
Key facts
- 1.Sparta Praha are 8th in the league with 15 points from 9 games; Baník Ostrava are 12th with 10 points from 10 games.
- 2.In 20 head-to-head matches, Sparta Praha have won 13 times, Baník Ostrava 2, with 5 draws.
- 3.Sparta Praha have a significantly better goal difference this season, scoring 17 more goals than Baník Ostrava.
- 4.John Mercado Cuero leads Sparta's scoring with 3 goals from defence.
- 5.Adam Karabec is both top assister (2 assists) and second top scorer (2 goals) for Sparta this season.
- 6.Sparta Praha have scored in 4 of their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive form.
- 7.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so strongest lineups expected.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards is 4, indicating moderate discipline events.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Sparta Praha with a 2-1 scoreline. The statistical model shows a strong preference for an away victory, with the 1-2 scoreline being the most probable outcome. A moderate number of disciplinary events is expected, with around four cards likely in the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Baník Ostrava
Away — Sparta Praha
The verdict
Expect a competitive match with Sparta Praha's attacking quality likely to make the difference. Baník Ostrava will put up a fight, but the visitors' form and key player contributions suggest they will edge this encounter.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 18:09 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hoever
Yellow Card
Nogha
Yellow Card
Mercado
Yellow Card
Hoever
Macek
Yellow Card
Vydra
Braut Brunes
Kohút
Macek
Traoré
Alcócer
Singhateh
Yellow Card
Kubala
Planka
Bewene
Suchomel
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | +25 | 31 |
| 3 |  Sigma Olomouc | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | +7 | 24 |
| 4 |  Sparta Praha | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | +12 | 23 |
| 5 |  Slovan Liberec | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | +7 | 23 |
| 12 |  Pardubice | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | -4 | 14 |
| 13 |  Baník Ostrava | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -15 | 11 |
| 14 |  Artis | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -9 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Baník Ostrava
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5J. BoulaM
- 8A. TraoréM
- 17M. FrydrychD
- 18D. PlankaM
- 21M. KohútM
- 22V. SkrkonF
- 23M. JedličkaG
- 28F. KubalaM
- 34A. BeweneM
- 42J. MíčekD
- 83R. NoghaD
Substitutes
- 1V. BudinskýG
- 3Rhodri SmithD
- 7D. GilbertM
- 15V. JurečkaF
- 19F. ŠanclM
- 37M. ChalušD
- 55Artúr MusákM
- 81M. KmeťD
- 95D. HolzerM
Sparta Praha
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2M. SuchomelD
- 6T. GuddalD
- 7J. AlcócerM
- 14J. Braut BrunesF
- 17J. MercadoM
- 25K. HoeverD
- 26P. VydraM
- 28R. MacekM
- 30J. ZelenýD
- 38H. SochurekM
- 44J. SurovčíkG
Substitutes
- 3P. KadeřábekD
- 4J. MartinecD
- 5Santiago EnemeM
- 15V. VitályosD
- 18A. IrvingM
- 20S. MannsverkM
- 27E. SinghatehM
- 29M. VojtaF
- 31M. JurásekM
- 47K. HegyiG
- 66S. ZajacG
Baník Ostrava
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhodri Smith | D | 22 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Gilbert | M | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Frydrych | D | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Bewene | M | 79 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| M. Kmeť | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Jedlička | G | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Boula | M | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Kohút | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Artúr Musák | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Nogha | D | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Kubala | M | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| V. Skrkon | F | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| A. Traoré | M | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Míček | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| V. Jurečka | F | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Planka | M | 79 | 6.0 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| V. Budinský | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Šancl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Chaluš | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Holzer | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Sparta Praha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Surovčík | G | 89 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zelený | D | 89 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Jurásek | M | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Suchomel | D | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2/2 |
| T. Guddal | D | 89 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| H. Sochurek | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| M. Vojta | F | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | — |
| P. Kadeřábek | D | 43 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Mannsverk | M | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| P. Vydra | M | 56 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. Braut Brunes | F | 56 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Mercado | M | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/5 |
| K. Hoever | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| E. Singhateh | M | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| R. Macek | M | 64 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Alcócer | M | 74 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| V. Vitályos | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Santiago Eneme | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Hegyi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Zajac | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Irving | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Martinec | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Sparta Praha to win against Baník Ostrava.
- What score did Fipster predict for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Baník Ostrava 1–2 Sparta Praha.
- What were the win probabilities for Baník Ostrava vs Sparta Praha?
- Fipster's model gave Baník Ostrava a 7% chance of winning, Sparta Praha a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.