Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice
Pardubice sneak past Baník Ostrava
Two first-half strikes set Pardubice on course for a narrow win.
Pardubice secured a 2-1 victory over Baník Ostrava in the Czech Liga, with V. Drchal opening the scoring in the 20th minute and A. Tanko doubling the lead shortly after the break. Baník Ostrava's V. Skrkon pulled one back in the 81st minute, but it wasn't enough to salvage a point. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a narrow home win, proving Pardubice's resilience on the road.
Outcome probability
As the Czech league season progresses, Baník Ostrava and Pardubice face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. Both teams have had their struggles, but Ostrava's slightly better form suggests they might just edge this one.
Match factors
Baník Ostrava's set-piece threat from defenders
Defenders Chaluš and Míček have scored goals recently, posing aerial threat on set plays.
Kubala's creative influence at home
Filip Kubala has a strong home assist rate (0.5 assists/game), boosting Ostrava's attack.
Pardubice's Boledovic leading scoring efforts
T. Boledovic leads Pardubice with 2 goals this season, though recent form is quieter.
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players are available for selection.
Baník Ostrava's home scoring consistency
Ostrava has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, indicating attacking stability at home.
The context
Baník Ostrava currently sit 11th in the league with 9 points from 6 games, while Pardubice languish near the bottom at 15th with just 2 points from 7 matches. Historically, Ostrava have the upper hand, winning 9 of their 15 meetings against Pardubice, who have managed only 3 wins with 3 draws in between. The head-to-head matches tend to be moderately high scoring, averaging 3.7 goals per game, but recent form and league standings hint at a tighter affair this time around.
Key insights
Matěj Chaluš
Baník Ostrava
Chaluš is a key set-piece threat with a strong goal rate for a defender and recent good form.
Czech Liga 26/271 goal in 4 apps, 0.25 goals/game
Filip Kubala
Baník Ostrava
Kubala's creative influence at home boosts Ostrava's attack with a strong assist rate.
Czech Liga 26/271 assist in 5 apps, 0.2 assists/game
Václav Jurečka
Baník Ostrava
Jurečka is the primary striker with consistent starts and a crucial recent goal.
Czech Liga 26/271 goal in 5 apps, 0.2 goals/game
T. Boledovic
Pardubice
Boledovic leads Pardubice's scoring but has been quieter recently, limiting their threat.
Czech Liga 26/272 goals in 5 apps, 0.4 goals/game
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a home win for Baník Ostrava, with a 1-0 scoreline the most likely outcome. Ostrava's points per game (1.50) significantly outpace Pardubice's 0.29, reflecting their stronger league form. Key players like Václav Jurečka, Ostrava's primary striker, have been consistent contributors, while defender Matěj Chaluš poses a threat on set pieces. Pardubice's top scorer, T. Boledovic, has been less prolific recently, which could limit their attacking threat. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a tactical battle with Ostrava's home scoring consistency potentially making the difference.
Key facts
- 1.Baník Ostrava have won 9 of 15 meetings against Pardubice.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.7 total goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Baník Ostrava rank 11th with 9 points from 6 games; Pardubice rank 15th with 2 points from 7 games.
- 4.Baník Ostrava have a points-per-game advantage of 1.50 compared to Pardubice's 0.29.
- 5.Baník Ostrava have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
- 6.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team.
- 7.Predicted total of 4 cards in the match, indicating a physical game.
Prediction
Expect Baník Ostrava to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory. The match is likely to be low scoring and tightly contested, with Ostrava's home advantage and better form tipping the scales in their favour. Four cards are anticipated, suggesting a competitive and physical encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Baník Ostrava
Away — Pardubice
The verdict
While the prediction favours Baník Ostrava, the margin is slim and the confidence low due to limited match history and close probabilities for other outcomes. Pardubice will be keen to upset the odds, but Ostrava's recent form and historical edge make them the favourites to take all three points.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Šimek
Drchal
Assist: Mahuta
Jelínek
Yellow Card
Boula
Yellow Card
Kubala
Yellow Card
Holzer
Kubala
Míček
Ďatko
Tanko
Assist: Drchal
Traore
Yellow Card
Mahuta
Smékal
Yellow Card
Skyba
Jurečka
Skrkon
Assist: Boula
Smékal
Tanko
Halinský
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 20 |
| 10 |  Plzen | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  Baník Ostrava | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 12 |  Bohemians 1905 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Pardubice | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 |  Artis | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Baník Ostrava
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 5J. BoulaM
- 8A. TraoréM
- 15V. JurečkaF
- 22V. SkrkonF
- 23M. JedličkaG
- 28F. KubalaM
- 34A. BeweneM
- 42J. MíčekD
- 44Y. SkybaD
- 83R. NoghaD
- 95D. HolzerM
Substitutes
- 1V. BudinskýG
- 7D. GilbertM
- 16M. DyachukD
- 17M. FrydrychD
- 19F. ŠanclM
- 55Artúr MusákM
- 81M. KmeťD
Pardubice
3-4-1-2Starting XI
- 6M. IchaD
- 8S. ŠimekM
- 15E. GodwinM
- 16T. JelínekM
- 19M. HlavatýM
- 20A. TankoF
- 21M. TraoreD
- 25R. MahutaM
- 33D. HalinskýD
- 35S. ĎatkoF
- 46V. NeumanG
Substitutes
- 1J. ŠerákG
- 7D. SimonM
- 9D. SmékalF
- 11J. ZimaM
- 12J. TrédlD
- 17V. DrchalF
- 27M. ReilD
- 40T. BoledoviÄD
- 77R. SaarmaM
- 90G. BotosM
- 99Kahuan ViniciusF
Baník Ostrava
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Skrkon | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| J. Boula | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | — |
| R. Nogha | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Artúr Musák | M | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Jedlička | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Skyba | D | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Dyachuk | D | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Gilbert | M | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Traoré | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Bewene | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Míček | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Frydrych | D | 18 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Holzer | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Kubala | M | 46 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Jurečka | F | 72 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| F. Šancl | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Budinský | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kmeť | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Pardubice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. Drchal | F | 74 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| A. Tanko | F | 86 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| V. Neuman | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mahuta | M | 59 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Icha | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Jelínek | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1/2 |
| D. Halinský | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Hlavatý | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| E. Godwin | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| T. BoledoviÄ | D | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| J. Trédl | D | 4 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Šimek | M | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| D. Smékal | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Kahuan Vinicius | F | 4 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Ďatko | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| M. Traore | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
| G. Botos | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Reil | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Saarma | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Zima | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Šerák | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Simon | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Baník Ostrava to win against Pardubice.
- What score did Fipster predict for Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Baník Ostrava 1–0 Pardubice.
- What were the win probabilities for Baník Ostrava vs Pardubice?
- Fipster's model gave Baník Ostrava a 35% chance of winning, Pardubice a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.