Bahia vs Remo
Bahia clinches narrow win with late drama
Jean Lucas sets the tone early, but penalties decide the final moments.
Bahia secured a 2-1 victory over Remo in Serie A, with Jean Lucas opening the scoring in the first half. The match was settled in stoppage time as Luciano Juba converted a penalty for Bahia, only for Vitor Bueno to respond with a penalty for Remo moments later. Despite the tighter scoreline than predicted, Fipster's call for a home win was spot on.
Outcome probability
Bahia and Remo face off in a regular season clash where the home side's superior league standing and goal difference set the stage for a commanding performance.
Match factors
Bahia's attacking midfielders outperform Remo's defense
Bahia's Erick and Jean Lucas have strong recent scoring and assist form, exploiting Remo's leaky defense
Luciano Juba's goal threat from defense
Luciano Juba leads Bahia with 8 goals, exceptional for a defender and a key scoring outlet
Rodrigo Nestor's recent assist surge
Rodrigo Nestor has 2 assists in last 5 games, boosting Bahia's creative output
Remo missing key defenders Mayk and Edson Fernando
Remo's defensive injuries weaken their backline, increasing vulnerability to Bahia's attack
Bahia's home dominance and scoring streak
Bahia has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, supporting predicted 3-0 win
The context
Bahia sit comfortably in 5th place with 43 points, while Remo struggle near the bottom at 19th with 23 points. Despite Remo's clean sweep in their previous three meetings, Bahia's current form and goal difference suggest a shift in momentum this time around.
Key insights
Luciano Juba
Bahia
Leads Bahia with 8 goals, an exceptional tally for a defender, making him a key attacking threat.
Serie A 26/278 goals in 22 appearances, 0.36 goals/game
Erick
Bahia
Strong recent form with 2 goals in last 5 matches, providing crucial attacking support from midfield.
Serie A 26/273 goals in 19 appearances, 0.16 goals/game
Rodrigo Nestor
Bahia
Boosted creative output with 2 assists in last 5 games, linking play effectively.
Serie A 26/271 assist in 18 appearances, 0.06 assists/game
Analysis
Bahia's attacking midfielders, particularly Erick and Jean Lucas, have been in fine form, exploiting Remo's vulnerable defence. Luciano Juba, a defender with an impressive eight goals this season, adds an unexpected threat up front. Meanwhile, Remo are missing key defenders Mayk and Edson Fernando, which further weakens their backline. Bahia's recent home scoring streak supports the prediction of a 3-0 win.
Key facts
- 1.Remo have won all 3 previous meetings against Bahia, scoring 9 goals to Bahia's 3.
- 2.Bahia rank 5th in the league with 43 points from 26 games (W11 D10 L5).
- 3.Remo are 19th with 23 points from 25 games (W5 D8 L12).
- 4.Bahia have a +8 goal difference compared to Remo's -12.
- 5.Bahia average 1.65 points per game, Remo just 0.92.
- 6.Luciano Juba is Bahia's top scorer with 8 goals this season.
- 7.Bahia have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games.
Prediction
Expect Bahia to take an early lead by halftime, going 1-0 up, and then extend their advantage to a comfortable 3-0 victory by full time. The match should see a handful of cards, with four predicted in total.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bahia
Away — Remo
The verdict
With their attacking talents firing and Remo's defensive woes mounting, Bahia look set to claim a straightforward win. Remo will need to regroup quickly if they want to avoid a repeat of this scoreline in future encounters.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Acevedo
Yellow Card
Jean Lucas
Assist: Olivera
Picco
Zé Ricardo
Tchamba
Jája Silva
Matheus Felipe
Yellow Card
Marcos Victor
Jean Lucas
Acevedo
Pulga
Galeano
Juba
Penalty
Bueno
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | +31 | 57 |
| 4 |  Atletico Paranaense | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | +10 | 46 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | +9 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | +2 | 45 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | -6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -15 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | -24 | 18 |
Match Statistics
Bahia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 4KanuD
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 6Jean LucasM
- 9A. VélizF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 33David DuarteD
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 46Luciano JubaD
- 99C. OliveraF
Substitutes
- 3Marco MorenoD
- 7AdemirF
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 10Éverton RibeiroM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 17G. HerreraG
- 27EveraldoF
- 31Roman GomezD
- 43Luiz GustavoD
- 63David MartinsM
- 66Zé GuilhermeD
- 77Ruan PabloF
Remo
3-4-3Starting XI
- 4Matheus FelipeD
- 6MarlonM
- 7Jája SilvaF
- 8PatrickM
- 14L. PiccoM
- 18D. TchambaD
- 21A. GaleanoF
- 22Yago PikachuM
- 27Zé IvaldoD
- 55Zé RicardoF
- 88Marcelo RangelG
Substitutes
- 2Matheus AlexandreD
- 5Leo AndradeD
- 9Gabriel PovedaF
- 10JádersonF
- 11Alef MangaF
- 13MarllonD
- 15Vitor BuenoF
- 19Gabriel TaliariF
- 26David FranciscoM
- 28José WelisonM
- 94Ygor VinhasG
- 97IvanG
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jean Lucas | M | 79 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/3 |
| C. Olivera | F | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3/7 |
| Luciano Juba | D | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Marcos Victor | D | 72 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| David Duarte | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ademir | F | 11 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Kanu | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Roman Gomez | D | 18 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ronaldo | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Éverton Ribeiro | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Erick Pulga | F | 79 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | — | 4 | 3/5 |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Véliz | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| N. Acevedo | M | 79 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| David Martins | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luiz Gustavo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruan Pablo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zé Guilherme | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marco Moreno | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Herrera | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Remo
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcelo Rangel | G | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Vitor Bueno | F | 44 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Zé Ivaldo | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Taliari | F | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| D. Tchamba | D | 46 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gabriel Poveda | F | 6 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Patrick | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Zé Ricardo | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Alef Manga | F | 40 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Jája Silva | F | 50 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Yago Pikachu | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Welison | M | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Matheus Felipe | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Picco | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Galeano | F | 84 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Marlon | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jáderson | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marllon | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Francisco | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Alexandre | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leo Andrade | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ygor Vinhas | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ivan | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bahia vs Remo?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bahia to win against Remo.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bahia vs Remo?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bahia 3–0 Remo.
- What were the win probabilities for Bahia vs Remo?
- Fipster's model gave Bahia a 85% chance of winning, Remo a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.