Bahia vs RB Bragantino
Match recap
Bahia beat RB Bragantino 2–0 in their Serie A fixture. Juba and Erick scored for Bahia. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.98 for Bahia versus 1.48 for RB Bragantino. Bahia sit 7th in the Serie A table while RB Bragantino are 10th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-0 Bahia win
Actual
2–0
Outcome probability
Bahia look poised to extend their strong run with a comprehensive win against RB Bragantino. With a predicted 3-0 scoreline, the home side's attacking prowess and defensive solidity should shine through.
Match factors
Luciano Juba's attacking threat from defense
Luciano Juba leads Bahia with 9 goals this season, providing a unique scoring threat from defense, likely to exploit RB Bragantino's defensive vulnerabilities.
Bahia's superior home scoring form
Bahia averages 1.57 goals per home game, above league average, supporting the predicted 3-0 home win.
Rodrigo Nestor's recent creative form
Rodrigo Nestor has 2 assists in last 5 games, showing strong recent creativity to supply likely scorers.
RB Bragantino's defensive doubts with Juninho Capixaba
Juninho Capixaba is doubtful due to injury, potentially weakening RB Bragantino's defense against Bahia's attack.
Erick's midfield goal threat
Erick's 4 goals this season and recent form make him a key goal threat from midfield for Bahia.
The context
This fixture is part of the Regular Season - 7 in the 2026 campaign. Bahia currently sit 6th in the league with 46 points from 29 games, while RB Bragantino are 10th with 37 points. Historically, Bahia have a slight edge in head-to-head meetings, having won 8 of 15 encounters.
Key insights
Luciano Juba
Bahia
Luciano Juba leads Bahia with 9 goals this season, providing a unique scoring threat from defence likely to exploit RB Bragantino's defensive vulnerabilities.
Serie A 26/279 goals in 25 appearances, 0.36 avg per game
Rodrigo Nestor
Bahia
Rodrigo Nestor has 2 assists in the last 5 games, showing strong recent creativity to supply likely scorers.
Serie A 26/273 assists in 22 appearances, 0.14 avg per game
Erick
Bahia
Erick's 4 goals this season and recent form make him a key goal threat from midfield.
Serie A 26/274 goals in 22 appearances, 0.18 avg per game
- J
Juninho Capixaba
RB Bragantino
Juninho Capixaba is doubtful due to injury, potentially weakening RB Bragantino's defence against Bahia's attack.
Serie A 26/2711 yellow cards in 25 games
Analysis
Bahia's home scoring average of 1.57 goals per game underpins their offensive threat, with defender Luciano Juba leading the charge as a top scorer with 9 goals this season. Midfielder Erick also contributes significantly with 4 goals, adding to the team's attacking depth. RB Bragantino face defensive doubts with Juninho Capixaba doubtful, which could be exploited by Bahia's creative midfielders like Rodrigo Nestor, who has 2 assists in the last 5 games. The predicted 2-0 halftime lead aligns with Bahia's consistent ability to start strong and maintain pressure.
Key facts
- 1.Bahia rank 6th with 46 points from 29 games, RB Bragantino 10th with 37 points.
- 2.Bahia have a superior goal difference of +6 compared to RB Bragantino.
- 3.In 15 head-to-head matches, Bahia have won 8, RB Bragantino 5, with 2 draws.
- 4.Bahia average 1.57 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Luciano Juba is Bahia's top scorer with 9 goals this season.
- 6.Rodrigo Nestor has provided 2 assists in the last 5 games.
- 7.Juninho Capixaba is doubtful for RB Bragantino, potentially weakening their defence.
- 8.Predicted total cards for the match is 4, indicating typical match discipline.
Prediction
Expect Bahia to take control early, establishing a 2-0 lead by halftime and extending it to a 3-0 victory by fulltime. The match is likely to feature a total of 4 cards, reflecting a typical level of discipline for this fixture.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bahia
Away — RB Bragantino
No standout top scorers flagged for RB Bragantino
The verdict
Bahia's combination of home advantage, attacking threats from defence and midfield, and RB Bragantino's defensive uncertainties make a 3-0 home win the most plausible outcome. Fans can look forward to a confident performance from the home side, with key players stepping up to secure the points.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 19:03 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Juba
Assist: Jean Lucas
Erick
Herrera
Fabinho
Willian José
Pulga
Caio Alexandre
Rodriguinho
Yellow Card
Rodriguinho
Acevedo
Yellow Card
Vinicius
Rodrigo Nestor
Yellow Card
Jean Lucas
Sosa
Olivera
Erick
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 32 | 20 | 9 | 3 | +34 | 69 |
| 6 |  Atletico-MG | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | +5 | 49 |
| 8 |  Santos | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 45 |
| 9 |  Sao Paulo | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | +1 | 43 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 41 |
| 11 |  Botafogo | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 39 |
Match Statistics
Bahia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 3Gabriel XavierD
- 5N. AcevedoD
- 6Jean LucasM
- 8Caio AlexandreM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 14ErickM
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 21S. RamosD
- 46Luciano JubaD
- 99C. OliveraF
Substitutes
- 7AdemirF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 15M. AraújoM
- 23M. SanabriaF
- 25IagoD
- 27EveraldoF
- 31Roman GomezD
- 33David DuarteD
- 34João PauloG
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 63David MartinsM
- 89DellF
RB Bragantino
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3Eduardo SantosD
- 5FabinhoM
- 9I. PittaF
- 15I. SosaM
- 17ViniciusF
- 18Tiago VolpiG
- 20RodriguinhoM
- 32J. HerreraF
- 51Cauê Nascimento SantosD
- 52Ryan TavaresD
Substitutes
- 1CleitonG
- 4AlixD
- 6GabrielM
- 7Eric RamiresM
- 8Eduardo SashaF
- 16Gustavo MarquesD
- 27Davi GomesM
- 28Yuri LelesM
- 30Henry MosqueraF
- 34J. HurtadoD
- 35Matheus FernandesM
- 57MarcelinhoM
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ronaldo | G | 99 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Erick | M | 99 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Luciano Juba(C) | D | 99 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 99 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 80 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Erick Pulga | F | 60 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Nicolás Acevedo | D | 99 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristian Olivera | F | 86 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4/9 |
| Caio Alexandre | M | 60 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Xavier | D | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Willian José | F | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Román Gómez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Paulo | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Martins | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Borduchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dell | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | 19 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 39 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ademir | F | 39 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
RB Bragantino
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Henrique | D | 99 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Vinicinho | F | 77 | 8.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3/3 |
| Tiago Volpi(C) | G | 99 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Augusto | D | 99 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2/3 |
| Ignacio Sosa | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| Eduardo Santos | D | 99 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| José Herrera | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Isidro Pitta | F | 99 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rodriguinho | M | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Cauê Nascimento Santos | D | 99 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Fabinho | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yuri Leles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcelinho Braz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gustavo Marques | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| José Andrés Hurtado | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gabriel Girotto | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Fernandes | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cleiton | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Davi Gomes | M | 22 | 7.7 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| Eric Ramires | M | 35 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eduardo Sasha | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alix Vinicius | D | 54 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Henry Mosquera | F | 54 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Bahia to win against RB Bragantino.
- What score did Fipster predict for Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Bahia 3–0 RB Bragantino.
- What were the win probabilities for Bahia vs RB Bragantino?
- Fipster's model gave Bahia a 85% chance of winning, RB Bragantino a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.