Bahia vs Corinthians
Corinthians and Bahia share spoils in Serie A stalemate
An early strike from F. Angileri was cancelled out by David Duarte's stoppage-time equaliser.
Corinthians took the lead early through F. Angileri, but Bahia fought back to snatch a point with David Duarte's goal deep into stoppage time. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's confident prediction of a 3-1 home win, proving the match was far tighter than expected.
Analysis
Bahia and Corinthians face off in a Brazilian Serie A clash where form and stats suggest a clear favourite. Bahia's superior league position and goal difference set the stage for a confident home performance.
This match is part of the regular season's 20th round. Bahia currently sit 6th with 30 points, while Corinthians are 13th with 24 points. Historically, their encounters have been competitive, with Corinthians holding a slight edge in wins.
Bahia's attacking threat is bolstered by defender Luciano Juba, who has netted 6 goals this season and is in fine form at home. Midfielder Erick adds further goal threat and stability. Corinthians rely heavily on forward Yuri Alberto, who has scored 7 goals this season, but Bahia's defensive solidity, led by David Duarte, should contain him. Creative midfielder Rodrigo Garro is key for Corinthians but may struggle against Bahia's organised defence.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favours a Bahia home win with a 3-1 final scoreline. Bahia are expected to lead 1-0 at halftime, maintaining control throughout. The match is likely to see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but disciplined encounter.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Bahia's attacking defenders pose threat
Luciano Juba's goal scoring from defense gives Bahia an edge in set-pieces and open play attacks
Corinthians rely on Yuri Alberto for goals
Yuri Alberto leads Corinthians with 7 goals, crucial for their scoring chances in this match
Bahia's recent home scoring streak
Bahia has scored in 5 consecutive home matches, indicating strong offensive form at home
Rodrigo Garro's creative influence for Corinthians
Garro's 5 assists and key passes make him a vital playmaker to unlock Bahia's defense
Key Takeaways
In summary, Bahia's home form, attacking defenders, and better league standing give them the edge over Corinthians. Expect a confident Bahia performance resulting in a 3-1 victory, continuing their strong home scoring streak.
- Bahia rank 6th with 30 points; Corinthians 13th with 24 points.
- Bahia have a +4 goal difference; Corinthians have -1 this season.
- In 20 head-to-head matches, Corinthians have 9 wins, Bahia 7, with 4 draws.
- Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.7.
- Luciano Juba has scored 6 goals this season, 5 in last 10 home matches.
- Yuri Alberto leads Corinthians with 7 goals this season.
- Bahia have scored in 5 consecutive home matches.
- David Duarte has 3 assists and is key to Bahia's defensive stability.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bahia
Away — Corinthians
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Angileri
Assist: Andre
Goal Disallowed - offside
Angileri
Yellow Card
Duarte
Yellow Card
Zé Guilherme
Yellow Card
Raniele
Yellow Card
Duarte
Assist: Rodrigo Nestor
Yellow Card
Breno
Yellow Card
Ademir
Véliz
Zé Guilherme
Angileri
Breno
Andre
Raniele
Jean Lucas
Yuri Alberto
Pulga
Kauê Camargo
Yellow Card
Allan
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +22 | 47 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | +5 | 34 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | +4 | 32 |
| 6 |  RB Bragantino | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | +6 | 31 |
| 7 |  Botafogo | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | +2 | 29 |
| 8 |  Corinthians | 21 | 7 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 29 |
| 9 |  Atletico-MG | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 28 |
Match Statistics
Bahia
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 6Jean LucasM
- 7AdemirM
- 9A. VélizF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 21S. RamosD
- 31Roman GomezD
- 33David DuarteD
- 66Zé GuilhermeM
Substitutes
- 4KanuD
- 10Éverton RibeiroM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 15M. AraújoM
- 17G. HerreraG
- 23M. SanabriaF
- 27EveraldoF
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 46Luciano JubaD
- 57Çağatay YılmazM
- 63David MartinsM
- 77Ruan PabloF
Corinthians
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hugo SouzaG
- 2MatheuzinhoD
- 3Gabriel PaulistaD
- 7BrenoM
- 8R. GarroM
- 9Yuri AlbertoF
- 13Gustavo HenriqueD
- 14RanieleM
- 26F. AngileriD
- 37Kaio CésarM
- 49AndreM
Substitutes
- 4João PedroD
- 5André RamalhoD
- 18Pedro RaulF
- 19A. CarrilloM
- 20P. MilansD
- 23Matheus PereiraM
- 29AllanM
- 35CharlesM
- 51Kauê CamargoG
- 52Z. LabyadF
- 61DieguinhoM
- 77J. LingardM
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Duarte | D | 95 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Román Gómez | D | 95 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/4 |
| Erick Pulga | F | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 3/5 |
| José Guilherme | M | 69 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Ademir | M | 69 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Nicolás Acevedo(C) | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ronaldo | G | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jean Lucas | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 95 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alejo Véliz | F | 69 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Marcos Victor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Guido Herrera | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everaldo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Martins | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Michel Araújo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ruan Pablo | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê Furquim | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Willian José | F | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Everton Ribeiro | M | 18 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Luciano Juba | D | 26 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Corinthians
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabrizio Angileri | D | 69 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Gustavo Henrique | D | 95 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kaio César | M | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gabriel Paulista | D | 95 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Garro(C) | M | 95 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Hugo Souza | G | 95 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheuzinho | D | 95 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Raniele | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Luiz | M | 77 | 6.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Yuri Alberto | F | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Breno Bidon | M | 70 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jesse Lingard | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| João Pedro Tchoca | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Raul | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Ramalho | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dieguinho | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Charles | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Pereira | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| André Carrillo | M | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Milans | D | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Allan | M | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Labyad | F | 25 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |