Bahia vs Chapecoense-sc
Bahia secures solid win over Chapecoense
Rodrigo Nestor's penalty and Roman Gomez's strike put Bahia in control.
Bahia delivered a confident performance to claim a 2-0 victory against Chapecoense in Serie A. Rodrigo Nestor opened the scoring with a penalty early on, and Roman Gomez doubled the lead before the break, ensuring a comfortable win. The result matched Fipster's prediction of a home win, confirming the model's confidence in Bahia's dominance.
Analysis
Bahia welcome Chapecoense-sc for a Brazilian Serie A clash where the home side look poised to assert their superiority. With Bahia's solid form and Chapecoense-sc struggling to find their feet, this match promises a comfortable outing for the hosts.
In the Brazilian Serie A regular season, Bahia currently sit 6th with 26 points from 17 games, showcasing a balanced mix of wins and draws. Chapecoense-sc, on the other hand, languish near the bottom at 20th with just 9 points, reflecting their struggles this campaign. This fixture is a classic case of a mid-table side hosting a team fighting relegation, setting the stage for a one-sided affair.
Bahia's home form is impressive, averaging 1.6 goals per game, bolstered by the attacking contributions of Luciano Juba and Everaldo. Juba, a defender with six goals this season, poses a significant threat on set-pieces, while Everaldo leads the scoring charts for Bahia with seven goals. Chapecoense-sc's defence has been leaky, conceding in every recent match, which bodes ill for their chances. Their leading scorer Neto Pessoa has five goals but faces an uphill battle against Bahia's sturdy defence. Creative midfielders Everton Ribeiro and Jean Lucas provide Bahia with ample service, enhancing their goal-scoring opportunities. With no significant injuries reported, both teams will field their best squads, but the gulf in quality and form is evident.
Prediction
Expect Bahia to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime thanks to their set-piece prowess and attacking flair. The second half should see them consolidate and add a third goal, sealing a 3-0 victory. The match is also likely to be competitive in terms of discipline, with an estimated four cards issued as both sides battle hard.
Outcome probability
Key Insights
Bahia's Set-Piece Threat from Defense
Luciano Juba's goal-scoring from defense and set-piece prowess gives Bahia an edge against Chapecoense's vulnerable defense.
Superior Home Scoring Form for Bahia
Bahia averages 1.6 goals at home with consistent scoring streaks, while Chapecoense struggles away with 0.5 goals per game.
Chapecoense's Defensive Frailty
Chapecoense has conceded in all recent matches, increasing likelihood of multiple goals conceded against Bahia's attack.
Creative Midfielders Driving Bahia's Attack
Everton Ribeiro and Jean Lucas provide strong creative support, enhancing scoring chances for forwards and defenders alike.
No Significant Injuries Reported
Both teams have no reported injuries, so full squads likely available, maintaining tactical stability.
Key Takeaways
In summary, Bahia's superior form, goal difference, and home advantage make them overwhelming favourites to secure a comfortable 3-0 win over Chapecoense-sc. The visitors will struggle to contain the hosts' attacking threats, and the home crowd should enjoy a straightforward victory.
- Bahia are ranked 6th in the league with 26 points from 17 games (W7 D5 L5).
- Chapecoense-sc sit 20th with 9 points from 17 games (W1 D6 L10).
- Bahia have a positive goal difference of +2, while Chapecoense-sc have -16.
- Bahia average 1.6 goals per home game, Chapecoense-sc average 0.5 goals away.
- Luciano Juba, a defender for Bahia, has scored 6 goals this season, a notable tally for a defender.
- Everaldo is Bahia's top scorer with 7 goals this season.
- Chapecoense-sc have conceded in all recent matches, highlighting defensive frailty.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, so full squads expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Bahia
Away — Chapecoense-sc
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Rodrigo Nestor
Penalty
Roman Gomez
Assist: Duarte
Ênio
Unknown
Marcinho
Marcos Vinícius
Zé Guilherme
Yellow Card
Willian José
Ademir
Rodrigo Nestor
Pulga
Camilo
Juba
Yellow Card
Duarte
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | +17 | 41 |
| 5 |  RB Bragantino | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | +6 | 29 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | +2 | 26 |
| 7 |  Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 26 |
| 19 |  Mirassol | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -6 | 16 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | -16 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Bahia
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1RonaldoG
- 5N. AcevedoM
- 7AdemirF
- 11Rodrigo NestorM
- 12Willian JoséF
- 14ErickM
- 16Erick PulgaF
- 21S. RamosD
- 33David DuarteD
- 44Marcos VictorD
- 66Zé GuilhermeD
Chapecoense-sc
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Rafael SantosG
- 2Marcos ViníciusD
- 3DomaD
- 7MarcinhoM
- 10Giovanni AugustoM
- 11Y. BolasieF
- 15Rafael ThyereD
- 27CamiloM
- 91Bruno PachecoD
- 97ÊnioM
Bahia
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolás Acevedo | M | 93 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Román Gómez | D | 93 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Ronaldo | G | 93 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Duarte | D | 87 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Rodrigo Nestor | M | 79 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| José Guilherme | D | 93 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| Erick Pulga | F | 80 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Santiago Ramos Mingo | D | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ademir | F | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Willian José | F | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Erick(C) | M | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Michel Araújo | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iuri Jean | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kanu | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Sanabria | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marcos Victor | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luciano Juba | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iago Borduchi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caio Alexandre | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Everton Ribeiro | M | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Everaldo | F | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauê Furquim | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jean Lucas | M | 14 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Chapecoense-sc
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matheus | G | 93 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Camilo | M | 81 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Marcos Vinícius | D | 63 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Giovanni Augusto | M | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Eduardo Doma | D | 93 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Rafael Thyere(C) | D | 93 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Yannick Bolasie | F | 93 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Marcinho | M | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Pacheco | D | 93 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Ênio | M | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rafael Santos | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bruno Leonardo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kauan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mancha | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| David Antunes | M | 12 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Neto Pessoa | F | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Everton | D | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Vinicius Balieiro | M | 48 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rubens Tadeu | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |