Başakşehir vs Samsunspor
Başakşehir storm past Samsunspor in seven-goal thriller
A commanding display with Shomurodov and Bayram lighting up the Süper Lig clash.
Başakşehir delivered a dominant performance against Samsunspor, securing a 5-2 victory with goals from E. Shomurodov, A. Skov Olsen, E. Bayram, O. Ba, and A. Fayzullaev. Samsunspor fought back twice through T. Coulibaly and E. Tavşan, but it wasn't enough to stem the home side's attacking tide. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, even if the exact scoreline was a bit more generous than expected.
Outcome probability
Başakşehir and Samsunspor meet in the 10th round of the regular season, with both sides currently level on points but differing in form and historical encounters.
Match factors
Shomurodov's home scoring streak
Eldor Shomurodov has scored 6 goals in 5 home games, providing a strong attacking edge at Başakşehir's ground.
Başakşehir's superior home scoring rate
Başakşehir averages 2.2 goals per home game, significantly higher than Samsunspor's 1.0 at home, favoring a strong home win.
Samsunspor's defensive struggles
Samsunspor has conceded in all last 5 matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities Başakşehir can exploit.
Doubtful defenders Operi and Opoku for Başakşehir
Defenders Christopher Operi and Jerome Opoku are doubtful, possibly weakening defensive stability if absent.
Brnić and Skov Olsen creative synergy
Ivan Brnić and Andreas Skov Olsen combine for multiple assists, enhancing Başakşehir's attacking creativity.
The context
Başakşehir sit 7th in the league with 4 points from 3 games, just ahead of Samsunspor who are 9th with the same tally. Their previous meetings have favoured Başakşehir, who have won 7 of their last 10 clashes, scoring 19 goals in those encounters compared to Samsunspor's 7.
Key insights
Eldor Azamat Shomurodov
Başakşehir
Shomurodov's home scoring streak gives Başakşehir a sharp attacking edge with 6 goals in 5 home games.
Süper Lig 26/276 goals in 5 home appearances
Ivan Brnić
Başakşehir
Brnić's creative playmaking with 2 assists in 8 games enhances Başakşehir's attacking options.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 8 appearances
Analysis
Başakşehir's attacking threat is spearheaded by Eldor Azamat Shomurodov, who boasts 7 goals in 8 appearances and an impressive home record of 6 goals in 5 matches. The creative duo of Ivan Brnić and Andreas Skov Olsen further bolster their chances with multiple assists, enhancing the team's offensive fluidity. Samsunspor, meanwhile, have struggled defensively, conceding in their last five matches, which could be exploited by Başakşehir's potent attack. Doubts over the fitness of defenders Christopher Operi and Jerome Opoku might slightly weaken Başakşehir's backline, but their superior home scoring rate of 2.2 goals per game compared to Samsunspor's 1.0 suggests a comfortable home win.
Key facts
- 1.Başakşehir have won 7 of their last 10 matches against Samsunspor.
- 2.Başakşehir have scored 19 goals in 10 head-to-head matches, averaging 1.9 goals per game.
- 3.Başakşehir rank 7th with 4 points from 3 games; Samsunspor are 9th with the same points.
- 4.Başakşehir average 2.2 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Samsunspor have conceded in their last 5 matches.
- 6.Eldor Azamat Shomurodov has scored 6 goals in 5 home games this season.
- 7.Ivan Brnić leads Başakşehir with 2 assists in 8 games.
Prediction
We expect Başakşehir to take an early lead and maintain control, leading 1-0 at halftime and extending their advantage to a 3-0 victory by full time. The match should see a moderate number of cards, around four, reflecting a competitive but disciplined encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Başakşehir
Away — Samsunspor
The verdict
Başakşehir's combination of strong home form, attacking firepower, and historical dominance over Samsunspor points to a straightforward win. Samsunspor will need to tighten their defence significantly to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 26 Oct 2026, 17:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sekongo
Yellow Card
Shomurodov
Assist: Brnić
Yüksel
Coulibaly
Assist: Bayo
Skov Olsen
Assist: Kharebashvili
Bayram
Assist: Kałuziński
Guarino
Selke
Watt
Sekongo
Ba
Assist: Kałuziński
Brnić
Skov Olsen
Kemen
Coulibaly
Shomurodov
Tavşan
Assist: Assoumou
Eraković
Yellow Card
Fayzullaev
Assist: Kharebashvili
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Samsunspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8O. KemenM
- 9D. SelkeF
- 14E. ShomurodovM
- 16M. ŞengezerG
- 18J. KałuzińskiM
- 23E. BayramD
- 27O. BaD
- 33M. KarbownikD
- 38S. KharebashviliD
- 70A. Skov OlsenM
- 77I. BrnićM
Substitutes
- 4O. ErgünM
- 7Y. SarıF
- 10E. VišćaM
- 11A. FayzullaevM
- 15Hamza GürelerD
- 17U. BozokF
- 20U. GüneşM
- 42Ö. ŞahinerM
- 91B. YıldırımF
- 98D. DilmenG
Samsunspor
3-5-2Starting XI
- 2J. MendesM
- 3I. DrapińskiD
- 4E. WattM
- 5C. YükselM
- 10T. CoulibalyF
- 16S. ErakovićD
- 17L. TómassonM
- 18M. BayoF
- 25B. BayazıtG
- 34G. GuarinoD
- 42Y. SekongoM
Substitutes
- 1O. KocukG
- 7E. TavşanF
- 8S. OnurM
- 15K. AssoumouF
- 19O. ØhlenschlægerF
- 20Y. KayanM
- 23E. AlbakD
- 29H. TanD
- 30Saikuba JarjuF
Başakşehir
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakub Kałuziński | M | 89 | 7.9 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Andreas Skov Olsen | M | 78 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Ousseynou Ba | D | 89 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Emin Bayram | D | 89 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Eldor Shomurodov | M | 83 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Saba Kharebashvili | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Ivan Brnić | M | 78 | 7.3 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Davie Selke | F | 67 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Olivier Kemen(C) | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Michał Karbownik | D | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammed Şengezer | G | 89 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hamza Güreler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edin Višća | M | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ömer Ali Şahiner | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umut Güneş | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deniz Dilmen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umut Bozok | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yusuf Sarı | F | 11 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bertuğ Yıldırım | F | 22 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abbosbek Fayzullaev | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onur Ergün | M | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Samsunspor
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tanguy Coulibaly | F | 82 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Strahinja Eraković | D | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohamed Bayo | F | 89 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Antoine Sekongo | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Celil Yüksel(C) | M | 15 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Josafat Mendes | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elliot Watt | M | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Igor Drapiński | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Logi Tomasson | M | 89 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gabriele Guarino | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bilal Bayazit | G | 89 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saikuba Jarju | F | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haluk Mustafa Tan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Enes Albak | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Okan Kocuk | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yalçın Kayan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elayis Tavsan | F | 44 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Oskar Øhlenschlaeger | F | 74 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jaures Assoumou | F | 18 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Samed Onur | M | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Başakşehir to win against Samsunspor.
- What score did Fipster predict for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Başakşehir 3–0 Samsunspor.
- What were the win probabilities for Başakşehir vs Samsunspor?
- Fipster's model gave Başakşehir a 95% chance of winning, Samsunspor a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.