Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK
Başakşehir edge Gaziantep in tight tussle
Shomurodov and Güneş secure a narrow home victory.
Başakşehir claimed a 2-1 win over Gaziantep FK in a closely contested Süper Lig match. E. Shomurodov's early strike set the tone, but S. Dursun's equaliser after the break kept Gaziantep in the hunt. U. Güneş's decisive goal in the 81st minute sealed the victory for Başakşehir. Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a home win was on the money, though the exact scoreline proved a bit optimistic.
Outcome probability
Başakşehir and Gaziantep FK face off in the eighth round of the regular season, with both sides eager to climb the league standings. This fixture promises attacking intent and tactical battles as Başakşehir look to capitalize on their home advantage.
Match factors
Shomurodov's home scoring form vs Gaziantep FK defense
Shomurodov has scored 5 goals in 4 home matches, exploiting Gaziantep FK's defensive vulnerabilities at home
Başakşehir's stronger home scoring rate
Başakşehir averages 2.3 goals per home game, well above Gaziantep FK's 0.7 home scoring average
Gaziantep FK's recent away scoring improvement
Gaziantep FK has scored in their last 2 away games, showing improved offensive form on the road
Višća doubtful for Başakşehir may limit midfield creativity
Višća's doubtful status caps assist probability for midfield creativity, potentially reducing attacking options
Maxim's creative influence for Gaziantep FK
Maxim leads Gaziantep FK with 2 assists and high passing accuracy, key to unlocking Başakşehir defense
The context
Başakşehir currently sit 7th in the league with 4 points from 3 games, matching Gaziantep FK who are 11th with the same points tally. Historically, Başakşehir have dominated this matchup, winning 11 of their 16 encounters against Gaziantep FK, which adds an extra edge to this fixture.
Key insights
Eldor Azamat Shomurodov
Başakşehir
Shomurodov has been clinical at home, scoring 5 goals in 4 matches, exploiting Gaziantep FK's defensive weaknesses.
Süper Lig 26/275 goals in 4 home matches
Ivan Brnić
Başakşehir
Brnić’s high assist rate at home (0.67 assists/game) makes him a key creator for Başakşehir’s attack.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 6 appearances, 0.67 assists/game at home
Alexandru Maxim
Gaziantep FK
Maxim’s creativity and passing accuracy (88%) are vital for Gaziantep FK’s chances to break down Başakşehir’s defence.
Süper Lig 26/272 assists in 5 games, 88% passing accuracy
Analysis
Başakşehir's attacking midfield maestro Eldor Azamat Shomurodov has been in scintillating form, netting 6 goals in 6 appearances, including 5 at home. His partnership with Ivan Brnić, who boasts a high assist rate at home, could prove decisive. Gaziantep FK's creative force Alexandru Maxim, with 2 assists and excellent passing accuracy, will be key to unlocking the home defence. However, Başakşehir's superior home scoring average of 2.3 goals per game compared to Gaziantep FK's 0.7 suggests the hosts hold the upper hand offensively.
Key facts
- 1.Başakşehir have won 11 of 16 matches against Gaziantep FK.
- 2.Başakşehir rank 7th with 4 points from 3 games (W1 D1 L1).
- 3.Gaziantep FK rank 11th with 4 points from 3 games (W1 D1 L1).
- 4.Başakşehir average 2.3 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Gaziantep FK average 0.7 goals per home game this season.
- 6.Eldor Azamat Shomurodov has scored 6 goals in 6 games, including 5 at home.
- 7.Ivan Brnić leads Başakşehir with 2 assists in 6 games, strong at home.
- 8.Alexandru Maxim has 2 assists and 88% passing accuracy for Gaziantep FK.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a 3-1 victory for Başakşehir. While the halftime score remains uncertain, the home side's attacking strength and historical dominance make them favourites to secure all three points. Gaziantep FK may find the net but are unlikely to keep pace with Başakşehir's firepower.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Başakşehir
Away — Gaziantep FK
The verdict
In summary, Başakşehir's home form and key players' performances suggest they will outscore Gaziantep FK comfortably. Despite some uncertainty early on, the visitors face a tough challenge to prevent a home win. Expect a lively match with Başakşehir emerging victorious by two goals.
Prediction generated 11 Oct 2026, 14:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Shomurodov
Goal Disallowed - offside
Yellow Card
Kharebashvili
Yellow Card
Kharebashvili
Sylla
Gidado
Kałuziński
Yellow Card
Skov Olsen
Kałuziński
Stewart
Camara
Yellow Card
Camara
Dursun
Assist: Kozłowski
Bozok
Brnić
Ba
Yellow Card
Güneş
Yellow Card
Sorescu
Yellow Card
Güneş
Assist: Shomurodov
Kozłowski
Yellow Card
Luis Pérez
Dursun
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Galatasaray | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 7 |
| 6 |  Kasımpaşa | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Başakşehir | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 |  Trabzonspor | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 10 |  Alanyaspor | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 |  Gaziantep FK | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 |
| 12 |  Amed | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Başakşehir
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8O. KemenM
- 14E. ShomurodovM
- 16M. ŞengezerG
- 17U. BozokF
- 18J. KałuzińskiM
- 23E. BayramD
- 27O. BaD
- 33M. KarbownikD
- 38S. KharebashviliD
- 70A. Skov OlsenM
- 77I. BrnićM
Substitutes
- 4O. ErgünM
- 7Y. SarıF
- 10E. VišćaM
- 11A. FayzullaevM
- 15Hamza GürelerD
- 19B. ÖzcanM
- 20U. GüneşM
- 42Ö. ŞahinerM
- 91B. YıldırımF
- 98D. DilmenG
Gaziantep FK
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Luis PérezD
- 3D. CamaraM
- 4A. KızıldağD
- 8V. GidadoM
- 9T. StewartF
- 10K. KozłowskiF
- 14M. AbenaD
- 18D. SorescuM
- 21A. SyllaD
- 25K. TobiaszG
- 61O. ÖzçiçekM
Substitutes
- 5E. SarıkayaD
- 7J. BacunaM
- 17K. GassamaM
- 19S. DursunF
- 22S. HansenF
- 23K. ÇalhanoğluD
- 28H. DervişoğluF
- 35A. DadakdenizG
- 44A. MaximM
- 77Sabahattin DesticiD
Başakşehir
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andreas Skov Olsen | M | 57 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — |
| Eldor Shomurodov | M | 91 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/3 |
| Jakub Kałuziński | M | 57 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammed Şengezer | G | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emin Bayram | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Olivier Kemen(C) | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ousseynou Ba | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ivan Brnić | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Michał Karbownik | D | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Umut Bozok | F | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Saba Kharebashvili | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hamza Güreler | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Deniz Dilmen | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Onur Ergün | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abbosbek Fayzullaev | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berkay Özcan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Umut Güneş | M | 34 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Yusuf Sarı | F | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Ömer Ali Şahiner | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Edin Višća | M | 18 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bertuğ Yıldırım | F | 19 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Gaziantep FK
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kacper Kozłowski | F | 91 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Deian Sorescu | M | 91 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Kacper Tobiasz | G | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Drissa Camara | M | 64 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Myenty Abena | D | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ogün Özçiçek | M | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Trivante Stewart | F | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Luis Pérez | D | 85 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abakar Sylla | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gidado Victor Ntino-Emo | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Arda Kızıldağ(C) | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ataberk Dadakdeniz | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Efe Sarıkaya | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Halil Dervişoğlu | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Juninho Bacuna | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sontje Hansen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabahattin Destici | D | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Serdar Dursun | F | 34 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Alexandru Maxim | M | 46 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Karamba Gassama | M | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kerim Çalhanoğlu | D | 46 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Başakşehir to win against Gaziantep FK.
- What score did Fipster predict for Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Başakşehir 3–1 Gaziantep FK.
- What were the win probabilities for Başakşehir vs Gaziantep FK?
- Fipster's model gave Başakşehir a 35% chance of winning, Gaziantep FK a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.