AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar
Meerdink's strike seals narrow AZ win
A solitary goal from M. Meerdink was enough to secure all three points for AZ Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar edged past Telstar with a 1-0 victory thanks to an early goal from M. Meerdink in the 19th minute. The match was tightly contested thereafter, with neither side able to find the net again. Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a home win by this exact scoreline proved spot on.
Outcome probability
AZ Alkmaar and Telstar face off in what promises to be a closely contested match. With AZ Alkmaar leading the league and Telstar struggling near the bottom, the stage is set for a tactical battle where a single goal could decide the outcome.
Match factors
AZ Alkmaar's midfield dominance
AZ's midfielders like Daal and Koopmeiners combine high scoring and passing accuracy, controlling play and creating chances
Mateo Chávez's creative and defensive impact
Chávez leads AZ in assists (3) and contributes defensively with 14 tackles, providing balance
Ro-Zangelo Daal's recent scoring streak
Daal scored 3 goals in last 5 matches, including strong home form, boosting AZ's attack
Telstar's reliance on goalkeeper Koeman Jr. for goals
Goalkeeper Koeman Jr. unusually contributes 2 goals, but overall Telstar's attack is limited
No injuries reported for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from absences expected
The context
AZ Alkmaar currently sit top of the league with 16 points from 6 games, showcasing impressive form and a strong goal difference. Telstar, on the other hand, find themselves 15th with just 4 points from 5 games, highlighting their uphill task in this fixture. Historically, AZ Alkmaar have dominated their encounters, winning all three previous meetings against Telstar.
Key insights
Ro-Zangelo Daal
AZ Alkmaar
Leads team scoring with 4 goals in 6 games, including 3 in the last 5 matches, showing strong recent form and home effectiveness.
Eredivisie 26/274 goals in 6 games, 0.67 avg per game
- M
Mateo Chávez García
AZ Alkmaar
Top assister with 3 assists in 6 games and strong defensive contributions, providing balance and creativity.
Eredivisie 26/273 assists in 6 games, 0.5 avg per game
- R
Ronald Koeman Jr.
Telstar
Unusually high goal tally for a goalkeeper with 2 goals in 5 games, highlighting Telstar's limited attacking options.
Eredivisie 26/272 goals in 5 games
Analysis
AZ Alkmaar's midfield dominance, led by Ro-Zangelo Daal who has netted 4 goals in 6 games including 3 in the last 5, gives them a clear attacking edge. Mateo Chávez García's creativity and defensive work further bolster their chances. Telstar's attack relies heavily on their goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr., who has an unusual tally of 2 goals, but overall their offensive threat remains limited. AZ's superior goal difference (+11 compared to Telstar's -6) and consistent form suggest they will control the match, though Telstar's defensive resilience could keep the scoreline tight.
Key facts
- 1.AZ Alkmaar have won all 3 previous meetings against Telstar, scoring 5 goals and conceding 2.
- 2.AZ Alkmaar lead the league with 16 points from 6 games (W5 D1 L0).
- 3.Telstar are 15th with 4 points from 5 games (W1 D1 L3).
- 4.AZ Alkmaar have a +11 goal difference; Telstar have -6 this season.
- 5.Ro-Zangelo Daal is AZ Alkmaar's top scorer with 4 goals in 6 games.
- 6.Mateo Chávez García leads AZ Alkmaar with 3 assists in 6 games.
- 7.Telstar's goalkeeper Ronald Koeman Jr. has scored 2 goals this season.
- 8.No injuries reported for either team, both squads are at full strength.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-0 victory for AZ Alkmaar, with the halftime score also expected to be 1-0. The match is likely to be competitive, with an estimated four cards reflecting a moderately physical contest. AZ Alkmaar's home strength and tactical superiority should see them edge this one without conceding.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AZ Alkmaar
Away — Telstar
No standout top scorers flagged for Telstar
The verdict
In summary, AZ Alkmaar's blend of attacking flair and defensive solidity makes them favourites to claim all three points. Telstar will need to tighten up at the back and hope for a moment of magic to upset the odds. Expect a disciplined, closely fought match with AZ just about doing enough to secure the win.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Meerdink
Assist: Byskov
Alders
Yellow Card
Byskov
Alders
Goal cancelled
Hardeveld
Stengs
Daal
Meerdink
Seedorf
Rui Mendes
Goes
Yellow Card
Dijkstra
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AZ Alkmaar | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +12 | 19 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +18 | 17 |
| 12 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 13 |  Telstar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Cambuur | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 5 |
Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3W. GoesD
- 4L. SchoutenD
- 5M. ChávezD
- 6P. KoopmeinersM
- 9M. MeerdinkF
- 11R. DaalM
- 14C. StengsM
- 17V. ByskovM
- 21D. KwakmanM
- 22E. DijkstraD
- 28J. De BusserG
Substitutes
- 1R. Owusu-OduroG
- 2S. MaikumaD
- 7Weslley PatatiF
- 8J. ClasieM
- 10K. SmitM
- 12H. VerhulstG
- 18B. KovacsF
- 19J. HornkampF
- 20A. NataliD
- 24A. OufkirF
- 29W. HoedtD
- 34M. de WitD
Telstar
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1R. KoemanG
- 2J. HardeveldM
- 3Gerald AldersM
- 4A. SoualhiaD
- 7Rui MendesM
- 9Jelani SeedorfF
- 10T. OwusuM
- 16S. ValkD
- 17N. RossenM
- 27P. BrouwerM
- 43M. PeersmanD
Substitutes
- 5P. AningM
- 6Isaiah AhmedM
- 8E. DemircanF
- 13Finn MulderG
- 14H. KusterM
- 15N. NwankwoD
- 18G. CaschiliD
- 20D. ReizigerG
- 21F. TurayF
- 23N. ShenkmanM
- 28R. OudstenD
- 42A. MarthaD
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Meerdink | F | 71 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 89 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| V. Byskov | M | 46 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| W. Goes | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Oufkir | F | 19 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1/3 |
| J. Hornkamp | F | 19 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| M. Chávez | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| S. Maikuma | D | 1 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Smit | M | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | 5 | 1 | 1 | — |
| J. De Busser | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Daal | M | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Stengs | M | 71 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Weslley Patati | F | 19 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| D. Kwakman | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Owusu-Oduro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Natali | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Kovacs | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. de Wit | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Hoedt | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Verhulst | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Telstar
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Koeman | G | 90 | 8.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Soualhia | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| S. Valk | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Owusu | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| M. Peersman | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Demircan | F | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Rossen | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Hardeveld | M | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Aning | M | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Martha | D | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| P. Brouwer | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Gerald Alders | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Oudsten | D | 44 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jelani Seedorf | F | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rui Mendes | M | 83 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Finn Mulder | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Shenkman | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Reiziger | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nwankwo | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Caschili | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Turay | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Kuster | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isaiah Ahmed | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AZ Alkmaar to win against Telstar.
- What score did Fipster predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
- Fipster predicted a final score of AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar.
- What were the win probabilities for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
- Fipster's model gave AZ Alkmaar a 60% chance of winning, Telstar a 20% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 60% confidence — a medium-confidence call.