AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
AZ Alkmaar edge Hapoel Beer Sheva in tight contest
Koopmeiners and Meerdink secure a narrow Europa League win for AZ Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar claimed a 2-1 victory over Hapoel Beer Sheva in the UEFA Europa League, with P. Koopmeiners opening the scoring shortly after the break. A. Forson levelled for Hapoel Beer Sheva soon after, but M. Meerdink's penalty in the 77th minute proved decisive. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 2-1 home win landed accurately, reflecting the closely fought nature of the match.
Outcome probability
AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva face off in a group stage match where the home side is expected to leverage their advantage and secure a narrow victory.
Match factors
No confirmed absences for either team
Both AZ Alkmaar and Hapoel Beer Sheva have no confirmed injured players, ensuring full squad availability.
Insufficient recent form data limits player impact predictions
Lack of recent match and player form data restricts ability to identify key individual contributors.
Predicted home win aligns with historical home advantage trends
AZ Alkmaar's home advantage and predicted 2-1 scoreline reflect typical home team scoring patterns in league averages.
The context
Both teams enter this fixture with full squads available, which means no surprises from the treatment room. The group stage setting adds an extra layer of intensity as each point counts towards progression.
Key facts
- 1.AZ Alkmaar have no confirmed absences, ensuring full squad strength.
- 2.Hapoel Beer Sheva also have a full squad available for selection.
- 3.Home win probability stands highest at 43.5% for this fixture.
- 4.The most likely fulltime scoreline is 2-1 in favour of AZ Alkmaar.
- 5.Halftime score of 1-0 aligns well with the predicted final result.
- 6.Four cards are expected in this match, indicating a moderately physical game.
Analysis
AZ Alkmaar's home advantage plays a significant role in the prediction, with a 2-1 scoreline reflecting typical scoring patterns for hosts in this competition. The halftime score is likely to be 1-0, indicating a tight first half before AZ extends their lead. Hapoel Beer Sheva are expected to respond but fall just short. The match is also predicted to be moderately physical, with around four cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — AZ Alkmaar
Away — Hapoel Beer Sheva
Prediction
We anticipate AZ Alkmaar to take the lead by halftime and hold on to win 2-1. The home side's ability to score early and maintain pressure should be decisive, while Hapoel Beer Sheva will push for a goal but ultimately come up short.
The verdict
In summary, expect a competitive match with AZ Alkmaar's home form giving them the edge. A 2-1 victory seems the most plausible outcome, with both teams showing intent but the hosts just shading it.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Pedro Amador
Yellow Card
Maikuma
Yellow Card
Koopmeiners
Assist: Byskov
Peretz
Yellow Card
Oufkir
Yellow Card
Nachmias
Forson
Assist: Ahmed
Maikuma
Oufkir
Peretz
Abu Rumi
Penalty confirmed
Kovacs
de Wit
Diop
Yellow Card
Meerdink
Penalty
Zlatanović
Stengs
Yellow Card
Ahmed
Kasius
Yellow Card
Daal
Ugarriza
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sparta Praha | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Rennes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 29 |  Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 30 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 31 |  Celta Vigo | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2S. MaikumaD
- 3W. GoesD
- 6P. KoopmeinersM
- 11R. DaalM
- 17V. ByskovM
- 18B. KovacsF
- 21D. KwakmanM
- 24A. OufkirM
- 28J. De BusserG
- 29W. HoedtD
- 34M. de WitD
Substitutes
- 1R. Owusu-OduroG
- 4L. SchoutenD
- 5M. ChávezD
- 7Weslley PatatiF
- 8J. ClasieM
- 9M. MeerdinkF
- 14C. StengsM
- 22E. DijkstraD
- 30D. KasiusD
- 31R. IchiharaD
Hapoel Beer Sheva
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1O. MarcianoG
- 2G. MizrahiD
- 5Pedro AmadorD
- 7E. PeretzM
- 9Z. AhmedF
- 15I. NachmiasD
- 17A. ForsonM
- 25Lucas VenturaM
- 44D. DiopD
- 45M. Abu RumiF
- 66I. ZlatanovićF
Substitutes
- 4M. VítorD
- 8M. Kna'anF
- 11A. GanahF
- 12I. RotmanD
- 13O. DavidzadaD
- 20J. EastF
- 28N. YehoshuaM
- 34M. WolffG
- 36Y. ShaniG
- 70João VictorF
- 90A. UgarrizaF
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Koopmeiners | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Meerdink | F | 14 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| V. Byskov | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0/1 |
| D. Kwakman | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| W. Goes | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Daal | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 5/6 |
| M. de Wit | D | 76 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| J. De Busser | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Maikuma | D | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Weslley Patati | F | 4 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Chávez | D | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| W. Hoedt | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| B. Kovacs | F | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Kasius | D | 29 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Oufkir | M | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/6 |
| C. Stengs | M | 29 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Clasie | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Ichihara | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Schouten | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Owusu-Oduro | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Dijkstra | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Forson | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/5 |
| M. Vítor | D | 37 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Z. Ahmed | F | 78 | 6.8 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| O. Marciano | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. East | F | 28 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Lucas Ventura | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| I. Zlatanović | F | 78 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Abu Rumi | F | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Yehoshua | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| I. Nachmias | D | 53 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| João Victor | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| A. Ugarriza | F | 12 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Mizrahi | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| D. Diop | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| E. Peretz | M | 62 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Pedro Amador | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| I. Rotman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ganah | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Wolff | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Davidzada | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Shani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Kna'an | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- Fipster's AI model predicted AZ Alkmaar to win against Hapoel Beer Sheva.
- What score did Fipster predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- Fipster predicted a final score of AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Hapoel Beer Sheva.
- What were the win probabilities for AZ Alkmaar vs Hapoel Beer Sheva?
- Fipster's model gave AZ Alkmaar a 85% chance of winning, Hapoel Beer Sheva a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.