AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag

EredivisieMatchweek 1
Ref: Erwin Blank, NetherlandsAFAS Stadion, Alkmaar · 19,500 cap
Fipster Pick
Home WinlowHit
Full-time story

AZ Alkmaar secure comfortable win over ADO Den Haag

Second-half strikes from R. Daal and C. Stengs seal a 2-0 victory for AZ Alkmaar.

AZ Alkmaar broke the deadlock after the break with R. Daal opening the scoring in the 61st minute, followed by C. Stengs doubling the lead seven minutes later. The home side controlled the match to claim a solid 2-0 win over ADO Den Haag. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline.

FıpsterSelf-Score Card
Underconfident✓ Hit
Fipster's Pick
21
Final Result
20
HT 0–0
55%Fair
C
OutcomeExact ScoreBTTSOver/Under 2.5Halftime
Fipster's self review8 Aug 2026

Analysis

The new season kicks off with AZ Alkmaar facing ADO Den Haag in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are yet to open their accounts, setting the stage for a tightly fought match.

This fixture marks the first round of the regular season, with both AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag starting on zero points. The league table currently sees AZ Alkmaar placed 12th and ADO Den Haag 16th, reflecting their fresh start and the unpredictability of early-season form.

The probabilities suggest a balanced contest, with home wins slightly favoured at 33%, draws at 30%, and away wins also at 30%. The most likely scoreline overall is a 1-1 draw at 18%, but the 2-1 home win is the most probable winning scoreline for AZ Alkmaar at 16%. This indicates a match where the home side is expected to have just enough edge to claim victory, though not without resistance from ADO Den Haag.


Prediction

Our prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for AZ Alkmaar, reflecting the highest individual scoreline probability among home wins. The confidence level stands at 35%, signalling a moderately strong belief in this outcome despite the close competition. Expect a match with a few cards, around four in total, as both sides battle for early-season points.

Outcome probability

AZ Alkmaar 35%Draw 33%ADO Den Haag 32%

Key Takeaways

In summary, AZ Alkmaar are poised to start their campaign with a narrow win over ADO Den Haag. While the match is expected to be competitive, the home side's slight advantage in probabilities and the predicted 2-1 scoreline suggest they will come out on top in this season opener.

  • AZ Alkmaar are ranked 12th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
  • ADO Den Haag are ranked 16th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
  • Home wins have a 33% probability, slightly higher than draws and away wins at 30%.
  • The most likely full-time scoreline is a 1-1 draw at 18%.
  • The 2-1 home win scoreline has a 16% probability, the highest among home wins.
  • Prediction confidence is moderate at 35%.
  • An estimated total of 4 cards is expected during the match.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

HomeAZ Alkmaar

P. Koopmeiners

P. Koopmeiners

Midfielder

AZ Alkmaar

Total Passes
261
4 played
4 starts
358 mins
~90 mins/game
W. Goes

W. Goes

Defender

AZ Alkmaar

Total Passes
221
4 played
4 starts
363 mins
~91 mins/game
L. Schouten

L. Schouten

Defender

AZ Alkmaar

Total Passes
211
4 played
4 starts
363 mins
~91 mins/game

AwayADO Den Haag

J. Kilo

J. Kilo

Midfielder

ADO Den Haag

Total Passes
255
4 played
4 starts
364 mins
~91 mins/game
P. Mulder

P. Mulder

Defender

ADO Den Haag

Total Passes
205
4 played
4 starts
347 mins
~87 mins/game