AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag
AZ Alkmaar secure comfortable win over ADO Den Haag
Second-half strikes from R. Daal and C. Stengs seal a 2-0 victory for AZ Alkmaar.
AZ Alkmaar broke the deadlock after the break with R. Daal opening the scoring in the 61st minute, followed by C. Stengs doubling the lead seven minutes later. The home side controlled the match to claim a solid 2-0 win over ADO Den Haag. Fipster's prediction of a home win was on the money, albeit with a slightly different scoreline.
Analysis
The new season kicks off with AZ Alkmaar facing ADO Den Haag in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams are yet to open their accounts, setting the stage for a tightly fought match.
This fixture marks the first round of the regular season, with both AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag starting on zero points. The league table currently sees AZ Alkmaar placed 12th and ADO Den Haag 16th, reflecting their fresh start and the unpredictability of early-season form.
The probabilities suggest a balanced contest, with home wins slightly favoured at 33%, draws at 30%, and away wins also at 30%. The most likely scoreline overall is a 1-1 draw at 18%, but the 2-1 home win is the most probable winning scoreline for AZ Alkmaar at 16%. This indicates a match where the home side is expected to have just enough edge to claim victory, though not without resistance from ADO Den Haag.
Prediction
Our prediction leans towards a 2-1 victory for AZ Alkmaar, reflecting the highest individual scoreline probability among home wins. The confidence level stands at 35%, signalling a moderately strong belief in this outcome despite the close competition. Expect a match with a few cards, around four in total, as both sides battle for early-season points.
Outcome probability
Match factors
Outcome Probabilities
Draw probability is 30%, matching modal outcome.
Modal Scoreline
Most likely draw scoreline is 1-1 with 18% probability.
Halftime Score Consistency
Halftime score is set to null due to lack of clear modal consistency with fulltime 1-1.
Key Takeaways
In summary, AZ Alkmaar are poised to start their campaign with a narrow win over ADO Den Haag. While the match is expected to be competitive, the home side's slight advantage in probabilities and the predicted 2-1 scoreline suggest they will come out on top in this season opener.
- AZ Alkmaar are ranked 12th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
- ADO Den Haag are ranked 16th in the league with 0 points from 0 games.
- Home wins have a 33% probability, slightly higher than draws and away wins at 30%.
- The most likely full-time scoreline is a 1-1 draw at 18%.
- The 2-1 home win scoreline has a 16% probability, the highest among home wins.
- Prediction confidence is moderate at 35%.
- An estimated total of 4 cards is expected during the match.
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Head to Head
Unknown
Meerdink
Hawkins
Patati
Daal
Rottier
van Mieghem
Stengs
Assist: Smit
Smit
Chávez
Kilo
Yellow Card
Daal
Mulder
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Excelsior | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 3 |  Ajax | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 4 |  AZ Alkmaar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 5 |  Telstar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 |  ADO Den Haag | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 |  Willem II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3W. GoesD
- 6P. KoopmeinersM
- 7Weslley PatatiM
- 10K. SmitM
- 11R. DaalM
- 15M. ChávezD
- 16L. SchoutenD
- 21D. KwakmanM
- 22E. DijkstraD
- 28J. De BusserG
- 35M. MeerdinkF
Substitutes
- 1R. Owusu-OduroG
- 2S. MaikumaD
- 9T. ParrottF
- 14C. StengsM
- 17I. JensenF
- 18R. IchiharaD
- 23B. van DuijlD
- 24A. OufkirF
- 34M. de WitD
- 45B. KovacsF
ADO Den Haag
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1K. NikiémaG
- 3P. MulderD
- 4M. WaemD
- 7D. van MieghemM
- 11E. RottierF
- 15M. HokkeD
- 17J. HawkinsM
- 18S. SyllaD
- 25J. KiloM
- 46Y. EduardoF
Substitutes
- 8J. ŽambůrekM
- 10Illaijh de RuijterD
- 12Sem EekhoutG
- 14M. JiménezM
- 19L. ReischlF
- 20Richard VogtG
- 27N. ThomasF
- 32D. van LoenenM
- 35S. PuljhunD
AZ Alkmaar
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ro-Zangelo Daal | M | 81 | 9.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Kees Smit | M | 72 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Dave Kwakman | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lewis Schouten | D | 91 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Peer Koopmeiners(C) | M | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Wouter Goes | D | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jari De Busser | G | 91 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Chávez | D | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Elijah Dijkstra | D | 91 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Mexx Meerdink | F | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Weslley Patati | M | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Seiya Maikuma | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Isak Steiner Jensen | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Billy van Duijl | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rion Ichihara | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bendegúz Kovács | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Calvin Stengs | M | 34 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mees De Wit | D | 18 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ayoub Oufkir | F | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Troy Parrott | F | 34 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
ADO Den Haag
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juho Kilo | M | 91 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Kilian Nikièma | G | 91 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Milan Hokke | D | 91 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jalen Hawkins | M | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Daryl van Mieghem(C) | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| Yannick Eduardo | F | 91 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Evan Rottier | F | 64 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Pascal Mulder | D | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Matteo Waem | D | 91 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sekou Sylla | D | 91 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Jan Žambůrek | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luka Reischl | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sanyika Bergtop | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sem Eekhout | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Caleb Kramer | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dani van Loenen | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nigel Thomas | F | 27 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 4/4 |
| Mylian Jimenez | M | 34 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Illaijh de Ruijter | D | 34 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |