Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre snatches narrow win over Brest
A late own goal seals a 2-1 victory for Auxerre against the odds.
Stade Brestois 29 took an early lead through P. Mboup, but Auxerre responded immediately after the break with a goal from C. Archer. The match was decided when R. Le Guen's own goal handed Auxerre the winning edge. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a Brest victory, turning the expected outcome on its head.
Outcome probability
As the new season kicks off, Auxerre and Stade Brestois 29 prepare to face off in what promises to be an intriguing encounter. Both teams have reshaped their squads over the summer, aiming to start the campaign on a strong note.
Key facts
- 1.Auxerre have added R. Labeau Lascary on loan this summer.
- 2.Auxerre have lost L. Sinayoko, D. Léon, and G. Mensah since last season.
- 3.Stade Brestois 29 have signed E. Selvik on loan and G. Lloris as a free agent.
- 4.Stade Brestois 29 have transferred out R. Del Castillo and G. Coudert.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 0-2 in favour of Stade Brestois 29.
- 6.The most likely fulltime score is 3-1 to Stade Brestois 29.
- 7.Away win outcomes have the highest probability for this match.
- 8.Auxerre are ranked 15th and Stade Brestois 29 12th in their league from last season.
The context
Auxerre have bolstered their ranks with the loan signing of R. Labeau Lascary, while parting ways with L. Sinayoko, D. Léon, and G. Mensah. Stade Brestois 29 have welcomed E. Selvik on loan and the free agent signing of G. Lloris, offsetting the departures of R. Del Castillo and G. Coudert. These changes set the stage for a fresh contest between two sides eager to make their mark.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Auxerre
Away — Stade Brestois 29
Analysis
The prediction strongly favours an away win for Stade Brestois 29, with the most likely scoreline being 3-1. The anticipated halftime score of 0-2 suggests that Brestois will establish an early advantage and maintain their momentum into the second half. This aligns with the statistical outlook, where the probability of an away victory significantly surpasses that of a draw or home win. Both teams will be looking to integrate their new signings effectively, but Brestois appear better positioned to assert control from the outset.
Prediction
Expect Stade Brestois 29 to take command early, leading 2-0 at halftime before Auxerre manage a consolation goal. Brestois should then extend their lead to secure a 3-1 victory, making a confident statement in this season opener.
The verdict
This fixture offers a promising start to the season, with Stade Brestois 29 poised to demonstrate their summer reinforcements' impact. Auxerre will need to regroup quickly after this setback if they are to challenge effectively in the matches ahead.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mboup
Assist: Chotard
Labeau Lascary
Piedfort
Archer
Assist: Namaso
Versini
Makosso
Yellow Card
Mboup
Lloris
Lala
Yellow Card
Le Guen (OG)
Oppegård
Chotard
Ajorque
Namaso
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Monaco | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 13 |
| 8 |  Le Mans | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 |  Auxerre | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 10 |  Paris Saint Germain | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |  Lorient | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -1 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Auxerre
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3R. Labeau LascaryF
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 5K. DanoisM
- 9C. ArcherF
- 10D. NamasoF
- 15C. MakossoD
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 23M. DiopG
- 27L. SyM
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 92C. AkpaD
Substitutes
- 1P. NardiG
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 17P. EkwahM
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 21R. FaivreM
- 32R. MandengueD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 35E. LegrosD
Stade Brestois 29
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1E. SelvikG
- 2B. LockoD
- 4G. LlorisD
- 8H. MagnettiM
- 9P. MboupM
- 10G. VersiniM
- 13J. ChotardM
- 19L. AjorqueF
- 23K. DoumbiaM
- 70K. LalaD
- 71R. Le GuenD
Substitutes
- 7J. Nonge BoendeM
- 17Mama BaldéF
- 18J. BourgaultD
- 20L. ZogbeD
- 21Ibrahim Yayiya KanteF
- 29L. TousartM
- 30M. PatouilletG
- 32L. C. Laine M.M
- 39D. N´GuessanF
Auxerre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Archer | F | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| D. Namaso | F | 87 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| N. Ahamada | M | 44 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| A. Piedfort | M | 46 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| F. Oppegård | M | 86 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| R. Faivre | M | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| C. Akpa | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Labeau Lascary | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Danois | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| P. Ekwah | M | 3 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Sy | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3/6 |
| M. Diop | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Makosso | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Mandengue | D | 4 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nardi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Legros | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Dioubate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Stade Brestois 29
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P. Mboup | M | 78 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| G. Lloris | D | 78 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| J. Chotard | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| B. Locko | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| H. Magnetti | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Ajorque | F | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| E. Selvik | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mama Baldé | F | 22 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Le Guen | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| G. Versini | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| K. Doumbia | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| J. Nonge Boende | M | 4 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Tousart | M | 12 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. N´Guessan | F | 12 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. C. Laine M. | M | 4 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| K. Lala | D | 90 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Yayiya Kante | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Zogbe | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Bourgault | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Patouillet | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Stade Brestois 29 to win against Auxerre.
- What score did Fipster predict for Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Auxerre 1–3 Stade Brestois 29.
- What were the win probabilities for Auxerre vs Stade Brestois 29?
- Fipster's model gave Auxerre a 14% chance of winning, Stade Brestois 29 a 72% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 72% confidence — a high-confidence call.