Auxerre vs Nice
Auxerre edges Nice with Archer's strike
A solitary goal secures a narrow home victory in Ligue 1.
Auxerre claimed a tight 1-0 win over Nice thanks to C. Archer's decisive goal in the 74th minute. The match was a close contest, with the single strike proving enough to separate the sides. Fipster had predicted a home win with medium confidence, and while the exact scoreline was off, the outcome was spot on.
Outcome probability
The new Ligue 1 season kicks off with Auxerre facing Nice in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Both teams have refreshed their squads over the summer, aiming to make a strong start and build momentum early on.
Key facts
- 1.Auxerre have strengthened their squad with the loan signing of R. Labeau Lascary.
- 2.Nice have signed G. Hein and added free agents A. Witsel and L. Abergel.
- 3.Auxerre parted ways with L. Sinayoko, D. Léon, and G. Mensah over the summer.
- 4.Nice lost K. Peprah Oppong, M. Cho, and C. Vanhoutte in transfers.
- 5.Auxerre have a better goal difference than Nice from last season.
- 6.The predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Auxerre.
- 7.The most probable fulltime scoreline is 2-1 to Auxerre.
- 8.The match is expected to see around four cards, indicating a competitive game.
The context
Auxerre have bolstered their ranks with the loan signing of R. Labeau Lascary, while parting ways with L. Sinayoko, D. Léon, and G. Mensah. Nice, on the other hand, have welcomed G. Hein on a permanent transfer and added free agents A. Witsel and L. Abergel, but lost K. Peprah Oppong, M. Cho, and C. Vanhoutte. These changes set the stage for a fresh contest between two sides eager to assert themselves.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Auxerre
Away — Nice
Analysis
Looking at the probabilities, Auxerre hold a clear edge with a home win probability significantly higher than a draw or away win. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favour of Auxerre, with a halftime lead of 1-0. Both teams are closely matched in league standings from last season, but Auxerre's superior goal difference suggests they have a slight attacking advantage. Expect a competitive match with around four cards, indicating a spirited but fair contest.
Prediction
We predict Auxerre to secure a 2-1 victory over Nice. The home side is expected to take an early lead and maintain their advantage through the second half, despite Nice's efforts to equalise. This result would give Auxerre a positive start to their campaign.
The verdict
As the season opener, this fixture sets the tone for both teams. Auxerre's slight edge in squad reinforcements and goal difference could prove decisive. Fans should anticipate a closely fought match with moments of quality and competitive spirit.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Danois
Yellow Card
Labeau Lascary
Nkounkou
Archer
Assist: Makosso
Coulibaly
Yellow Card
Namaso
Piedfort
Amoura
Mohamed Abdelmonem
Wahi
Witsel
Archer
Match Statistics
Auxerre
3-4-3Starting XI
- 3R. Labeau LascaryF
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 5K. DanoisM
- 9C. ArcherF
- 10D. NamasoF
- 15C. MakossoD
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 23M. DiopG
- 27L. SyM
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 92C. AkpaD
Substitutes
- 1P. NardiG
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 17P. EkwahM
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 21R. FaivreM
- 32R. MandengueD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 35E. LegrosD
- 77Aristide ZossouM
Nice
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5Mohamed AbdelmonemD
- 7G. HeinM
- 9M. AmouraF
- 11E. WahiM
- 23Y. DioufG
- 27N. NkounkouM
- 28A. WitselM
- 35X. Mandza TsiendiD
- 39D. CoulibalyM
- 55Y. NdayishimiyeD
- 92J. ClaussM
Substitutes
- 2A. AbdiD
- 6H. BoudaouiM
- 10S. DiopM
- 21I. JanssonF
- 29N. NgoumouF
- 38A. CamaraM
- 41D. MoranaF
- 77T. BoulhendiG
- 87E. PereiraM
Auxerre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Makosso | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| C. Archer | F | 87 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Namaso | F | 81 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| M. Diop | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Ahamada | M | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Faivre | M | 19 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| K. Danois | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| R. Labeau Lascary | F | 71 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 2/4 |
| P. Ekwah | M | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Mandengue | D | 3 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Piedfort | M | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| F. Oppegård | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| L. Sy | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/4 |
| C. Akpa | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| L. Dioubate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| P. Nardi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aristide Zossou | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Legros | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nice
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| X. Mandza Tsiendi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Y. Ndayishimiye | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Witsel | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| I. Jansson | F | 4 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Diouf | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Abdelmonem | D | 86 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| G. Hein | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| D. Coulibaly | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| J. Clauss | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| E. Wahi | M | 86 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| M. Amoura | F | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/3 |
| H. Boudaoui | M | 4 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diop | M | 4 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Nkounkou | M | 72 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| A. Abdi | D | 18 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Ngoumou | F | 4 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Boulhendi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Pereira | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Camara | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Morana | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Auxerre vs Nice?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Auxerre to win against Nice.
- What score did Fipster predict for Auxerre vs Nice?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Auxerre 2–1 Nice.
- What were the win probabilities for Auxerre vs Nice?
- Fipster's model gave Auxerre a 59% chance of winning, Nice a 20% chance, and a 21% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 59% confidence — a medium-confidence call.