Auxerre vs Le Mans
Le Mans snatch draw at Auxerre
A second-half exchange of goals ends in a stalemate at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps.
Le Mans took the lead early in the second half through L. Buadés, only for Auxerre's C. Archer to level the scores shortly after. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win, proving this Ligue 1 encounter to be a tighter contest than expected.
Outcome probability
As the Ligue 2 season unfolds, Auxerre and Le Mans face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both sides have struggled for consistency, but Auxerre's home advantage and recent attacking form give them the edge in this fixture.
Match factors
Le Mans' Mafouta leads scoring with 4 goals
Louis Didace Mafouta is Le Mans' top scorer with 4 goals in 7 games, providing a key offensive threat.
Auxerre's Namaso shows strong recent scoring form
Danny Namaso scored twice in the last away match, indicating good form and goal threat.
Le Mans' Bourabaa key creative midfielder
Adil Bourabaa contributes both goals and assists, making him a central playmaker for Le Mans.
Auxerre's Akpa doubtful but important defender
C. Akpa is doubtful due to injury; his presence or absence could affect Auxerre's defensive solidity.
Auxerre's recent scoring streak supports home win
Auxerre has scored in their last 5 matches, showing consistent attacking form at home.
The context
Currently, Auxerre sit 16th in the league with 6 points from 6 games, while Le Mans are just above them in 15th place with 6 points from 7 matches. Both teams have shown glimpses of attacking potential but have also been vulnerable defensively, setting the stage for an intriguing battle in this regular season round.
Key insights
Louis Didace Mafouta
Le Mans
Leads Le Mans scoring with 4 goals in 7 games, providing a key offensive threat.
Ligue 1 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 0.57 goals/game
Adil Bourabaa
Le Mans
High goal and assist contribution with 3 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, making him a central playmaker.
Ligue 1 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 5 appearances
Danny Namaso
Auxerre
Key attacking player with strong recent form, scoring twice in the last away match.
Ligue 1 26/272 goals in last away match
K. Danois
Auxerre
Creative midfielder with high passing accuracy and recent assist, contributing to Auxerre's attack.
Ligue 1 26/2781% passing accuracy, 1 assist in recent away match
Analysis
Auxerre's recent scoring streak, with goals in their last five matches, highlights their ability to find the net at home. Key attacker Danny Namaso has been in good form, netting twice in the last away game, providing a reliable goal threat. Le Mans, meanwhile, rely heavily on Louis Didace Mafouta, their top scorer with 4 goals in 7 games, including a solid recent away scoring record. Midfielder Adil Bourabaa adds creativity and goal contributions, making Le Mans a dangerous side despite their lower league position. The predicted halftime score of 1-0 suggests Auxerre will take an early lead, but Le Mans are expected to push back, resulting in a tight 2-1 finish.
Key facts
- 1.Auxerre are 16th in the league with 6 points from 6 games (W2 D0 L4).
- 2.Le Mans are 15th with 6 points from 7 games (W1 D3 L3).
- 3.Auxerre have scored in their last 5 matches, showing consistent attacking form.
- 4.Louis Didace Mafouta leads Le Mans with 4 goals in 7 games.
- 5.Danny Namaso scored twice in Auxerre's last away match.
- 6.Adil Bourabaa has 3 goals and 2 assists in 5 games for Le Mans.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 1-0 in favour of Auxerre.
- 8.Total cards expected in the match are around 4.
Prediction
We anticipate Auxerre to open the scoring and maintain a slender lead at halftime. Le Mans will respond in the second half, but ultimately Auxerre's home advantage and attacking consistency should see them edge out a 2-1 victory. Expect a total of around four cards as the match intensity rises.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Auxerre
Away — Le Mans
The verdict
This fixture promises a competitive encounter with both teams eager to climb the league table. Auxerre's ability to capitalise on home advantage and their recent scoring form make them the favourites to take all three points, but Le Mans' key players will ensure they remain in the contest until the final whistle.
Prediction generated 18 Oct 2026, 17:08 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lauray
Yellow Card
Buadés
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Goal confirmed
Buadés
Assist: Bretelle
Sidibé
Archer
Diallo
Lauray
Danois
Yellow Card
Sy
Rabillard
Namaso
Danois
Buadés
Archer
Ahamada
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Paris Saint Germain | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 20 |
| 12 |  Strasbourg | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Auxerre | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -10 | 10 |
| 14 |  Stade Brestois 29 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 16 |  Estac Troyes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 17 |  Le Mans | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 18 |  Le Havre | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Auxerre
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1P. NardiG
- 4A. TuanzebeD
- 5K. DanoisM
- 8N. AhamadaM
- 9C. ArcherF
- 10D. NamasoM
- 15C. MakossoD
- 21R. FaivreM
- 22F. OppegårdM
- 27L. SyM
- 92C. AkpaD
Substitutes
- 17P. EkwahM
- 20S. DiomandéD
- 23M. DiopG
- 32R. MandengueD
- 34L. DioubateM
- 35E. LegrosD
- 46A. PiedfortM
- 77Aristide ZossouM
Le Mans
3-5-2Starting XI
- 8A. LaurayM
- 9A. RabillardM
- 13H. DialloF
- 14L. MafoutaF
- 16Raúl TorrenteD
- 17S. YohouD
- 18L. BuadésM
- 19D. SidibéD
- 22L. CalodatM
- 29L. BretelleM
- 98N. KocikG
Substitutes
- 1E. HatfoutG
- 7B. BrahimiF
- 10J. VercruysseM
- 15N. BoisséD
- 20W. HarhouzF
- 23D. TraoréM
- 25D. GuèyeF
- 26R. BambaD
Auxerre
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Archer | F | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Tuanzebe | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| C. Makosso | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/4 |
| N. Ahamada | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| F. Oppegård | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Mandengue | D | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| K. Danois | M | 86 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 5/6 |
| P. Ekwah | M | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Aristide Zossou | M | 4 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Sy | M | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| P. Nardi | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Akpa | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| D. Namaso | M | 86 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 0/2 |
| R. Faivre | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3/8 |
| A. Piedfort | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Diomandé | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Dioubate | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Legros | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diop | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Le Mans
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Bretelle | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| L. Buadés | M | 87 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| D. Guèye | F | 27 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| R. Bamba | D | 3 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Traoré | M | 4 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| D. Sidibé | D | 53 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Boissé | D | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Kocik | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Yohou | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Lauray | M | 63 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| J. Vercruysse | M | 27 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| H. Diallo | F | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| L. Calodat | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| L. Mafouta | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Raúl Torrente | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Rabillard | M | 86 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| W. Harhouz | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Brahimi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Hatfout | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Auxerre vs Le Mans?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Auxerre to win against Le Mans.
- What score did Fipster predict for Auxerre vs Le Mans?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Auxerre 2–1 Le Mans.
- What were the win probabilities for Auxerre vs Le Mans?
- Fipster's model gave Auxerre a 67% chance of winning, Le Mans a 16% chance, and a 17% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 67% confidence — a high-confidence call.